Alavés vs Real Oviedo Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in LaLiga Predictions
La Liga’s lowest scorers, Real Oviedo, face a struggle to improve their poor away form, as they face Alaves on matchday 18 fixture this Sunday. This match at Mendizorroza between the 14th-placed Blues and the 19th-placed Babazorros comes with our prediction of an Alaves win.
Alaves have 18 points from 17 matches (W5, D3, L9) and have a three-point cushion to the relegation zone. Oviedo’s 11 points from 17 games (W2, D5, L10) see them just a point above the basement, while being six points adrift of the safety zone.
Alaves lost 3-0 away at Osasuna before Christmas for a second defeat in a row. Five losses in their last six league games (W1) have seen them flirt with the relegation zone with only a three-point advantage over the relegation zone.
They can be a tricky customer at home, as Alaves were beaten in just two of their last six home league games (W3, D1, L2).
Oviedo held Celta Vigo to a 0-0 home draw before Christmas, making it a fifth point from their last eight league games (D5, L3). They have failed to score in seven of those fixtures, and with only seven goals in their kitty, they remain the lowest-scorers of La Liga. Even on the road, they were beaten in their last three league trips without scoring.
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Alavés v Real Oviedo Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.91 | 3.1 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.95 | 2.79 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.91 | 2.88 | 5.5 |
|
|
2 | 2.8 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.89 | 2.94 | 5.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Alavés and Real Oviedo?
Our prediction for the Alavés vs Real Oviedo match is: Alaves win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/01/2026 between Alavés and Real Oviedo in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.86% for a win of Alavés against Real Oviedo with odds of 2 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Alavés vs Real Oviedo is 21.09% with odds of 3.15 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.05% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Oviedo vs Alavés with odds of 5.6 at Shangrila.
Alavés - Real Oviedo Prediction and Best Odds:
| Alavés Real Oviedo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Alavés wins | 56.86% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.82% | 2.15 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 54.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Alavés/Alavés | 27.73% | 3.25 at Bet365 |
Alavés vs Real Oviedo Form
Alavés and Real Oviedo's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
14
|
43 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -12 |
|
20
|
29 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -34 |
Alavés and Real Oviedo Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
2 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
20 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
8 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
30 Oct 2025 - Copa del Rey
26 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
5 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
23 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
5 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
23 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
3 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
17 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
4 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
28 Oct 2025 - Copa del Rey
25 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
30 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
Alavés vs Real Oviedo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Oct 2022 - LaLiga 2
Alavés against Real Oviedo Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
R. Fernandez
G. Swiderski
DefenderC. Ballestero
MidfielderA. Guevara
J. Guridi
C. Benavidez
L. Boye
A. Manas
A. Rebbach
C. Vicente
H. Moldovan
DefenderD. Calvo
J. Lopez
D. Carmo
O. Luengo
MidfielderS. Cazorla
N. Fonseca
L. Ilic
Agudin
L. Dendoncker
ForwardH. Hassan
A. Fores
Missing players
V. Parada
Most goals and assists
Alavés
Real Oviedo
T. Martinez
(14 Goals)
F. Vinas
(9 Goals)
C. Alena
(4 Assists)
, 
A. Rebbach
(4 Assists)
,
A. Hidalgo
(4 Assists)
T. Fernandez
(4 Assists)
Alavés - Real Oviedo Key Points
- Oviedo lost ten of their 17 league games this season.
- Oviedo were beaten in six of their last eight away league games, including three in a row without scoring.
- Alaves won three of their last six home league games, losing two.
- Oviedo failed to score in six of their last eight away league games.
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Our Alavés vs Real Oviedo Prediction
Oviedo are the lowest scorers in La Liga with only seven goals, and that has seen them spend the winter break in the relegation zone. Alaves are not too far and have a three-point cushion to the relegation zone. Both teams have struggled for goals, and that has been their undoing so far. Oviedo haven’t scored a goal in their last seven league games, although five draws from their last eight La Liga fixtures make them a stubborn side.
Alaves could take advantage of Oviedo’s scoring troubles, and our Alaves vs Real Oviedo prediction is Alaves win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Alavés Real Oviedo
| Alavés vs Real Oviedo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alavés wins | 1.8 | 2 | +11.1% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 3.15 | +1.6% |
| Real Oviedo wins | 5.25 | 5.6 | +6.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Alavés is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 11.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 55.6% and is now 50.0% (-5.6%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
