Spain - LaLiga
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by Thobelani Moyo in LaLiga Predictions
Alaves play host to floundering Atletico Madrid on matchday three in La Liga. Alaves are in ninth place in the league standings, while Atletico Madrid are in 14th place. Here's our match prediction.
Alaves managed to avoid relegation by the skin of their teeth in the previous La Liga season. They finished in 15th place with 42 points to their name and were two points ahead of the red dotted line.
The Blue and Whites are in their third straight season in Spain's top division. They are aiming within their limits in the current campaign, and that's to avoid relegation.
The Basque outfits had a positive start in the 2025-26 La Liga season. Drawn against newly-promoted Levante for the first time in 3 years, they secured a 2-1 home win. However, the celebration was short-lived as they lost 1-0 in the follow-up match against Real Betis.
Atletico Madrid are the third biggest club in Spanish football. However, they have yet to show it in the 2025-26 La Liga season.
Having navigated two league games without victory feels unreal for a team of their caliber. Diego Simeone's charges suffered a 2-1 defeat against Espanyol in the Metropolitano before being held to a 1-1 draw against Elche on the road.
The reason behind Rojiblancos' woes this season has been well-reported, and that is giving up leads too easily.
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The Best Betting Odds for Alavés v Atletico Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.75 | 3.5 | 1.8 |
|
|
4.6 | 3.5 | 1.8 |
|
|
4.6 | 3.4 | 1.8 |
|
|
4.33 | 3.5 | 1.83 |
|
|
4.7 | 3.65 | 1.73 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Alavés and Atletico Madrid?
Our prediction for the Alavés vs Atletico Madrid match is: Atletico Madrid wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/08/2025 between Alavés and Atletico Madrid in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.64% for a win of Alavés against Atletico Madrid with odds of 4.87 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Alavés vs Atletico Madrid is 15.64% with odds of 3.73 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Madrid vs Alavés with odds of 1.85 at 22bet.
Alavés vs Atletico Madrid Form
Alavés and Atletico Madrid's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
|
14
|
1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 |
Alavés and Atletico Madrid Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
16 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - LaLiga
11 May 2025 - LaLiga
20 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
17 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
19 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
23 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
18 May 2025 - LaLiga
10 May 2025 - LaLiga
24 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
14 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
15 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
25 May 2025 - LaLiga
Alavés vs Atletico Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 May 2025 - LaLiga
23 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
21 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
29 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
2 Apr 2022 - LaLiga
25 Sep 2021 - LaLiga
Alavés vs Atletico Madrid last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
H. Novoa
N. Maras
J. Gimenez
MidfielderA. Baena
Most goals and assists
Alavés
Atletico Madrid
T. Martinez
(1 Goals)
, 
F. Tenaglia
(1 Goals)
J. Alvarez
(1 Goals)
, 
A. Sorloth
(1 Goals)
C. Alena
(1 Assists)
D. Hancko
(1 Assists)
Alavés - Atletico Madrid Key Points
- Alaves have won just one of their last five meetings against Atletico Madrid.
- Atletico Madrid have won three of their last five meetings against Alaves.
- Alaves have won just two of their last nine home matches against Atletico Madrid.
- Atletico Madrid have won 11 of their last 18 meetings against Alaves.
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Our Alavés vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
Alaves are the better side heading into this clash, according to the league standings. Despite this, the bookies don't have faith in their victory because of their poor run in this fixture. In 18 meetings against Atletico Madrid, they have managed just two wins, with 11 resulting in defeat.
Atletico Madrid cannot afford more slip-ups if they are to keep up with the top three teams in the league standings. The visitors have been the dominant side in this fixture, and we expect them to register their first league win. Our Alaves vs Atletico Madrid prediction: Atletico Madrid wins the match.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Alavés vs. Atletico Madrid game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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