Al-Ittifaq FC vs Al-Najma Prediction & Betting Tips - Saudi Pro League

Saudi Arabia - Saudi Pro League

Al-Ittifaq FC
04/05/2026 14:00
Al-Najma

Prediction :

 

Over 3.5 goals

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Saudi Pro League Predictions

The race to finish in the top half of the Saudi Pro League is on for Al Ettifaq, who host relegated Al Najma on Monday. Heading into this match, Al Ettifaq are seventh on 45 points, while Al Najma, whose fate is already sealed, are bottom of the standings. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.

The hosts recovered from two straight defeats with a 3-1 win at Al Okhdood in their latest outing. That was their 13th win of the season, and with four games to play, the highest they can finish is fifth in the standings.

Though they haven’t been at their best in recent weeks, home form indicates the possibility of a win, having won five of 10 games.

Al Najma’s season collapsed when they went winless between February and April. They suffered six straight defeats in that stretch, and even a mini recovery against Neom SC couldn’t help.

Now they are on a run of just two wins in their latest 15 matches. They collected just eight points from a possible 45 in that period.

While it is clear Al Najma have been at their lowest this season, one of the factors placing them where they are is a poor defence. The visitors have conceded a league-high 72 goals.

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Al-Ittifaq FC v Al-Najma Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.52 4.6 5.4
Melbet
1.45 4.8 5.84
Betwinner
1.5 4.57 5.5
Bet365
1.48 4.5 5
Roobet
1.48 4.8 5.6
Check all Al-Ittifaq FC vs Al-Najma odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Al-Ittifaq FC and Al-Najma?

Our prediction for the Al-Ittifaq FC vs Al-Najma match is: more than 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/05/2026 between Al-Ittifaq FC and Al-Najma in Saudi Pro League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 77.24% for a win of Al-Ittifaq FC against Al-Najma with odds of 1.52 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Al-Ittifaq FC vs Al-Najma is 9.35% with odds of 4.85 at Shangrila.
  • Our prediction model gives a 13.41% chance ⭐ for a win of Al-Najma vs Al-Ittifaq FC with odds of 6 at Shangrila.

Al-Ittifaq FC - Al-Najma Prediction and Best Odds:

Al-Ittifaq FC Al-Najma Prediction Probability Odds
Al-Ittifaq FC wins 77.24% 1.52 at Stake
Over 2.5 goals 69.07%
Both Team To Score 64.58%
Half-time / Full-time : Al-Ittifaq FC/Al-Ittifaq FC 44.57% 2.2 at Bet365

Al-Ittifaq FC vs Al-Najma Form

Al-Ittifaq FC and Al-Najma's standings in the Saudi Pro League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7 Al-Ittifaq FC
50 34 14 8 12 -4
18 Al-Najma
16 34 3 7 24 -44

Al-Ittifaq FC and Al-Najma Last Matches

Al-Ittifaq FC
Al-Ittifaq FC Last matches
D L W L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

30 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Okhdood Club
1 :  3
Al-Ittifaq FC

15 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Nasr
1 :  0
Al-Ittifaq FC

9 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Ittifaq FC
2 :  3
Al-Riyadh SC

5 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Ittifaq FC
3 :  2
Al Qadsiah

13 Mar 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Fayha FC
1 :  0
Al-Ittifaq FC

7 Mar 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Ittifaq FC
1 :  1
Al Shabab
W W W D W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Ittifaq FC
2 :  3
Al-Riyadh SC

5 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Ittifaq FC
3 :  2
Al Qadsiah

7 Mar 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Ittifaq FC
1 :  1
Al Shabab

19 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Ittifaq FC
4 :  3
Al Fateh

6 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Ittifaq FC
2 :  0
Damac FC

3 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Ittifaq FC
1 :  0
Al-Taawoun FC
L L L L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

30 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Okhdood Club
1 :  3
Al-Ittifaq FC

15 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Nasr
1 :  0
Al-Ittifaq FC

13 Mar 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Fayha FC
1 :  0
Al-Ittifaq FC

27 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Hazm
3 :  1
Al-Ittifaq FC

23 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Qadsiah
4 :  0
Al-Ittifaq FC

13 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Hilal
2 :  0
Al-Ittifaq FC
Al-Najma
Al-Najma Last matches
L L L W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
3 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

28 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Khaleej Club
3 :  1
Al-Najma

23 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Najma
1 :  2
Al-Taawoun FC

11 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Najma
2 :  1
Neom SC

3 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Nasr
5 :  2
Al-Najma

12 Mar 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Najma
1 :  3
Damac FC

6 Mar 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Hilal
4 :  0
Al-Najma
W L L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

23 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Najma
1 :  2
Al-Taawoun FC

11 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Najma
2 :  1
Neom SC

12 Mar 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Najma
1 :  3
Damac FC

28 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Najma
1 :  3
Al-Okhdood Club

25 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Najma
0 :  5
Al Nasr

14 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Najma
2 :  1
Al-Kholood
L L L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

6/6 (100%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
3.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

28 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Khaleej Club
3 :  1
Al-Najma

3 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Nasr
5 :  2
Al-Najma

6 Mar 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Hilal
4 :  0
Al-Najma

19 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Ahli
4 :  1
Al-Najma

5 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Fayha FC
3 :  0
Al-Najma

1 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Ittihad Jeddah
1 :  0
Al-Najma

Al-Ittifaq FC vs Al-Najma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Al-Ittifaq FC

100 %

Draw

0 %

Al-Najma

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

7
Total goals
100%
BTTS
4
Goals scored
3
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

8 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Najma
3 :  4
Al-Ittifaq FC
Al-Ittifaq FC vs Al-Najma Prediction

Al-Ittifaq FC against Al-Najma Lineups: Starting 11

Al-Ittifaq FC

Formation : 5 - 3 - 2

1
M. Rodak
18
J. Costa
5
F. Calvo
70
A. Khateeb
15
M. Nkota
33
M. Al Olayan
8
G. Wijnaldum
10
A. Medran
11
O. Duda
17
K. Alghannam
9
M. Dembele
70
F. Cardoso
7
L. Vinicius Marques
18
A. Abdulaziz Al Harabi
80
N. Donga
14
Ali Jasim
66
S. Al-Essa
4
N. Al-Haleel
33
M. Al Fatil
3
Samir
27
K. Al-Subaie
1
V. Braga

Formation : 5 - 3 - 2

Al-Najma

Substitutes

Al-Ittifaq FC
Al-Ittifaq FC
Goalkeeper

A. Hawsawy

Defender

A. Hindi

Meshal Sibyani

M. Al Olayan 81'

A. Madu

Midfielder

A. Maghfouri

J. Al-Salem

F. Al Ghamdi

M. Ali

M. Nkota 70'

Forward

Z. Al-Ghamdi

Al-Najma
Al-Najma
Goalkeeper

W. Al Enezi

Defender

A. Al-Hawsawi

S. Al-Essa 70'

Midfielder

R. Rajeh Altulayhi

L. Vinicius Marques 70'

H. Al-Dubais

M. Sharrahi

K. Al-Shammari

M. Dawran

D. Tijanic

Ali Jasim 69'

Guga

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Al-Ittifaq FC
CD Huachipato Al-Najma
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands G. Wijnaldum (16 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil L. Vinicius Marques (7 Goals)
Best assists
Spain A. Medran (8 Assists)
Best assists
Saudi Arabia R. Rajeh Altulayhi (4 Assists)
Brazil F. Cardoso (4 Assists)

Al-Ittifaq FC - Al-Najma Key Points

  1. 19 goals were netted in Al Najma’s last five away matches.
  2. Three of Al Najma’s last five matches had over 3.5 goals scored.
  3. 4+ goals were scored in three of Al Ettifaq’s last five league matches.
  4. On average, 4.2 goals were scored in Al Ettifaq’s last five home games.
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Our Al-Ittifaq FC vs Al-Najma Prediction

Al Najma’s relegation has been confirmed, and they have nothing much to play for going forward. Preparations for life in the second tier are underway at the club, and this should start with strengthening defensively. The visitors have conceded 72 times in their 30 league matches so far.

For their hosts, defence hasn’t been the strongest department either, and here we could see a high-scoring fixture. Both teams’ recent matches have produced that anyway. Our prediction for Al Ettifaq v Al Najma is for more than 3.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Over 3.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Al-Ittifaq FC Al-Najma

Al-Ittifaq FC vs Al-Najma Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Al-Ittifaq FC wins 1.62 1.52 -6.2%
Draw 4.3 4.85 +12.8%
Al-Najma wins 4.8 6 +25.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Al-Ittifaq FC is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.2% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 61.7% and is now 65.8% (4.1%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.