Al Ahli vs Al Nasr Prediction & Betting Tips - Saudi Pro League
Saudi Arabia - Saudi Pro League
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by Nella Wagah | in Saudi Pro League Predictions
There is a blockbuster loading as Al Ahli and Al Nassr prepare for battle in the Saudi Pro League. Placed fourth, Al Ahli will be hosting league leaders Al Nassr in this Friday match. Let’s have a look at the prediction below.
Al Ahli lost their unbeaten start to the league on Boxing Day and will be keen on ending Al Nassr’s. They recovered from that defeat with a 2-0 win at home against Al Fayha last time out.
Al Ahli’s season has been hampered by too many draws, and their quest for the league title currently looks feeble. Four draws and a loss so far have left the former champions nine points adrift of Al Nassr.
For Al Nassr, it has so far been a truly inspiring start, and they come here holding one of the two remaining unbeaten runs. However, they dropped points for the first time in their last game, as they drew 2-2 with Al Ettifaq.
Joao Felix and Cristiano Ronaldo netted to extend their impressive campaigns, but Georginio Wijnaldum’s brace denied them a league win for the first time.
Al Nassr still have the best attack and meanest defence, which will keep their belief strong. Ahead of this matchday, the visitors have a three-point advantage on second-placed Al Taawon and have their hopes high, being unbeaten in eight games against Al Ahli.
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Al Ahli v Al Nasr Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.5 | 4.1 | 1.82 |
|
|
4.16 | 4.26 | 1.73 |
|
|
3.75 | 4.1 | 1.7 |
|
|
3.6 | 4.1 | 1.73 |
|
|
3.8 | 4.3 | 1.76 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Al Ahli and Al Nasr?
Our prediction for the Al Ahli vs Al Nasr match is: Al Nasr wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/01/2026 between Al Ahli and Al Nasr in Saudi Pro League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.31% for a win of Al Ahli against Al Nasr with odds of 4.16 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Al Ahli vs Al Nasr is 23.28% with odds of 4.45 at Shangrila.
- Our prediction model gives a 53.41% chance ⭐ for a win of Al Nasr vs Al Ahli with odds of 1.82 at Stake.
Al Ahli - Al Nasr Prediction and Best Odds:
| Al Ahli Al Nasr Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Al Nasr wins | 53.41% | 1.82 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.46% | |
| Both Team To Score | 60% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Al Nasr/Al Nasr | 20.14% | 2.75 at LSbet |
Al Ahli vs Al Nasr Form
Al Ahli and Al Nasr's standings in the Saudi Pro League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
86 | 34 | 28 | 2 | 4 | +63 |
|
3
|
81 | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | +46 |
Al Ahli and Al Nasr Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2025 - Saudi Pro League
26 Dec 2025 - Saudi Pro League
22 Dec 2025 - AFC Champions League
28 Nov 2025 - Kings Cup
24 Nov 2025 - AFC Champions League
21 Nov 2025 - Saudi Pro League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2025 - Saudi Pro League
28 Nov 2025 - Kings Cup
24 Nov 2025 - AFC Champions League
21 Nov 2025 - Saudi Pro League
30 Oct 2025 - Saudi Pro League
20 Oct 2025 - AFC Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2025 - Saudi Pro League
22 Dec 2025 - AFC Champions League
8 Nov 2025 - Saudi Pro League
4 Nov 2025 - AFC Champions League
27 Oct 2025 - Kings Cup
23 Oct 2025 - Saudi Pro League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2025 - Saudi Pro League
27 Dec 2025 - Saudi Pro League
24 Dec 2025 - AFC Cup, Group A
10 Dec 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Nov 2025 - AFC Cup, Group A
23 Nov 2025 - Saudi Pro League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2025 - Saudi Pro League
24 Dec 2025 - AFC Cup, Group A
23 Nov 2025 - Saudi Pro League
5 Nov 2025 - AFC Cup, Group A
1 Nov 2025 - Saudi Pro League
28 Oct 2025 - Kings Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2025 - Saudi Pro League
10 Dec 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Nov 2025 - AFC Cup, Group A
8 Nov 2025 - Saudi Pro League
25 Oct 2025 - Saudi Pro League
22 Oct 2025 - AFC Cup, Group A
Al Ahli vs Al Nasr Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
40 %
60 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Aug 2025 - Super Cup
13 Feb 2025 - Saudi Pro League
13 Sept 2024 - Saudi Pro League
15 Mar 2024 - Saudi Pro League
22 Sept 2023 - Saudi Pro League
Al Ahli against Al Nasr Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
A. Abdo
DefenderM. Dams
R. Hamed
M. Yousef
Y. Madani
MidfielderR. Al-Attar
E. Millot
E. Al-Muwallad
S. Abu Al-Shamat
R. Najjar
DefenderN. Al-Boushal
S. Alnajdi
MidfielderA. Al-Hassan
A. Al Khaibari
A. Yahya
M. Marran
A. Ghareeb
H. Camara
Most goals and assists
Al Ahli
Al Nasr
I. Toney
(32 Goals)
Cristiano Ronaldo
(28 Goals)
R. Mahrez
(8 Assists)
J. Felix
(13 Assists)
Al Ahli - Al Nasr Key Points
- Al Nassr have eight wins in nine away matches.
- Al Nassr are unbeaten in the league, winning 10 out of 11.
- Al Ahli are winless in eight meetings with Al Nassr, losing five.
- Al Nassr won each of their last five away games against Al Ahli.
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Our Al Ahli vs Al Nasr Prediction
Al Nassr have had a great start to the season and are doing superbly in both defence and attack. They are the best scorers in the league and at the same time have the meanest defence. So far one of two remaining unbeaten sides, they will be looking to rise from the draw in their last game.
A fine run against Al Nassr will offer an additional confidence boost. Al Ahli have lost each of the last five matches when hosting Al Nassr, and this too could head the same route. Our prediction for Al Ahli v Nassr is that Al Nasr wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Al Ahli Al Nasr
| Al Ahli vs Al Nasr | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ahli wins | 3.21 | 4.16 | +29.6% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 4.45 | +27.1% |
| Al Nasr wins | 2.1 | 1.82 | -13.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Al Nasr is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 13.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.6% and is now 54.9% (7.3%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
