Al Ahli vs Al-Najma Prediction & Betting Tips - Saudi Pro League
Saudi Arabia - Saudi Pro League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Nella Wagah | in Saudi Pro League Predictions
Al Ahli will look to stay in touching distance with the leading pack when they host struggling Al-Najma. Heading into this Saudi Pro League match, Al Najma are at the bottom of the pile, while Al Ahli are third. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
Al Ahli have only lost once in the league this season, and only two sides have won more than the 15 they’ve managed. Al Malaki carries into this match the best defence in the league, having only conceded 14 goals so far.
Conceding five times in the last two matches was a rare spectacle, but they will be eyeing improvement. In their latest outing, they won 4-3 against Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai in the Champions League.
Six times in their last nine matches, Al Ahli managed clean sheets, and Al Najma will be out to breach this tough defence. It could prove arduous, as the visitors failed to score in two of their last three games.
They are coming off a positive result, though, beating Al Kholood 2-1. That marked their first win of the season in the SPL. It brought to a halt a run of 20 matches with 15 defeats.
No team in the league has lost more than that. Despite the win, Al Najma remain at the bottom with eight points, seven below safety.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Al Ahli v Al-Najma Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.1 | 9.6 | 21 |
|
|
1.05 | 10.5 | 17 |
|
|
1.05 | 10.5 | 17 |
|
|
1.1 | 9.5 | 19 |
|
|
1.09 | 10 | 19 |
|
Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!
What is the prediction for the football match between Al Ahli and Al-Najma?
Our prediction for the Al Ahli vs Al-Najma match is: Al Ahli to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/02/2026 between Al Ahli and Al-Najma in Saudi Pro League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 85.81% for a win of Al Ahli against Al-Najma with odds of 1.11 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Al Ahli vs Al-Najma is 11.66% with odds of 10.5 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 2.53% chance ⭐ for a win of Al-Najma vs Al Ahli with odds of 30 at Shangrila.
Al Ahli - Al-Najma Prediction and Best Odds:
| Al Ahli Al-Najma Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Al Ahli wins | 85.81% | 1.11 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.03% | |
| Both Team To Score: No | 54.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Al Ahli/Al Ahli | 41.4% | 1.44 at Bet365 |
Al Ahli vs Al-Najma Form
Al Ahli and Al-Najma's standings in the Saudi Pro League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
81 | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | +46 |
|
18
|
16 | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | -44 |
Al Ahli and Al-Najma Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2026 - AFC Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League
9 Feb 2026 - AFC Champions League
5 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League
2 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League
28 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2026 - AFC Champions League
5 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League
28 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
20 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
14 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
2 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League
9 Feb 2026 - AFC Champions League
2 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League
24 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
17 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
10 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League
5 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League
1 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League
28 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
25 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
20 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League
28 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
25 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
16 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
8 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
2 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League
1 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League
20 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
12 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
29 Dec 2025 - Saudi Pro League
25 Dec 2025 - Saudi Pro League
Al Ahli vs Al-Najma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Oct 2025 - Saudi Pro League
Al Ahli against Al-Najma Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
S. Al-Jadani
A. Al-Sanbi
DefenderM. Bakor
M. Yousef
E. Al-Muwallad
Z. Aljohani
M. Goncalves
F. Albrikan
W. Al Enezi
DefenderS. Al-Essa
M. Al Fatil
MidfielderR. Rajeh Altulayhi
M. Al-Aqel
A. Abdulaziz Al Harabi
H. Al-Dubais
N. Al-Hawsawi
K. Al-Shammari
Most goals and assists
Al Ahli
Al-Najma
I. Toney
(32 Goals)
L. Vinicius Marques
(7 Goals)
R. Mahrez
(8 Assists)
R. Rajeh Altulayhi
(4 Assists)
,
F. Cardoso
(4 Assists)
Al Ahli - Al-Najma Key Points
- Al Ahli have the best defence in the league so far.
- In six of their last nine games, Al Ahli kept clean sheets.
- Al Najma are coming off their first league win of the season.
- At 15, Al Najma have suffered the joint most defeats in the league.
- Al Ahli won all seven matches against Al Najma, keeping four clean sheets.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Al Ahli vs Al-Najma Prediction
Al Najma have so far had a bad season, and that could extend hereafter, halting it in the last outing. They are coming from a win and will be focused on building on it against a tougher opponent. Based on past head-to-head records though, we don’t feel Al Najma have a chance here.
They are facing one of the league’s best performers and indeed the top defensive side. Al Ahli kept six clean sheets in nine games and will target a seventh in 10 here. Our prediction for Al Ahli v Al Najma is for Al Ahli to win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Al Ahli Al-Najma
| Al Ahli vs Al-Najma | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ahli wins | 1.1 | 1.11 | +0.9% |
| Draw | 9 | 10.5 | +16.7% |
| Al-Najma wins | 37 | 30 | -18.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Al Ahli is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 0.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 90.9% and is now 90.1% (-0.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Al Ahli vs. Al-Najma game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Al Ahli and Al-Najma? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Saudi Pro League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
