Europe - Champions League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Champions League Predictions
It's been a terrible start to the league phase for Ajax. They are rock bottom of the table after the first three games and on Wednesday, host 14th placed Galatasaray. Can the Lancers earn their first Champions League points of the season? Read our match prediction below.
Three successive defeats haven't ended the hopes Ajax have of making it into the next stage of this competition. The Dutch club are only three points behind the final qualifying place with five games in the league phase to play. Their next two games are both on home soil. After the visit of Galatasaray, they are home to Benfica (currently 35th in the table) so Ajax will be out to earn as many points as they can from these two home fixtures.
Galatasaray are only outside the automatic qualification places on goal difference. They have six points from three games but all were earned on home soil. They are top of the Turkish Super Lig but lost their only away game so far 5-1 at Eintracht Frankfurt.
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The Best Betting Odds for Ajax v Galatasaray Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.3 | 3.75 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.75 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.7 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.6 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.65 | 2.05 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Ajax and Galatasaray?
Our prediction for the Ajax vs Galatasaray match is: Galatasaray wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/11/2025 between Ajax and Galatasaray in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.89% for a win of Ajax against Galatasaray with odds of 3.4 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ajax vs Galatasaray is 13.25% with odds of 3.8 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 48.86% chance ⭐ for a win of Galatasaray vs Ajax with odds of 2.1 at Betfred.
Ajax - Galatasaray Prediction and Best Odds:
| Ajax Galatasaray Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray wins | 48.86% | 2.1 at Betfred |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.76% | 1.6 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score | 54.17% | 1.5 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: Galatasaray/Galatasaray | 20.61% | 3.4 at Betfair |
Ajax vs Galatasaray Form
Ajax and Galatasaray's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
|
36
|
0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -13 |
Ajax and Galatasaray Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
26 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
4 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
18 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
27 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
24 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
21 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Super Lig
26 Oct 2025 - Super Lig
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Super Lig
4 Oct 2025 - Super Lig
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Super Lig
26 Oct 2025 - Super Lig
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4 Oct 2025 - Super Lig
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
22 Sept 2025 - Super Lig
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Super Lig
26 Sept 2025 - Super Lig
18 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - Super Lig
24 Aug 2025 - Super Lig
8 Aug 2025 - Super Lig
Ajax vs Galatasaray Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
Ajax - Galatasaray: Form Analysis
Three games in this league phase have all been lost by Ajax. Just one goal has been scored and 11 conceded. This terrible start to their eight games has left them bottom of the league phase but some points from their next two games (both at home) would improve their situation.
Their opening game in the league phase saw them beaten 2-0 at home by last season's losing finalists Inter. Two away games have followed, both being lost heavily. A 4-0 defeat at Marseille was bad enough but then they lost 5-1 at Chelsea.
Ajax are struggling for home wins.
Ajax are fourth in the Dutch Eredivisie with only one league defeat this season. The weekend saw them held to a 1-1 home draw by Heerenveen. Only one of their last four home matches has been won.
Galatasaray have made a good start to their campaign but need to improve their away form. Their only away game in this league phase saw them lose 5-1 at Eintracht Frankfurt. Two home wins over Liverpool and Bodo/Glimt have put the Turkish club in the play-off positions.
They are top of the Turkish Super Lig by four points after 11 games. Nine of those matches have been won with the other two drawn. One of those draws was at the weekend as they were held 0-0 at home by Trabzonspor.
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Ajax against Galatasaray Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Missing players
B. Van den Boomen
ForwardK. Dolberg
S. Berghuis
Ajax & Galatasaray Squad Analysis
A difficult game at Chelsea for Ajax was made even harder by Kenneth Taylor. He was sent off after just 17 minutes and that hugely contributed to their 5-1 defeat at Stamford Bridge. Taylor is suspended for this home game against Galatasaray.
He's one of several players that will be absent on Wednesday. Ajax have two consecutive home games in this league phase. They are struggling for wins but you feel at least one of the two home European fixtures must be won to keep their qualification hopes alive.
Ajax have to stop conceding early goals.
Only one goal has been scored in their opening three games and that was a penalty at Chelsea. Of the 11 goals conceded so far in this league phase, none came after the 52nd minute so they need to keep it tight early on.
Victor Osimhen is going to be a key player for Galatasaray as they look for a first away win. The Nigerian has scored three goals in their last two Champions League wins, all in the first half of the match.
Yunus Akgun will be another threat to Ajax. He's scored twice in the league phase Both he and Osimhen will pose Ajax plenty of problems on Wednesday. Due back for the Turks is Davinson Sanchez who has been suspended.
Most goals and assists
Ajax
Galatasaray
W. Weghorst
(7 Goals)
V. Osimhen
(9 Goals)
M. Godts
(4 Assists)
R. Sallai
(3 Assists)
, 
L. Sane
(3 Assists)
Ajax - Galatasaray Key Points
- Ajax have lost all three of their games in the league phase.
- Ajax have conceded 11 goals in those three games.
- Ajax are yet to score from open play with their only goal in the league phase being a penalty.
- Galatasaray have won their last two Champions League matches.
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Our Ajax vs Galatasaray Prediction
Ajax have conceded 11 goals in their opening three games in the league phase. They are yet to score from open play and tend to concede goals early in their matches. Home form is a bit of a struggle and another tough night lies ahead.
Galatasaray aren't always at their best on the road when playing in Europe. Both of their wins so far have been at home but they have won all five of their Turkish Super Lig games this term by an aggregate score of 12-1. Our main Ajax v Galatasaray prediction is Galatasaray wins.
Ajax vs Galatasaray - Other Interesting Predictions
Most goals scored in the first half
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Ajax Galatasaray
| Ajax vs Galatasaray | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax wins | 2.8 | 3.3 | +17.9% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.75 | +4.2% |
| Galatasaray wins | 2.4 | 2.05 | -14.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Galatasaray is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 14.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 41.7% and is now 48.8% (7.1%)
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Ajax vs Galatasaray match : Frequently asked questions
This Champions League game between Ajax and Galatasaray is being played on Wednesday November 5. It is due to kick-off at 20:00 UK time.
This is the second home game for Ajax in this league phase. Therefore, this game against Galatasaray will be played at the Johan Cruyff Arena in Amsterdam.
To view this match live in the UK, you will need to be a TNT Sports subscriber. Go to our Champions League livescore to access live text commentary and updated statistics. That's information which will assist your in-play bets.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
