England - League Two
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by Ian John | in Football Predictions
AFC Wimbledon host Notts County in their League Two Playoff Semi-Final second leg tie at Plough Lane on Saturday with the hosts holding a narrow 1-0 lead from the first leg. The Dons rock solid defence will be a tough one for the Magpies to beat away from home, especially without the suspended Alassana Jatta, who has notched 19 goals this season for County. Check out our match prediction for this dramatic second leg below!
In the regular season, AFC Wimbledon finished fifth in the table on 73 points, while Notts County finished sixth, just a point behind them in the standings and with a two-worse goal difference. Little wonder that the first leg of this tie proved to be such a close and tight affair.
However, after landing a 1-0 win in the first leg through Riley Harbottle’s header, Wimbledon will feel confident of progressing, despite inconsistent form of late. Their last six has seen two draws, two defeats and most recently two wins, with a final day 1-0 win at Grimsby coming ahead of their playoff first leg victory.
Notts County’s form is even less impressive as they have lost five of their last seven, drawing one and winning one. They lost 2-1 at home to Doncaster in the final day of the season before their 1-0 defeat to Wimbledon in the first leg of this tie.
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The Best Betting Odds for AFC Wimbledon v Notts County Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.25 | 3.1 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.2 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.38 | 3 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.1 | 3 |
|
|
2.6 | 2.37 | 3.3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between AFC Wimbledon and Notts County?
Our prediction for the AFC Wimbledon vs Notts County match is: under 2.5 goals and both teams to score - No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2025 between AFC Wimbledon and Notts County in League Two :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.56% for a win of AFC Wimbledon against Notts County with odds of 2.6 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AFC Wimbledon vs Notts County is 21.18% with odds of 3.2 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.26% chance ⭐ for a win of Notts County vs AFC Wimbledon with odds of 3.35 at Unibet.
AFC Wimbledon - Notts County Prediction and Best Odds:
| AFC Wimbledon Notts County Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| AFC Wimbledon wins | 43.56% | 2.6 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 72.15% | 2.06 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 29.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: AFC Wimbledon | 27.62% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
AFC Wimbledon vs Notts County Form
AFC Wimbledon and Notts County Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - League Two
3 May 2025 - League Two
26 Apr 2025 - League Two
21 Apr 2025 - League Two
18 Apr 2025 - League Two
12 Apr 2025 - League Two
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2025 - League Two
18 Apr 2025 - League Two
5 Apr 2025 - League Two
22 Mar 2025 - League Two
11 Mar 2025 - League Two
8 Mar 2025 - League Two
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - League Two
3 May 2025 - League Two
21 Apr 2025 - League Two
12 Apr 2025 - League Two
1 Apr 2025 - League Two
29 Mar 2025 - League Two
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - League Two
3 May 2025 - League Two
26 Apr 2025 - League Two
21 Apr 2025 - League Two
17 Apr 2025 - League Two
11 Apr 2025 - League Two
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - League Two
3 May 2025 - League Two
21 Apr 2025 - League Two
11 Apr 2025 - League Two
2 Apr 2025 - League Two
22 Mar 2025 - League Two
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2025 - League Two
17 Apr 2025 - League Two
5 Apr 2025 - League Two
29 Mar 2025 - League Two
11 Mar 2025 - League Two
8 Mar 2025 - League Two
AFC Wimbledon vs Notts County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
0 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 May 2025 - League Two
8 Mar 2025 - League Two
19 Oct 2024 - League Two
9 Mar 2024 - League Two
Players list
O. Goodman
DefenderJ. Lewis
R. Johnson
I. Ogundere
MidfielderJ. Reeves
J. Kelly
C. Maycock
A. Smith
J. Neufville
ForwardJ. Tilley
A. Sasu
A. Bass
DefenderL. Macari
J. Bedeau
M. Platt
MidfielderM. Palmer
C. Whitaker
S. Robertson
G. Abbott
W. Jarvis
ForwardJ. Jones
J. Morias
Substitutes
L. Ward
DefenderI. Ogundere
J. Ball
A. Sasu
C. Maycock
J. Pigott
J. Kelly
T. Miller
DefenderR. McDonald
MidfielderJ. Hinchy
C. Edwards
S. Robertson
W. Jarvis
J. Morias
Most goals and assists
AFC Wimbledon
Notts County
M. Stevens
(18 Goals)
A. Jatta
(20 Goals)
J. Reeves
(2 Assists)
AFC Wimbledon - Notts County Key Points
- AFC Wimbledon have the best defensive record in League Two, conceding just 35 goals in 47 games. Ten better than the next best team.
- Both teams have scored in just two of Notts County's last six away games.
- AFC Wimbledon have kept 13 clean sheets in their 23 home games this season.
- In three games between the teams this season, no game has seen both teams score, and only four goals have been scored in total.
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Our AFC Wimbledon vs Notts County Prediction
Our prediction for the AFC Wimbledon vs. Notts County League Two Playoff Semi-Final Second Leg is: under 2.5 goals and both teams to score - No.
The first leg between these two teams was a very cagey affair, decided by a second-half goal for the visitors. With 19-goal striker Alassana Jatta suspended for the game after being sent off late in the first leg, Notts County are up against the best defence in League Two, without their leading scorer. Goals will be at a premium, hence the under 2.5 goals and BTTS - No options look appealing.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AFC Wimbledon Notts County
| AFC Wimbledon vs Notts County | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Wimbledon wins | 2.25 | 2.25 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3.1 | -3.1% |
| Notts County wins | 3.25 | 3.25 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- AFC Wimbledon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 44.4% and is now 44.4% (0.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the AFC Wimbledon vs. Notts County game!
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Try your luck on this year's League Two! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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