AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton Town Prediction & Betting Tips - League One

England - League One

AFC Wimbledon
08/03/2026 08:00
Northampton Town

Prediction :

 

AFC Wimbledon wins

 
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 by Ian John | in League One Predictions

Sunday sees a key League One clash between two teams battling to stay in the division next season. AFC Wimbledon host Northampton Town with the Dons recent form pushing them away from the drop zone, but the Cobblers poor displays of late have seen them dragged deeper into the relegation battle. What will be our match prediction for this crucial drop zone battle?

The current L2 table lays bare the problems both these teams have faced. AFC Wimbledon lie in relative safety in 14th place with 43 points from 33 games. However, they are just seven points outside the drop zone. Northampton Town lie 23rd with 35 points from 35 games, three points adrift of safety.

AFC Wimbledon's recent results have been somewhat mixed, a 3-3 draw away to Barnsley was followed by a 4-1 defeat at Cardiff City. However, after that AFC Wimbledon beat Bradford City 3-1 at home and then last weekend, they earned a creditable 2-2 draw away to Mansfield Town.

Northampton have not won any of their last six games. That run includes a 4-0 defeat at Lincoln, a 2-1 home loss to Leyton Orient and another home defeat 1-0 to Port Vale. The Cobblers then drew 1-1 at home to Peterborough last weekend but in midweek lost 2-1 in the Football League Trophy semi-final at Luton Town.

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AFC Wimbledon v Northampton Town Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.03 3.35 3.75
Melbet
1.93 3.4 3.93
Betwinner
1.93 3.4 3.93
Bet365
1.91 3.25 3.75
Roobet
1.9 3.4 3.75
Check all AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton Town odds

What is the prediction for the football match between AFC Wimbledon and Northampton Town?

Our prediction for the AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton Town match is: AFC Wimbledon wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/03/2026 between AFC Wimbledon and Northampton Town in League One :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.29% for a win of AFC Wimbledon against Northampton Town with odds of 2.03 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton Town is 20.89% with odds of 3.4 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 36.82% chance ⭐ for a win of Northampton Town vs AFC Wimbledon with odds of 3.93 at Melbet.

AFC Wimbledon - Northampton Town Prediction and Best Odds:

AFC Wimbledon Northampton Town Prediction Probability Odds
AFC Wimbledon wins 42.29% 2.03 at Stake
Over 2.5 goals 71.62% 2.05 at Shangrila
Both Team To Score 72.92%
Half-time: Northampton Town / Full-time: AFC Wimbledon 15.84% 27 at LSbet

AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton Town Form

AFC Wimbledon and Northampton Town's standings in the League One

Teams Pts P W D L GD
19 AFC Wimbledon
53 46 15 8 23 -21
24 Northampton Town
35 46 9 8 29 -35

AFC Wimbledon and Northampton Town Last Matches

AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon Last matches
W L D L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

28 Feb 2026 - League One

Mansfield Town
2 :  2
AFC Wimbledon

21 Feb 2026 - League One

AFC Wimbledon
3 :  1
Bradford City FC

17 Feb 2026 - League One

Cardiff
4 :  1
AFC Wimbledon

14 Feb 2026 - League One

Barnsley
3 :  3
AFC Wimbledon

10 Feb 2026 - EFL Trophy

AFC Wimbledon
1 :  2
Northampton Town

7 Feb 2026 - League One

AFC Wimbledon
3 :  2
Reading
W L L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

21 Feb 2026 - League One

AFC Wimbledon
3 :  1
Bradford City FC

10 Feb 2026 - EFL Trophy

AFC Wimbledon
1 :  2
Northampton Town

7 Feb 2026 - League One

AFC Wimbledon
3 :  2
Reading

31 Jan 2026 - League One

AFC Wimbledon
0 :  1
Bolton

17 Jan 2026 - League One

AFC Wimbledon
0 :  1
Doncaster

12 Jan 2026 - EFL Trophy

AFC Wimbledon
4 :  2
West Ham United Reserve
L D W D L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

28 Feb 2026 - League One

Mansfield Town
2 :  2
AFC Wimbledon

17 Feb 2026 - League One

Cardiff
4 :  1
AFC Wimbledon

14 Feb 2026 - League One

Barnsley
3 :  3
AFC Wimbledon

3 Feb 2026 - League One

Port Vale
0 :  1
AFC Wimbledon

24 Jan 2026 - League One

Rotherham
1 :  1
AFC Wimbledon

4 Jan 2026 - League One

Wycombe Wanderers
2 :  0
AFC Wimbledon
Northampton Town
Northampton Town Last matches
D L L L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 Mar 2026 - EFL Trophy

Luton Town
2 :  1
Northampton Town

28 Feb 2026 - League One

Northampton Town
1 :  1
Peterborough

24 Feb 2026 - League One

Northampton Town
0 :  1
Port Vale

21 Feb 2026 - League One

Northampton Town
1 :  2
Leyton Orient London

17 Feb 2026 - League One

Lincoln City
4 :  0
Northampton Town

14 Feb 2026 - League One

Exeter City
0 :  0
Northampton Town
L L W L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

28 Feb 2026 - League One

Northampton Town
1 :  1
Peterborough

24 Feb 2026 - League One

Northampton Town
0 :  1
Port Vale

21 Feb 2026 - League One

Northampton Town
1 :  2
Leyton Orient London

7 Feb 2026 - League One

Northampton Town
3 :  1
Stevenage

31 Jan 2026 - League One

Northampton Town
0 :  2
Reading

17 Jan 2026 - League One

Northampton Town
1 :  2
Wycombe Wanderers
L D W D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

4 Mar 2026 - EFL Trophy

Luton Town
2 :  1
Northampton Town

17 Feb 2026 - League One

Lincoln City
4 :  0
Northampton Town

14 Feb 2026 - League One

Exeter City
0 :  0
Northampton Town

10 Feb 2026 - EFL Trophy

AFC Wimbledon
1 :  2
Northampton Town

3 Feb 2026 - League One

Barnsley
2 :  2
Northampton Town

27 Jan 2026 - League One

Rotherham
2 :  1
Northampton Town

AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton Town Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

AFC Wimbledon

0 %

Draw

0 %

Northampton Town

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
100%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
2.5
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

10 Feb 2026 - EFL Trophy

AFC Wimbledon
1 :  2
Northampton Town

19 Dec 2025 - League One

Northampton Town
3 :  1
AFC Wimbledon

Players list

AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon
Goalkeeper

J. McDonnell

Defender

S. Seddon

I. Ogundere

P. Bauer

R. Johnson

Midfielder

A. Smith

M. Hippolyte

M. Browne

C. Maycock

Forward

J. Tilley

M. Stevens

Northampton Town
Northampton Town
Goalkeeper

L. Burge

Defender

M. Forbes

E. Moore

Midfielder

D. Campbell

T. Taylor

J. Burroughs

T. Fornah

C. McGeehan

J. Perkins

Forward

J. Evans

T. Eaves

Substitutes

AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon
Defender

N. Asiimwe

J. Lewis

J. Tilley 66'

Midfielder

Z. Nelson

M. Hippolyte 72'

J. Reeves

C. Maycock 87'

Forward

O. Bugiel

M. Stevens 72'

A. Hackford

M. Browne 86'

R. Junior Nkeng

Northampton Town
Northampton Town
Goalkeeper

R. Fitzsimons

Defender

N. Guinness-Walker

J. Burroughs 46'

M. Dyche

T. Fornah 31'

Midfielder

E. List

Forward

M. Jacobs

T. Taylor 86'

J. Vale

T. Eaves 55'

S. Hoskins

J. Perkins 46'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato AFC Wimbledon
CD Huachipato Northampton Town
Top Goalscorer
England M. Browne (12 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England T. Eaves (8 Goals)

AFC Wimbledon - Northampton Town Key Points

  1. AFC Wimbledon have lost just one of their last six league games (W3, D2).
  2. Northampton have not won any of their last six games (D2, L4).
  3. Only bottom club Port Vale have scored fewer than Northampton's 31 goals in the league this season.
  4. Northampton have won just three of 17 away league games (D4, L10).
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Our AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton Town Prediction

Our prediction for the AFC Wimbledon vs. Northampton Town League One match is: AFC Wimbledon wins.

Northampton's recent form and long-term form over the course of the season is very worrying for Cobblers fans. They do boast a good record against AFC Wimbledon, with two wins this season over them in league and cup, but the Dons are in much better form than their opponents and have home advantage in this key game. As such, we're backing them to pick up the three points here.

Prediction :

 

AFC Wimbledon wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AFC Wimbledon Northampton Town

AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton Town Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
AFC Wimbledon wins 2.03 2.03 0%
Draw 3.35 3.4 +1.5%
Northampton Town wins 3.75 3.93 +4.8%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • AFC Wimbledon is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
  • The probability of this result was 49.3% and is now 49.3% (0.0%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton Town Prediction