AEK Larnaca vs Shkendija Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
Europe - Conference League
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Conference League Predictions
AEK Larnaca will conclude their UEFA Conference League opening round phase by hosting Shkendija. The two teams harbor hopes of qualifying for the knockout rounds. Read on for our prediction of the match.
AEK Larnaca are seeking to qualify for the next round without needing to play a two-legged playoff. The Cypriot giants currently occupy 10th place in the standings and are tied with four other teams on nine points.
Imanol Idiakez’s men, who are yet to lose any of their five fixtures, need to finish among the top eight teams to qualify directly. The Guardians, who are just a point outside the top eight, drew 1-1 away to Hacken on matchday five.
Shkendija’s chances of qualifying for the round of 16 directly are a bit complicated. The Macedonian side, which is 21st in the standings coming into this game, is three points adrift of the top eight.
Therefore, a win here doesn’t guarantee a top-eight finish; it, however, will confirm a two-legged playoff tie. Shkendija have won twice through five rounds and lost another two times.
Tied with four other teams on seven points, the Ballists are just one point separated from the teams outside the playoff bracket.
Shkendija have won their last three fixtures across all competitions and defeated Slovan Bratislava 2-0 at home on matchday five.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
AEK Larnaca v Shkendija Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.43 | 5 | 7.6 |
|
|
1.42 | 5.05 | 6.75 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.62 | 7 |
|
|
1.38 | 5 | 7 |
|
|
1.42 | 4.8 | 7.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between AEK Larnaca and Shkendija?
Our prediction for the AEK Larnaca vs Shkendija match is: AEK Larnaca wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/12/2025 between AEK Larnaca and Shkendija in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.69% for a win of AEK Larnaca against Shkendija with odds of 1.44 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AEK Larnaca vs Shkendija is 32.49% with odds of 5.05 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.82% chance ⭐ for a win of Shkendija vs AEK Larnaca with odds of 7.6 at Stake.
AEK Larnaca - Shkendija Prediction and Best Odds:
| AEK Larnaca Shkendija Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| AEK Larnaca wins | 36.69% | 1.44 at Betwinner |
| Under 2.5 | 55.31% | 2.24 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 54.76% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: AEK Larnaca | 15.42% | 4.1 at LSbet |
AEK Larnaca vs Shkendija Form
AEK Larnaca and Shkendija's standings in the Conference League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 |
|
22
|
7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 |
AEK Larnaca and Shkendija Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2025 - Cypriot First Division
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
6 Dec 2025 - Cypriot First Division
1 Dec 2025 - Cypriot First Division
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
22 Nov 2025 - Cypriot First Division
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2025 - Cypriot First Division
6 Dec 2025 - Cypriot First Division
9 Nov 2025 - Cypriot First Division
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
27 Oct 2025 - Cypriot First Division
5 Oct 2025 - Cypriot First Division
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
1 Dec 2025 - Cypriot First Division
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
22 Nov 2025 - Cypriot First Division
2 Nov 2025 - Cypriot First Division
30 Oct 2025 - Super Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
6 Dec 2025 - 1. MFL
1 Dec 2025 - 1. MFL
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
23 Nov 2025 - 1. MFL
19 Nov 2025 - Macedonia Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
1 Dec 2025 - 1. MFL
19 Nov 2025 - Macedonia Cup
10 Nov 2025 - 1. MFL
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
27 Oct 2025 - 1. MFL
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - 1. MFL
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
23 Nov 2025 - 1. MFL
15 Nov 2025 - 1. MFL
31 Oct 2025 - 1. MFL
6 Oct 2025 - 1. MFL
AEK Larnaca against Shkendija Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
D. Dimitriou
A. Paraskevas
DefenderP. Ioannou
J. Gnali
E. Saborit
D. Gerasimou
C. Loukaidis
E. Cabrera
C. Thoma
ForwardM. Gonzalez Rivas
K. Angielski
A. Amzai
DefenderA. Meljichi
N. Ajetovikj
M. Murati
E. Belica
MidfielderE. Krasniqi
F. Ramadani
A. Alhassan
F. Tamba
A. Mazari
F. Ademi
L. Kaba
Most goals and assists
AEK Larnaca
Shkendija
R. Bajic
(2 Goals)
L. Latifi
(1 Goals)
,
S. Spahiu
(1 Goals)
M. Rohden
(2 Assists)
R. Webster
(2 Assists)
AEK Larnaca - Shkendija Key Points
- Larnaca haven’t lost in 13 consecutive outings.
- Shkendija have lost twice in their last three away fixtures.
- Larnaca have conceded just one goal in the Conference League.
- Both of Shkendija’s losses in the Conference League have come away from home.
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Our AEK Larnaca vs Shkendija Prediction
Our prediction for AEK Larnaca v Shkendija is that AEK Larnaca wins. This is the final match of the league phase for these two teams. Both are seeking to qualify for the next round of the competition. As a result, we should see a closely fought battle that could most likely produce a low-scoring outcome.
In the end, though, we have Larnaca coming out victorious. The hosts haven’t lost in the Conference League yet and are also arriving for this match with an extensive unbeaten streak. Their chances of a win are also significantly strengthened by Shkendija’s unconvincing away form.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AEK Larnaca Shkendija
| AEK Larnaca vs Shkendija | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Larnaca wins | 1.48 | 1.44 | -2.7% |
| Draw | 4.22 | 5.05 | +19.7% |
| Shkendija wins | 7.2 | 7.6 | +5.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- AEK Larnaca is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 67.6% and is now 69.4% (1.9%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the AEK Larnaca vs. Shkendija game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
