AEK Athens vs Olympiacos Prediction & Betting Tips - Superleague
Greece - Superleague
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Football Predictions
Newly crowned champions AEK Athens will host Olympiacos at Allwyn Arena on matchday six of the Greek Super League - Championship Group. A closely contested affair is undoubtedly on the cards and goals could prove hard to come by, with their last seven meetings producing under 2.5 goals. Our prediction leans towards another low-scoring encounter in Athens.
AEK Athens clinched the Greek Super League crown for the first time in three years after a 2-1 comeback victory over Panathinaikos on May 10th.
Unfortunately, they couldn't build on that result as they dropped points in their recent match against PAOK, playing a 1-1 draw on the road.
The Double-Headed Eagle have home advantage, and this is where they've won their last five matches in a row.
With this being the last round in the 2025-26 Greek Super League campaign, Olympiacos cannot afford any slip-ups if they are to finish inside the top two. They have accumulated 65 points and are two points ahead of third-placed PAOK.
It has been an unconvincing display from the Red-Whites in the Championship Group. They have won just two of their last five matches.
In their recent match, they beat Panathinaikos 1-0 at home. That outcome halted a two-match winless run. Away from home, they have been a difficult opponent to overcome, with just one loss in their last 12 matches.
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AEK Athens v Olympiacos Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.95 | 3.05 | 2.32 |
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3.14 | 3.02 | 2.4 |
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3.15 | 3 | 2.4 |
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3.1 | 3.1 | 2.35 |
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2.98 | 3.05 | 2.36 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between AEK Athens and Olympiacos?
Our prediction for the AEK Athens vs Olympiacos match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2026 between AEK Athens and Olympiacos in Superleague :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.96% for a win of AEK Athens against Olympiacos with odds of 3.19 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AEK Athens vs Olympiacos is 23.1% with odds of 3.25 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.93% chance ⭐ for a win of Olympiacos vs AEK Athens with odds of 2.5 at Shangrila.
AEK Athens - Olympiacos Prediction and Best Odds:
| AEK Athens Olympiacos Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens wins | 39.96% | 3.19 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 53.53% | 1.81 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score: No | 68.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: AEK Athens | 17.16% | 7.25 at LSbet |
AEK Athens vs Olympiacos Form
AEK Athens and Olympiacos's standings in the Superleague
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
72 | 32 | 21 | 9 | 2 | +37 |
|
2
|
66 | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | +34 |
AEK Athens and Olympiacos Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 May 2026 - Superleague
10 May 2026 - Superleague
3 May 2026 - Superleague
19 Apr 2026 - Superleague
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Superleague
19 Apr 2026 - Superleague
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
22 Mar 2026 - Superleague
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
7 Mar 2026 - Superleague
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 May 2026 - Superleague
3 May 2026 - Superleague
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
5 Apr 2026 - Superleague
15 Mar 2026 - Superleague
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 May 2026 - Superleague
10 May 2026 - Superleague
3 May 2026 - Superleague
19 Apr 2026 - Superleague
5 Apr 2026 - Superleague
22 Mar 2026 - Superleague
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 May 2026 - Superleague
10 May 2026 - Superleague
5 Apr 2026 - Superleague
22 Mar 2026 - Superleague
8 Mar 2026 - Superleague
21 Feb 2026 - Superleague
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Superleague
19 Apr 2026 - Superleague
14 Mar 2026 - Superleague
1 Mar 2026 - Superleague
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - Superleague
AEK Athens vs Olympiacos Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Apr 2026 - Superleague
1 Feb 2026 - Superleague
26 Oct 2025 - Superleague
27 Apr 2025 - Superleague
13 Apr 2025 - Superleague
2 Apr 2025 - Greece Cup
AEK Athens against Olympiacos Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
A. Angelopoulos
DefenderJ. Penrice
D. Vida
M. Georgiev
MidfielderD. Kutesa
R. Ljubicic
N. Eliasson
P. Mantalos
Joao Mario
M. Grujic
ForwardB. Varga
H. Sahabo
A. Paschalakis
G. Kouraklis
DefenderA. Kalogeropoulos
R. Vezo
G. Biancone
S. Hezze
D. Nascimento
A. Liatsikouras
C. Mouzakitis
ForwardG. Martins
M. Taremi
Andre luiz
Most goals and assists
AEK Athens - Olympiacos Key Points
- AEK Athens have seen two of their last three league games end with under 2.5 goals.
- Olympiacos' last two league games have produced under 2.5 goals.
- AEK Athens have seen their last seven meetings with Olympiacos end with under 2.5 goals.
- Olympiacos finished the first phase of the Greek Super League with the best defensive record (GA 11).
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Our AEK Athens vs Olympiacos Prediction
AEK Athens have the ideal chance to round off the season strongly, in front of their home crowd. They have been a force to be reckoned with at Allwyn Arena winning each of their last five league games.
However, Olympiacos have made life difficult for them with the visitors winning two of their last four meetings at this venue. It's worth noting that each of those outings produced under 2.5 goals. In fact, this has been a trend in their last seven meetings. Our AEK Athens vs Olympiacos prediction: less than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AEK Athens Olympiacos
| AEK Athens vs Olympiacos | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens wins | 2.52 | 3.19 | +26.6% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 3.25 | +4.8% |
| Olympiacos wins | 2.91 | 2.5 | -14.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- AEK Athens is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 26.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 39.7% and is now 31.3% (-8.3%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.