AEK Athens vs Olympiacos Prediction & Betting Tips - Superleague

Greece - Superleague

AEK Athens
17/05/2026 12:30
Olympiacos

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in Football Predictions

Newly crowned champions AEK Athens will host Olympiacos at Allwyn Arena on matchday six of the Greek Super League - Championship Group. A closely contested affair is undoubtedly on the cards and goals could prove hard to come by, with their last seven meetings producing under 2.5 goals. Our prediction leans towards another low-scoring encounter in Athens.

AEK Athens clinched the Greek Super League crown for the first time in three years after a 2-1 comeback victory over Panathinaikos on May 10th.

Unfortunately, they couldn't build on that result as they dropped points in their recent match against PAOK, playing a 1-1 draw on the road.

The Double-Headed Eagle have home advantage, and this is where they've won their last five matches in a row.

With this being the last round in the 2025-26 Greek Super League campaign, Olympiacos cannot afford any slip-ups if they are to finish inside the top two. They have accumulated 65 points and are two points ahead of third-placed PAOK.

It has been an unconvincing display from the Red-Whites in the Championship Group. They have won just two of their last five matches.

In their recent match, they beat Panathinaikos 1-0 at home. That outcome halted a two-match winless run. Away from home, they have been a difficult opponent to overcome, with just one loss in their last 12 matches.

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AEK Athens v Olympiacos Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.95 3.05 2.32
Melbet
3.14 3.02 2.4
Betwinner
3.15 3 2.4
Bet365
3.1 3.1 2.35
Roobet
2.98 3.05 2.36
Check all AEK Athens vs Olympiacos odds

What is the prediction for the football match between AEK Athens and Olympiacos?

Our prediction for the AEK Athens vs Olympiacos match is: less than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2026 between AEK Athens and Olympiacos in Superleague :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.96% for a win of AEK Athens against Olympiacos with odds of 3.19 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AEK Athens vs Olympiacos is 23.1% with odds of 3.25 at LSbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 36.93% chance ⭐ for a win of Olympiacos vs AEK Athens with odds of 2.5 at Shangrila.

AEK Athens - Olympiacos Prediction and Best Odds:

AEK Athens Olympiacos Prediction Probability Odds
AEK Athens wins 39.96% 3.19 at 888Starz
Under 2.5 53.53% 1.81 at Betsson
Both Team To Score: No 68.33%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: AEK Athens 17.16% 7.25 at LSbet

AEK Athens vs Olympiacos Form

AEK Athens and Olympiacos's standings in the Superleague

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 AEK Athens
72 32 21 9 2 +37
2 Olympiacos
66 32 19 9 4 +34

AEK Athens and Olympiacos Last Matches

AEK Athens
AEK Athens Last matches
L W W D W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 May 2026 - Superleague

PAOK Thessaloniki
1 :  1
AEK Athens

10 May 2026 - Superleague

AEK Athens
2 :  1
Panathinaikos Athens

3 May 2026 - Superleague

Panathinaikos Athens
0 :  0
AEK Athens

19 Apr 2026 - Superleague

AEK Athens
3 :  0
PAOK Thessaloniki

16 Apr 2026 - Conference League

AEK Athens
3 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

9 Apr 2026 - Conference League

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  0
AEK Athens
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 May 2026 - Superleague

AEK Athens
2 :  1
Panathinaikos Athens

19 Apr 2026 - Superleague

AEK Athens
3 :  0
PAOK Thessaloniki

16 Apr 2026 - Conference League

AEK Athens
3 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

22 Mar 2026 - Superleague

AEK Athens
3 :  0
AE Kifisia FC

19 Mar 2026 - Conference League

AEK Athens
0 :  2
NK Celje

7 Mar 2026 - Superleague

AEK Athens
1 :  0
AE Larissa FC
W D W L D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

13 May 2026 - Superleague

PAOK Thessaloniki
1 :  1
AEK Athens

3 May 2026 - Superleague

Panathinaikos Athens
0 :  0
AEK Athens

9 Apr 2026 - Conference League

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  0
AEK Athens

5 Apr 2026 - Superleague

Olympiacos
0 :  1
AEK Athens

15 Mar 2026 - Superleague

Atromitos Athinon
2 :  2
AEK Athens

12 Mar 2026 - Conference League

NK Celje
0 :  4
AEK Athens
Olympiacos
Olympiacos Last matches
D L W L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

13 May 2026 - Superleague

Olympiacos
1 :  0
Panathinaikos Athens

10 May 2026 - Superleague

Olympiacos
1 :  1
PAOK Thessaloniki

3 May 2026 - Superleague

PAOK Thessaloniki
3 :  1
Olympiacos

19 Apr 2026 - Superleague

Panathinaikos Athens
0 :  2
Olympiacos

5 Apr 2026 - Superleague

Olympiacos
0 :  1
AEK Athens

22 Mar 2026 - Superleague

Olympiacos
0 :  0
AE Larissa FC
W D D L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

13 May 2026 - Superleague

Olympiacos
1 :  0
Panathinaikos Athens

10 May 2026 - Superleague

Olympiacos
1 :  1
PAOK Thessaloniki

5 Apr 2026 - Superleague

Olympiacos
0 :  1
AEK Athens

22 Mar 2026 - Superleague

Olympiacos
0 :  0
AE Larissa FC

8 Mar 2026 - Superleague

Olympiacos
0 :  0
PAOK Thessaloniki

21 Feb 2026 - Superleague

Olympiacos
2 :  0
Panaitolikos Agrinio
D D W W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 May 2026 - Superleague

PAOK Thessaloniki
3 :  1
Olympiacos

19 Apr 2026 - Superleague

Panathinaikos Athens
0 :  2
Olympiacos

14 Mar 2026 - Superleague

OFI Crete
0 :  3
Olympiacos

1 Mar 2026 - Superleague

Panserraikos FC
1 :  2
Olympiacos

24 Feb 2026 - Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen
0 :  0
Olympiacos

14 Feb 2026 - Superleague

APO Levadiakos FC
0 :  0
Olympiacos

AEK Athens vs Olympiacos Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

AEK Athens

33 %

Draw

17 %

Olympiacos

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.67
Total goals
16.67%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

5 Apr 2026 - Superleague

Olympiacos
0 :  1
AEK Athens

1 Feb 2026 - Superleague

AEK Athens
1 :  1
Olympiacos

26 Oct 2025 - Superleague

Olympiacos
2 :  0
AEK Athens

27 Apr 2025 - Superleague

AEK Athens
0 :  2
Olympiacos

13 Apr 2025 - Superleague

Olympiacos
1 :  0
AEK Athens

2 Apr 2025 - Greece Cup

AEK Athens
2 :  0
Olympiacos
AEK Athens vs Olympiacos Prediction

AEK Athens against Olympiacos Lineups: Starting 11

AEK Athens

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

91
A. Brignoli
12
L. Rota
2
H. Moukoudi
44
F. Relvas
3
S. Pilios
11
A. Koita
13
O. Pineda
18
R. Marin
37
R. Pereyra
90
Zini
9
L. Jovic
9
A. El Kaabi
56
D. Podence
22
Chiquinho
23
Rodinei
16
L. Scipioni
14
D. Garcia
3
F. Ortega
5
L. Pirola
45
P. Retsos
20
Costinha
88
K. Tzolakis

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Olympiacos

Substitutes

AEK Athens
AEK Athens
Goalkeeper

A. Angelopoulos

Defender

J. Penrice

D. Vida

M. Georgiev

Midfielder

D. Kutesa

Zini 66'

R. Ljubicic

L. Jovic 90'

N. Eliasson

P. Mantalos

Joao Mario

O. Pineda 66'

M. Grujic

Forward

B. Varga

R. Pereyra 51'

H. Sahabo

Olympiacos
Olympiacos
Goalkeeper

A. Paschalakis

G. Kouraklis

Defender

A. Kalogeropoulos

R. Vezo

G. Biancone

Costinha 80'

Midfielder

S. Hezze

D. Garcia 56'

D. Nascimento

A. Liatsikouras

C. Mouzakitis

Forward

G. Martins

D. Podence 56'

M. Taremi

A. El Kaabi 74'

Andre luiz

L. Scipioni 80'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato AEK Athens
CD Huachipato Olympiacos
Top Goalscorer
Serbia L. Jovic (17 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Morocco A. El Kaabi (18 Goals)
Best assists
Romania R. Marin (6 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal Chiquinho (5 Assists)
Portugal D. Podence (5 Assists)

AEK Athens - Olympiacos Key Points

  1. AEK Athens have seen two of their last three league games end with under 2.5 goals.
  2. Olympiacos' last two league games have produced under 2.5 goals.
  3. AEK Athens have seen their last seven meetings with Olympiacos end with under 2.5 goals.
  4. Olympiacos finished the first phase of the Greek Super League with the best defensive record (GA 11).
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Our AEK Athens vs Olympiacos Prediction

AEK Athens have the ideal chance to round off the season strongly, in front of their home crowd. They have been a force to be reckoned with at Allwyn Arena winning each of their last five league games.

However, Olympiacos have made life difficult for them with the visitors winning two of their last four meetings at this venue. It's worth noting that each of those outings produced under 2.5 goals. In fact, this has been a trend in their last seven meetings. Our AEK Athens vs Olympiacos prediction: less than 2.5 goals. 

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AEK Athens Olympiacos

AEK Athens vs Olympiacos Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
AEK Athens wins 2.52 3.19 +26.6%
Draw 3.1 3.25 +4.8%
Olympiacos wins 2.91 2.5 -14.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • AEK Athens is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 26.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 39.7% and is now 31.3% (-8.3%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.