Adrian Mannarino vs Sho Shimabukuro Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Acapulco Open

ATP - ATP Acapulco Open

ATP 46 France
Adrian Mannarino
24/02/2026 23:10
ATP 104 Japan
Sho Shimabukuro

Prediction :

 

Adrian Mannarino wins

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Tennis Predictions

What better way for Adrian Mannarino vs Sho Shimabukuro than in the RO32 of the 2026 Acapulco Open? 130th-ranked underdog Shimabukuro will be looking for another upset, but Mannarino is determined for redemption after just losing the Open Occitanie earlier this month. Let's get into this match prediction.

Following 11 straight singles defeats, Mannarino locked in and made it all the way to the Open Occitanie this February before losing out to World No.8 Felix-Auger Aliassime. He had his eyes set on the next prize after beating Adam Walton in the Dallas Open, but Ben Shelton cut that dream short in a dramatic three-set 19-16 brawl.

Mannarino now jumps straight into the RO32 of the Acapulco Open with the goal of another deep run that could see him end his three-year title drought with a sixth trophy. But Japan’s Shimabukuro has other ideas. Shimabukuro is already off to a great start in this tournament with two qualification wins without conceding a set.

His latest victory was a walkover against Zachary Svadja, the heavy underdog, who took an early 5-1 lead in the first set. What's more, Shimabukuro has won six of his last eight singles. Although all six were qualifying games, which were immediately followed by exits in the main knockouts.

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Adrian Mannarino v Sho Shimabukuro Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
1.73 2.1
Betwinner
1.73 2.1
Bet365
1.73 2.1
Roobet
1.68 2.08
BC Game
1.68 2.08
Check all Adrian Mannarino vs Sho Shimabukuro odds

Who will win the Adrian Mannarino vs Sho Shimabukuro Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Adrian Mannarino vs Sho Shimabukuro match is: Adrian Mannarino wins.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Adrian Mannarino vs Sho Shimabukuro game on 24/02/2026 of the current ATP Acapulco Open season:

  • Adrian Mannarino has a 50.5% chance to win against Sho Shimabukuro according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.73.
  • Sho Shimabukuro has a 49.5% probability of winning facing Adrian Mannarino ⭐ with odds of 2.12 at Shangrila.

Adrian Mannarino vs Sho Shimabukuro Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Adrian Mannarino has a 50.5 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Adrian Mannarino50.5 %
Sho Shimabukuro49.5 %

Adrian Mannarino vs Sho Shimabukuro Form

Adrian Mannarino and Sho Shimabukuro Last Matches

Adrian Mannarino Last matches
W W W L W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

12 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open

Adrian Mannarino
1 :  2
Ben Shelton

11 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open

Adam Walton
0 :  2
Adrian Mannarino

8 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier

Felix Auger Aliassime
2 :  0
Adrian Mannarino

7 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier

Adrian Mannarino
2 :  1
Martin Damm Jr

6 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier

Adrian Mannarino
2 :  1
Arthur Gea

4 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier

Ugo Humbert
1 :  2
Adrian Mannarino
Sho Shimabukuro Last matches
W L W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

21 Feb 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open

Rafael Alfonso De Alba Valdes
0 :  2
Sho Shimabukuro

16 Feb 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open

Sho Shimabukuro
0 :  2
Marcos Giron

15 Feb 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open

Adam Walton
0 :  2
Sho Shimabukuro

14 Feb 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open

Benjamin Willwerth
0 :  2
Sho Shimabukuro

10 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open

Sho Shimabukuro
1 :  2
Miomir Kecmanovic

8 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open

Sho Shimabukuro
2 :  0
Bernard Tomic

Adrian Mannarino - Sho Shimabukuro Key Points

  1. Mannarino ranks 51st, significantly higher than Sho Shimabukuro at 130th.
  2. Shimabukuro has failed to win the first knockout game after the qualification stage in his last two tournaments.
  3. Mannarino has won five ATP singles titles, while Shimabukuro has yet to win his first.
  4. Mannarino has won five of his last seven singles, reaching a final and only losing to World No.5 and 8.
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Our Adrian Mannarino vs Sho Shimabukuro Prediction

The betting odds suggest a tight affair, which makes sense considering Shimabukuro’s incredible win rate on hardcourt. However, we're banking on Mannarino for his experience, and particularly, his recent surge.

While Shimabukuro has won six of his last eight games, he never made it past the first game after the qualifiers in that span. Meanwhile, Mannarino won five of his last seven games, reaching a final and losing two to two of the top ten players today. Hence, our Adrian Mannarino vs Sho Shimabukuro prediction is that Adrian Mannarino wins.

Prediction :

 

Adrian Mannarino wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Adrian Mannarino vs Sho Shimabukuro Prediction