Adrian Mannarino vs Sho Shimabukuro Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Acapulco Open
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Tennis Predictions
What better way for Adrian Mannarino vs Sho Shimabukuro than in the RO32 of the 2026 Acapulco Open? 130th-ranked underdog Shimabukuro will be looking for another upset, but Mannarino is determined for redemption after just losing the Open Occitanie earlier this month. Let's get into this match prediction.
Following 11 straight singles defeats, Mannarino locked in and made it all the way to the Open Occitanie this February before losing out to World No.8 Felix-Auger Aliassime. He had his eyes set on the next prize after beating Adam Walton in the Dallas Open, but Ben Shelton cut that dream short in a dramatic three-set 19-16 brawl.
Mannarino now jumps straight into the RO32 of the Acapulco Open with the goal of another deep run that could see him end his three-year title drought with a sixth trophy. But Japan’s Shimabukuro has other ideas. Shimabukuro is already off to a great start in this tournament with two qualification wins without conceding a set.
His latest victory was a walkover against Zachary Svadja, the heavy underdog, who took an early 5-1 lead in the first set. What's more, Shimabukuro has won six of his last eight singles. Although all six were qualifying games, which were immediately followed by exits in the main knockouts.
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Adrian Mannarino v Sho Shimabukuro Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.73 | 2.10 |
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|
1.73 | 2.10 |
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|
1.73 | 2.10 |
|
|
1.68 | 2.08 |
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|
1.68 | 2.08 |
|
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Adrian Mannarino vs Sho Shimabukuro Form
Adrian Mannarino and Sho Shimabukuro Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
12 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open
11 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open
8 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier
7 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier
6 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier
4 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
21 Feb 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open
16 Feb 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open
15 Feb 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open
14 Feb 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open
10 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open
8 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open
Adrian Mannarino - Sho Shimabukuro Key Points
- Mannarino ranks 51st, significantly higher than Sho Shimabukuro at 130th.
- Shimabukuro has failed to win the first knockout game after the qualification stage in his last two tournaments.
- Mannarino has won five ATP singles titles, while Shimabukuro has yet to win his first.
- Mannarino has won five of his last seven singles, reaching a final and only losing to World No.5 and 8.
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Our Adrian Mannarino vs Sho Shimabukuro Prediction
The betting odds suggest a tight affair, which makes sense considering Shimabukuro’s incredible win rate on hardcourt. However, we're banking on Mannarino for his experience, and particularly, his recent surge.
While Shimabukuro has won six of his last eight games, he never made it past the first game after the qualifiers in that span. Meanwhile, Mannarino won five of his last seven games, reaching a final and losing two to two of the top ten players today. Hence, our Adrian Mannarino vs Sho Shimabukuro prediction is that Adrian Mannarino wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
