Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions
Friday’s A-League action kicks off with Adelaide United taking on Wellington Phoenix at Coopers Stadium. The Reds are fourth in the league standings, while the Nix are bottom of the table. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Adelaide United slipped two points behind Sydney FC in third place in the league standings last week after playing out a 1-1 draw against Melbourne Victory on the road.
Still, the Reds are now unbeaten in their last three league games (W2 D1), and have scored 33 goals in the top flight to date, which is the second-most, only behind league-leading Newcastle.
Notably, the hosts have the best home record in the division this season with 19 points earned from 10 games (W6 D1 L3). They are unbeaten in their last six league games at this venue against this opponent.
Meanwhile, Wellington Phoenix dropped to the foot of the A-League last weekend after suffering a 1-0 loss to Sydney FC - their ninth league defeat of the season.
The Nix have now gone six matches without victory (D2 L4) and conceded 17 goals during this winless run, taking their tally to 39 for the season, eight more than any other team in the league.
The visitors have the second-worst away record this season (W2 D3 L3), but it is worth noting that seven of their nine points earned have come in their last four games on the road (W2 D1 L1).
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Adelaide United v Wellington Phoenix Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.75 | 4.3 | 3.95 |
|
|
1.74 | 4.38 | 3.98 |
|
|
1.74 | 4.22 | 4.12 |
|
|
1.61 | 4.33 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.73 | 4.3 | 3.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Adelaide United and Wellington Phoenix?
Our prediction for the Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/03/2026 between Adelaide United and Wellington Phoenix in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.43% for a win of Adelaide United against Wellington Phoenix with odds of 1.8 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix is 17.9% with odds of 4.38 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.67% chance ⭐ for a win of Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United with odds of 4.22 at 888Starz.
Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix Prediction and Best Odds:
| Adelaide United Wellington Phoenix Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Adelaide United wins | 53.43% | 1.8 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 79.63% | |
| Both Team To Score | 70.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Adelaide United/Adelaide United | 29.6% | 2.75 at Bet365 |
Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix Form
Adelaide United and Wellington Phoenix's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
43 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | +10 |
|
8
|
33 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -12 |
Adelaide United and Wellington Phoenix Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Feb 2026 - A-League
20 Feb 2026 - A-League
14 Feb 2026 - A-League
8 Feb 2026 - A-League
30 Jan 2026 - A-League
24 Jan 2026 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Feb 2026 - A-League
8 Feb 2026 - A-League
30 Jan 2026 - A-League
17 Jan 2026 - A-League
4 Jan 2026 - A-League
27 Dec 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Feb 2026 - A-League
14 Feb 2026 - A-League
24 Jan 2026 - A-League
10 Jan 2026 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - A-League
20 Feb 2026 - A-League
13 Feb 2026 - A-League
6 Feb 2026 - A-League
30 Jan 2026 - A-League
23 Jan 2026 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - A-League
20 Feb 2026 - A-League
6 Feb 2026 - A-League
30 Jan 2026 - A-League
10 Jan 2026 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Feb 2026 - A-League
23 Jan 2026 - A-League
18 Jan 2026 - A-League
3 Jan 2026 - A-League
29 Dec 2025 - A-League
5 Dec 2025 - A-League
Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Jan 2026 - A-League
28 Nov 2025 - A-League
18 Apr 2025 - A-League
10 Jan 2025 - A-League
2 Mar 2024 - A-League
5 May 2023 - A-League
Adelaide United against Wellington Phoenix Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
E. Cox
DefenderS. Phillis
MidfielderL. Duzel
A. Ayoubi
J. Garuccio
B. Burkitt
B. Folami
A. Kelly-Heald
DefenderL. Kelly-Heald
D. Edwards
T. Payne
L. Brooke-Smith
S. Kartum
N. Mileusnic
Most goals and assists
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
L. Jovanovic
(11 Goals)
E. Ifeanyi
(10 Goals)
Y. Dukuly
(7 Assists)
K. Nagasawa
(4 Assists)
, 
C. Piper
(4 Assists)
,
T. Payne
(4 Assists)
Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix Key Points
- Eight of Adelaide United’s last 10 games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Adelaide United have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last eight home games.
- Four of Wellington Phoenix’s last six games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Wellington Phoenix have conceded the most goals in the league this season.
- Both teams have scored in each of the last six matches between these sides.
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Our Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction
Adelaide United are looking to go four games without defeat this weekend, and they have been impressive in attack this season, scoring 33 goals, but they have also conceded 28 to date.
Wellington Phoenix have also been scoring goals with regularity this term, but they’ve struggled massively to keep them out. Each of the last six games between these sides ended with both teams scoring, and we’re expecting the same in this one. Our Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Adelaide United Wellington Phoenix
| Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide United wins | 1.93 | 1.8 | -6.7% |
| Draw | 4 | 4.38 | +9.5% |
| Wellington Phoenix wins | 3.55 | 4.22 | +18.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Adelaide United is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 51.8% and is now 55.6% (3.7%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
