Adelaide United vs Melbourne City Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League

Australia - A-League

Adelaide United
21/11/2025 03:35
Melbourne City

Prediction :

 

2-4 match goals

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions

Matchday 5 in the A-League kicks off with Adelaide United playing host to Melbourne City at Coopers Stadium on Friday. The Reds are sixth in the league standings, while the City Boys are third after four games. Let’s get into the match prediction!

Adelaide United have made a mixed start to the 2025-26 season, now on six points after splitting their first four games, two wins and two defeats. 

The Reds went into the international break off the back of a 2-0 victory over Western Sydney Wanderers. Luka Jovanovic picked up a goal and an assist in the match and now has three goal involvements in his last two appearances. 

The hosts’ both wins this season came at home, and they are unbeaten in their last 10 matches against this opponent at this venue dating back to 2018 (W5 D5). 

Meanwhile, Melbourne City have taken eight points from their four games this term (W2 D2) and are one of only two teams that have yet to lose a match in the top flight this season. 

Max Caputo scored the opener in City’s 2-0 win over Melbourne Victory in the last match. The attacker has now netted four goals in as many league games for the team this season. 

The visitors have taken five points from their three away league games to date (W1 D2) and only conceded one goal in those matches.

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Adelaide United v Melbourne City Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.8 3.55 2.26
Melbet
2.69 3.8 2.39
Betwinner
2.69 3.8 2.39
Bet365
2.5 3.8 2.45
Roobet
2.7 3.75 2.39
Check all Adelaide United vs Melbourne City odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Adelaide United and Melbourne City?

Our prediction for the Adelaide United vs Melbourne City match is: 2-4 match goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/11/2025 between Adelaide United and Melbourne City in A-League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.22% for a win of Adelaide United against Melbourne City with odds of 2.8 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Adelaide United vs Melbourne City is 22.12% with odds of 3.8 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 36.66% chance ⭐ for a win of Melbourne City vs Adelaide United with odds of 2.6 at Betway.

Adelaide United - Melbourne City Prediction and Best Odds:

Adelaide United Melbourne City Prediction Probability Odds
Adelaide United wins 41.22% 2.8 at Stake
Under 2.5 51.41% 2.5 at Betwinner
Both Team To Score 52.5%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Adelaide United 22.87% 7 at LSbet

Adelaide United vs Melbourne City Form

Adelaide United and Melbourne City's standings in the A-League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Adelaide United
43 26 12 7 7 +10
6 Melbourne City
38 26 10 8 8 0

Adelaide United and Melbourne City Last Matches

Adelaide United
Adelaide United Last matches
L W W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

7 Nov 2025 - A-League

Adelaide United
2 :  0
Western Sydney Wanderers

1 Nov 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
2 :  1
Adelaide United

27 Oct 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
2 :  1
Adelaide United

17 Oct 2025 - A-League

Adelaide United
2 :  1
Sydney

5 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

West Adelaide
0 :  9
Adelaide United

30 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup

Newcastle United Jets
2 :  1
Adelaide United
D L L W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

7 Nov 2025 - A-League

Adelaide United
2 :  0
Western Sydney Wanderers

17 Oct 2025 - A-League

Adelaide United
2 :  1
Sydney

18 Apr 2025 - A-League

Adelaide United
3 :  2
Wellington Phoenix

5 Apr 2025 - A-League

Adelaide United
2 :  3
Sydney

14 Mar 2025 - A-League

Adelaide United
4 :  5
Macarthur FC

8 Mar 2025 - A-League

Adelaide United
1 :  1
Brisbane Roar
D L L W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

1 Nov 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
2 :  1
Adelaide United

27 Oct 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
2 :  1
Adelaide United

5 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

West Adelaide
0 :  9
Adelaide United

30 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup

Newcastle United Jets
2 :  1
Adelaide United

9 May 2025 - A-League

Western United
3 :  2
Adelaide United

26 Apr 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
0 :  0
Adelaide United
Melbourne City
Melbourne City Last matches
D W W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Nov 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  2
Melbourne City

4 Nov 2025 - AFC Champions League

Machida Zelvia
1 :  2
Melbourne City

31 Oct 2025 - A-League

Brisbane Roar
0 :  0
Melbourne City

25 Oct 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
4 :  0
Perth Glory

21 Oct 2025 - AFC Champions League

Melbourne City
2 :  1
Buriram United

18 Oct 2025 - A-League

Western Sydney Wanderers
1 :  1
Melbourne City
W D W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Oct 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
4 :  0
Perth Glory

21 Oct 2025 - AFC Champions League

Melbourne City
2 :  1
Buriram United

16 Sept 2025 - AFC Champions League

Melbourne City
0 :  2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima

31 May 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
1 :  0
Melbourne Victory

24 May 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
1 :  1
Western United

3 May 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
5 :  1
Sydney
L L D D W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

8 Nov 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  2
Melbourne City

4 Nov 2025 - AFC Champions League

Machida Zelvia
1 :  2
Melbourne City

31 Oct 2025 - A-League

Brisbane Roar
0 :  0
Melbourne City

18 Oct 2025 - A-League

Western Sydney Wanderers
1 :  1
Melbourne City

1 Oct 2025 - AFC Champions League

Vissel Kobe
1 :  0
Melbourne City

30 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup

APIA Leichhardt
2 :  0
Melbourne City

Adelaide United vs Melbourne City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Adelaide United

60 %

Draw

20 %

Melbourne City

20 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.8
Total goals
20%
BTTS
2.2
Goals scored
0.6
Goals conceded
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5

26 Apr 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
0 :  0
Adelaide United

7 Feb 2025 - A-League

Adelaide United
1 :  0
Melbourne City

25 Jan 2024 - A-League

Melbourne City
1 :  0
Adelaide United

29 Oct 2023 - A-League

Adelaide United
6 :  0
Melbourne City

3 Mar 2023 - A-League

Adelaide United
4 :  2
Melbourne City
Adelaide United vs Melbourne City Prediction

Adelaide United against Melbourne City Lineups: Starting 11

Adelaide United

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

22
J. Smits
20
D. Pierias
4
P. Kikianis
3
B. Vriends
7
R. Kitto
10
J. Muniz
55
E. Alagich
23
L. Duzel
19
Y. Dukuly
9
L. Jovanovic
12
J. Yull
15
A. Nabbout
17
M. Caputo
10
T. Kanamori
30
A. Kuen
19
Z. Schreiber
47
K. Rahmani
16
A. Behich
4
L. Bonetig
22
G. Ferreyra
44
B. Kutleshi
1
P. Beach

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Melbourne City

Substitutes

Adelaide United
Adelaide United
Goalkeeper

E. Cox

Defender

P. Madanha

J. Muniz 46'

F. Talladira

Midfielder

A. Ayoubi

L. Duzel 90'

J. Barnett

J. Yull 46'

R. White

L. Jovanovic 64'

Forward

J. Garuccio

Melbourne City
Melbourne City
Goalkeeper

D. Ochsenham

Defender

H. Shillington

B. Kutleshi 65'

P. Antoniou

Z. Schreiber 65'

Midfielder

A. Mackintosh

B. Baker

T. Kanamori 71'

Forward

M. Memeti

A. Nabbout 75'

B. Mazzeo

K. Rahmani 65'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Adelaide United
CD Huachipato Melbourne City
Top Goalscorer
Australia L. Jovanovic (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Australia M. Caputo (8 Goals)
Best assists
Australia Y. Dukuly (7 Assists)
Best assists
Austria A. Kuen (4 Assists)

Adelaide United - Melbourne City Key Points

  1. All four of Adelaide United’s league games this season have ended with between 2-4 goals.
  2. Adelaide United have scored two or more goals in each of their last five home league matches.
  3. Three of Melbourne City’s four league games this season have ended with between 2-4 goals.
  4. Melbourne City have only failed to score in one of their last eight away league matches.
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Our Adelaide United vs Melbourne City Prediction

While Melbourne City have been installed as the favourites for this match, they have not fared well at Coopers Stadium in recent times, losing on their last three visits here and winless in 10. 

However, it’s tough to write off the City Boys given their unbeaten record in the league this season. Both these sides have decent attacking records this term, so we’re expecting a few goals in this one. Our Adelaide United vs Melbourne City prediction is 2-4 match goals. 

Prediction :

 

2-4 match goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Adelaide United Melbourne City

Adelaide United vs Melbourne City Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Adelaide United wins 2.7 2.8 +3.7%
Draw 3.65 3.8 +4.1%
Melbourne City wins 2.29 2.6 +13.5%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Adelaide United is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 3.7% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 37.0% and is now 35.7% (-1.3%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.