AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Predictions Odds Live

Italy - Serie A

AC Milan
20/09/2026 14:45
Lecce

Prediction :

 

Milan wins & over 2.5 goals

 
Welcome offer

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

AC Milan will be eyeing a return to winning ways when they host Lecce in Serie A on Sunday. Going into this match, Milan are sixth and Lecce 12th, with only two points separating them. Milan have beaten Lecce in their last five Serie A meetings, which aligns with our prediction for yet another win for the Rossoneri.

Milan’s last three outings haven’t gone to plan. After two draws in Serie A, they were handed a 2-0 beating by Benfica on Wednesday in the Europa League.

That handed Ruben Amorim his first competitive at Milan. Returning home doesn’t come with much promise either, as Milan have lost four of their last six competitive matches at the San Siro.

Lecce beat Monza 3-2 last Sunday to bounce back from successive losses and will hope it inspires a rise against Milan. The visitors haven’t won a competitive match against Milan since April 2006, while their last away victory over the Rossoneri dates back to October 1997.

Looking to pick their first back-to-back victories this season, the worry remains having only beaten promoted sides so far. Last season they managed consecutive wins just twice and will want to improve on that.

A glimmer of hope shines in the fact that the Salentians have won three of their last four away Serie A matches, even though the latest was a loss.

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

AC Milan v Lecce Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.24 6.2 11
1xbet
1.3 6.04 12.7
Melbet
1.25 5.8 12
Betwinner
1.25 5.85 11.5
22bet
1.25 5.8 12
Check all AC Milan vs Lecce odds

Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!

What is the prediction for the football match between AC Milan and Lecce?

Our prediction for the AC Milan vs Lecce match is: Milan wins & over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/09/2026 between AC Milan and Lecce in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.6% for a win of AC Milan against Lecce with odds of 1.3 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AC Milan vs Lecce is 11.54% with odds of 6.2 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 39.86% chance ⭐ for a win of Lecce vs AC Milan with odds of 12.7 at 1xbet.

AC Milan vs Lecce Form

AC Milan and Lecce's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6 AC Milan
8 4 2 2 0 +3
12 Lecce
6 4 2 0 2 -2

AC Milan and Lecce Last Matches

AC Milan
AC Milan Last matches
W W W D D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

16 Sept 2026 - Europa League

AC Milan
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

12 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
AC Milan

6 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
1 :  1
AC Milan

28 Aug 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  0
Venezia

23 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
1 :  2
AC Milan

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

AC Milan
4 :  2
Manchester United
L L D W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

16 Sept 2026 - Europa League

AC Milan
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

28 Aug 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  0
Venezia

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

AC Milan
4 :  2
Manchester United

5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

AC Milan
1 :  1
Inter Milan

24 May 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Cagliari

10 May 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  3
Atalanta
W D L W D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

12 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
AC Milan

6 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
1 :  1
AC Milan

23 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
1 :  2
AC Milan

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
3 :  0
AC Milan

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Celtic
2 :  2
AC Milan

17 May 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  2
AC Milan
Lecce
Lecce Last matches
W L W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

13 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
3 :  2
Monza

7 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  0
Lecce

31 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  4
Roma

23 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Venezia
0 :  2
Lecce

17 Aug 2026 - Coppa Italia

Palermo
2 :  0
Lecce

9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lecce
1 :  0
SS Monopoli
L D W W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
3 :  2
Monza

31 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  4
Roma

9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lecce
1 :  0
SS Monopoli

29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lecce
5 :  2
NK Bistrica Slovenska Bistrica

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lecce
2 :  2
NK Istra 1961

22 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lecce
0 :  1
Stinta Poli Timisoara
W W W L W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

7 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  0
Lecce

23 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Venezia
0 :  2
Lecce

17 Aug 2026 - Coppa Italia

Palermo
2 :  0
Lecce

19 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE
0 :  1
Lecce

17 May 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  3
Lecce

1 May 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
1 :  2
Lecce

AC Milan vs Lecce Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

AC Milan

100 %

Draw

0 %

Lecce

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
16.67%
BTTS
2.5
Goals scored
0.33
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

18 Jan 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Lecce

23 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce

29 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
AC Milan

8 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
2 :  3
AC Milan

27 Sept 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce

6 Apr 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce
AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction

AC Milan vs Lecce last Lineups

AC Milan

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

16
M. Maignan
42
F. Terracciano
5
K. De Winter
31
S. Pavlovic
21
S. Chukwueze
80
Y. Musah
30
A. Jashari
33
D. Bartesaghi
20
O. Hutchinson
70
A. Cisse
9
G. Ramos
99
J. Monteiro
9
N. Stulic
11
K. N’Dri
20
I. Ilic
14
Y. Maleh
29
L. Coulibaly
25
A. Gallo
44
Tiago Gabriel
5
J. Siebert
17
D. Veiga
30
W. Falcone

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Lecce

Substitutes

AC Milan
AC Milan
Goalkeeper

L. Torriani

Defender

F. Tomori

P. Estupinan

M. Gila

M. Gabbia

Midfielder

R. Loftus-Cheek

A. Rabiot

D. Moreira

A. Saelemaekers

L. Modric

Forward

C. Pulisic

F. Camarda

Lecce
Lecce
Goalkeeper

M. Bleve

A. Borbei

Defender

G. Jean

S. Fofana

K. Gaspar

A. Dembele

E. Scott

C. Ndaba

Midfielder

M. Kaba

A. Ahmed Fatah

O. Gorter

O. Ngom

S. Pierotti

Forward

P. Esteban

Missing players

AC Milan
AC Milan
Lecce
Lecce
Midfielder

O. Gandelman

Forward

W. Geubbels

M. Berisha

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato AC Milan
CD Huachipato Lecce
Top Goalscorer
Italy A. Cisse (2 Goals) , 
Belgium D. Moreira (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal Tiago Gabriel (2 Goals) ,  Mali L. Coulibaly (2 Goals)
Best assists
France A. Rabiot (2 Assists) , 
Nigeria S. Chukwueze (2 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal D. Veiga (2 Assists) , 
Serbia I. Ilic (2 Assists)

AC Milan and Lecce Stats in Serie A

AC Milan
AC Milan
Lecce
Lecce
50%
Wins
50%
0%
Losses
50%
50%
Draws
0%
2.75
Average goals per match
3
1.75
Goals scored per match
1.25
1
Goals conceded per match
1.75
50%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
25%
No goals conceded
25%
75%
BTTS
25%

AC Milan - Lecce Key Points

  1. Milan’s last five matches produced 13 goals.
  2. AC Milan have beaten Lecce in their last five league meetings.
  3. Lecce have not won a match away to AC Milan in nearly three decades.
  4. Lecce’s only league wins this season have come against newly promoted sides.
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Our AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction

An AC Milan victory here will find its way in the annals of history, as it will be the first time Milan claim six straight Serie A wins against Lecce. The hosts may have stuttered at home but come here confident that they can extend their winning streak over the visitors.

This is actually a perfect opportunity to arrest their three-match winless run, as Lecce have not won a game at San Siro against Milan since October 1997. We expect this trend to continue, as Lecce’s only league wins have come against promoted sides. Our prediction for AC Milan v Lecce is that Milan wins & over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Milan wins & over 2.5 goals

 
Exclusive Offer
Welcome offer

Use £/€50 free bets for the AC Milan vs. Lecce game!

bet365 welcome offer

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between AC Milan and Lecce? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

Claim this offer!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.