AC Milan vs Inter Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Top of the table Inter Milan are away to arch-rivals AC Milan this weekend in the Serie A, looking to extend their strong lead at the top. The Nerazzurri have a 10-point advantage over their city rivals, who are also their closest challengers, after 27 rounds of play. Read on to find our prediction of the match.
This is the second meeting of the season between the two. Milan won the reverse game by a solitary goal to extend an unbeaten run in the Derby della Madonnina to six games.
They, however, aren’t the favorites to win the next installment of the Milan derby. Bookmakers have Inter winning and also fancy a share of the spoils more than they do a win for the Rossoneri. With 67 points, Inter Milan are holding a 10-point buffer on AC Milan. With that, they will be confident of stopping Milan’s plans for a first league double in this derby since 2010/11.
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AC Milan v Inter Milan Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.55 | 3.25 | 2.21 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.14 | 2.19 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.14 | 2.19 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.1 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.7 | 2.98 | 2.18 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between AC Milan and Inter Milan?
Our prediction for the AC Milan vs Inter Milan match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/03/2026 between AC Milan and Inter Milan in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.82% for a win of AC Milan against Inter Milan with odds of 3.9 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AC Milan vs Inter Milan is 30.1% with odds of 3.3 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.08% chance ⭐ for a win of Inter Milan vs AC Milan with odds of 2.27 at 888Starz.
AC Milan - Inter Milan Prediction and Best Odds:
| AC Milan Inter Milan Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan wins | 37.08% | 2.27 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 59.71% | 1.85 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score: No | 61.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Inter Milan | 19.54% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
AC Milan vs Inter Milan Form
AC Milan and Inter Milan's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
87 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | +54 |
|
5
|
70 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | +18 |
AC Milan and Inter Milan Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Serie A
22 Feb 2026 - Serie A
18 Feb 2026 - Serie A
13 Feb 2026 - Serie A
3 Feb 2026 - Serie A
25 Jan 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Serie A
18 Feb 2026 - Serie A
18 Jan 2026 - Serie A
8 Jan 2026 - Serie A
28 Dec 2025 - Serie A
14 Dec 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Serie A
13 Feb 2026 - Serie A
3 Feb 2026 - Serie A
25 Jan 2026 - Serie A
15 Jan 2026 - Serie A
11 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia
28 Feb 2026 - Serie A
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - Serie A
18 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Serie A
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - Serie A
4 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia
23 Jan 2026 - Serie A
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia
21 Feb 2026 - Serie A
18 Feb 2026 - Champions League
8 Feb 2026 - Serie A
1 Feb 2026 - Serie A
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
AC Milan vs Inter Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Nov 2025 - Serie A
23 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
2 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
6 Jan 2025 - Italian Super Cup
22 Sept 2024 - Serie A
AC Milan - Inter Milan: Form Analysis
AC Milan haven’t lost to their city rivals in two years. They have won four times in this period, with two of those wins coming in the last two meetings. Massimiliano Allegri’s men will be hoping to come out on top again, not only for bragging rights but also to revive their fading title hopes.
Milan have accumulated 57 points, and though they have lost a league-low two games, they have drawn too many games, with nine stalemates. Milan got back to winning ways last time out, thanks to a 2-0 victory in Cremonese to snap a run of two games without a win.
AC Milan have gone six matches across all competitions without a loss to Inter.
Inter were in action in midweek in the Coppa Italia. Cristian Chivu’s men drew 0-0 with Como in the first leg of their semi-final tie. That result followed a 2-0 win at home against Genoa in the league. After being dumped out of the Champions League in the intermediate stage, La Beneamata look to maximize on the domestic front.
Inter have a healthy lead atop the standings after winning 22 of their 27 fixtures. They have won six more games than any other team, and another win, against their closest challengers, could most likely hand them the title.
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AC Milan against Inter Milan Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
P. Terracciano
L. Torriani
DefenderD. Bartesaghi
D. Odogu
Z. Athekame
MidfielderA. Jashari
S. Ricci
C. Nkunku
N. Fullkrug
R. Di Gennaro
J. Martinez
DefenderF. Acerbi
C. Augusto
D. Dumfries
M. Darmian
S. De Vrij
MidfielderD. Frattesi
A. Diouf
P. Sucic
H. Calhanoglu
ForwardM. Lavelli
L. Martinez
Missing players
M. Gabbia
AC Milan & Inter Milan Squad Analysis
Milan will still be without the injured duo of Matteo Gabbia and Ruben Loftus-Cheek. The two have missed a combined 10 games. However, there is some good news in the availability of others. Christian Pulisic is among them, looking to make the most of this engagement.
The American has netted 10 goals and was on target in the reverse game against Inter. Together with Rafael Leao, who has also found the net 10 times, the two are Milan’s strong attacking options.
Inter Milan’s Denzel Dumfries looks set to start after recovering.
Inter Milan are also grappling with injuries. Lautaro Martinez has missed the last six games due to injury and will also miss this match. He is the only unavailable player for Inter in the derby. Though the visitors are much healthier, missing their leading scorer has been a big blow.
In Lautaro’s absence, Francesco Pio Esposito has come into the lineup and has done well, scoring twice in the last six games. Inter’s main goal threat, though, isn’t an attacking player but rather a defender. Federico Dimarco has scored six goals in the league and has provided 15 assists, one off the Serie A record assist total of 16 set by Atalanta's Papu Gomez in 2020.
Most goals and assists
AC Milan
Inter Milan
R. Leao
(9 Goals)
L. Martinez
(17 Goals)
A. Rabiot
(4 Assists)
, 
C. Pulisic
(4 Assists)
, 
S. Ricci
(4 Assists)
F. Dimarco
(17 Assists)
AC Milan - Inter Milan Key Points
- Inter lead the Serie A with 115 big chances created while Milan are second with 82.
- Inter Milan have scored a league-high 64 goals.
- Six of the last eight Milan derbies have seen both teams score.
- After 27 rounds in the league, Milan have found the net 43 times.
- Both Milan and Inter have conceded a combined 41 league goals.
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Our AC Milan vs Inter Milan Prediction
Our prediction for AC Milan v Inter Milan is BTTS. This match sees perennial city rivals face off, and much is at stake in this battle, not only bragging rights. A win for Milan could spark a strong finish to the season as they seek to topple Inter in the race for the league title.
Inter, on their part, could all but secure this season's title with a win this weekend. Seeing both teams, who are the best scorers in the Serie A, get on the scoresheet here is therefore very likely.
AC Milan vs Inter Milan Alternative Predictions
Draw
In our second prediction, we are settling for this match to end in a draw. Only two other teams have drawn more games than Milan in the league. Combined, Inter and Milan have played 10 draws this season. As both teams are also coming into this tie in strong form, we feel a share of the spoils, just like in recent derby meetings, will be the end result.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AC Milan Inter Milan
| AC Milan vs Inter Milan | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan wins | 3.7 | 3.9 | +5.4% |
| Draw | 2.85 | 3.3 | +15.8% |
| Inter Milan wins | 2.32 | 2.27 | -2.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Inter Milan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 43.1% and is now 44.1% (0.9%)
AC Milan vs Inter Milan - FAQs
This match will be played on Sunday, 8 March.
This match will be played at the San Siro Stadium in Milan, Italy.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
