AC Milan vs Genoa Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Predictions Odds Live

Italy - Serie A

AC Milan
08/01/2026 14:45
Genoa

Prediction :

 

Milan to win and BTTS

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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Genoa will get to test their wits against the side with the longest unbeaten run in Serie A, AC Milan, next. These two face off on Thursday, with Milan being second in the standings while Genoa are 17th. Read on to find our prediction for this match.

AC Milan only have the league title to play for following elimination from Coppa Italia and defeat in the Super Cup. They will thus feel the need to give their all here.

A hard-fought 1-0 win over Cagliari last time out stretched their undefeated run in Serie A to 16 matches. They have 11 wins in that streak and are just one point off the league leaders, Inter Milan.

Genoa head here knowing they are facing the second-best home team in the league. They will be hoping to emulate Cremonese, the only side to have beaten Milan in Serie A this season.

Genoa could only manage a 1-1 draw with bottom side Pisa in their last outing. That result placed them three points above the bottom three. Having played a game more than the 18th-placed side, Il Grifone will hope to avoid defeat here.

They are on 15 points, and it is encouraging that eight of them have come in away matches. However, a four-game winless run, with three defeats, will have an impact on their confidence.

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The Best Betting Odds for AC Milan v Genoa Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.45 4 8.5
Stake
1.52 4.2 7.4
Melbet
1.45 4 8.9
BC Game
1.46 3.95 7.8
Tonybet
1.5 4.3 7.6
Check all AC Milan vs Genoa odds

What is the prediction for the football match between AC Milan and Genoa?

Our prediction for the AC Milan vs Genoa match is: Milan to win and BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/01/2026 between AC Milan and Genoa in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.85% for a win of AC Milan against Genoa with odds of 1.53 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AC Milan vs Genoa is 25.12% with odds of 4.3 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 14.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Genoa vs AC Milan with odds of 8.9 at Melbet.

AC Milan - Genoa Prediction and Best Odds:

AC Milan Genoa Prediction Probability Odds
AC Milan wins 60.85% 1.53 at 888Starz
Over 2.5 goals 67.66% 2.28 at Melbet
Both Team To Score 61.25% 2.32 at Betsson
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: AC Milan 25.1% 4 at Bet365

AC Milan vs Genoa Form

AC Milan and Genoa's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
AC Milan
AC Milan
40 19 11 7 1 +15
15
Genoa
Genoa
19 20 4 7 9 -7

AC Milan and Genoa Last Matches

AC Milan
AC Milan Last matches
L W D L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

2 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  1
AC Milan

28 Dec 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Hellas Verona

18 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Napoli
2 :  0
AC Milan

14 Dec 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Sassuolo

8 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  3
AC Milan

4 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
1 :  0
AC Milan
W D W W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

28 Dec 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Hellas Verona

14 Dec 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Sassuolo

29 Nov 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Lazio

2 Nov 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Roma

24 Oct 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Pisa SC

19 Oct 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Fiorentina
D W L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

2 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  1
AC Milan

18 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Napoli
2 :  0
AC Milan

8 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  3
AC Milan

4 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
1 :  0
AC Milan

23 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
0 :  1
AC Milan

8 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  2
AC Milan
Genoa
Genoa Last matches
L W L L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  1
Pisa SC

29 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  1
Genoa

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  1
Atalanta

14 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  2
Inter Milan

8 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  2
Genoa

3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
4 :  0
Genoa
L D W L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  1
Pisa SC

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  1
Atalanta

14 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  2
Inter Milan

29 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Hellas Verona

9 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  2
Fiorentina

29 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  2
Cremonese
L W D L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

29 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  1
Genoa

8 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  2
Genoa

3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
4 :  0
Genoa

22 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
3 :  3
Genoa

3 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  2
Genoa

26 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  1
Genoa

AC Milan vs Genoa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

AC Milan

67 %

Draw

33 %

Genoa

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

5 May 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  2
AC Milan

15 Dec 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  0
Genoa

5 May 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  3
Genoa

7 Oct 2023 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  1
AC Milan

15 Apr 2022 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  0
Genoa

13 Jan 2022 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
3 :  1
Genoa

AC Milan against Genoa Lineups: Starting 11

AC Milan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

16
M. Maignan
23
F. Tomori
46
M. Gabbia
31
S. Pavlovic
56
A. Saelemaekers
19
Y. Fofana
14
L. Modric
12
A. Rabiot
33
D. Bartesaghi
11
C. Pulisic
10
R. Leao
29
L. Colombo
9
V. Carvalho
3
A. Martin
2
M. Thorsby
17
R. Malinovskyi
32
M. Frendrup
15
B. Norton-Cuffy
22
J. Vasquez
5
L. Ostigard
27
A. Marcandalli
1
N. Leali

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Genoa

Substitutes

AC Milan
AC Milan
Goalkeeper

L. Torriani

P. Terracciano

Defender

K. De Winter

D. Odogu

Z. Athekame

M. Gabbia 76'

P. Estupinan

Midfielder

S. Ricci

A. Jashari

R. Loftus-Cheek

Y. Fofana 46'

Forward

A. Castiello

N. Fullkrug

A. Saelemaekers 65'

Genoa
Genoa
Goalkeeper

E. Lysionok

D. Sommariva

Defender

S. Otoa

L. Colombo 83'

S. Sabelli

Midfielder

P. Masini

M. Thorsby 63'

H. Cuenca

N. Stanciu

A. Martin 83'

Forward

M. Ellertsson

R. Malinovskyi 64'

S. Fini

J. Nuredini

J. Ekhator

V. Carvalho 75'

L. Venturino

Missing players

AC Milan
AC Milan
Forward

S. Gimenez

C. Balentien

Genoa
Genoa
Goalkeeper

B. Siegrist

Midfielder

M. Cornet

J. Onana

A. Gronbaek

Forward

C. Ekuban

J. Messias

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato AC Milan
CD Huachipato Genoa
Top Goalscorer
USA C. Pulisic (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy L. Colombo (5 Goals)
Best assists
France A. Rabiot (3 Assists)
Best assists
Ukraine R. Malinovskyi (3 Assists) , 
Spain A. Martin (3 Assists)

AC Milan - Genoa Key Points

  1. Milan conceded in three of their last five outings.
  2. Both teams scored in four of Genoa’s last five matches.
  3. In two of these teams’ last three meetings, both sides scored.
  4. AC Milan won five of their last nine meetings with Genoa.
  5. AC Milan are unbeaten in 16 league matches, winning 11 of those.
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Our AC Milan vs Genoa Prediction

Milan will put their unbeaten run on the line as they go into this game. They will also hope to register a third straight clean sheet, but in six of the last 10 meetings, they failed on that front. The positive side is that they have dominated this fixture, while Genoa haven't had a great season so far.

The league being Milan’s only chance at silverware for the season means they can’t afford to drop a lot of points. So expect an attacking Milan, but Genoa could cause some uncomfortable moments. Our prediction for AC Milan v Genoa is for Milan to win and BTTS.

Prediction :

 

Milan to win and BTTS

4
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AC Milan Genoa

AC Milan vs Genoa Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
AC Milan wins 1.52 1.53 +0.7%
Draw 4.35 4.3 -1.1%
Genoa wins 7.75 8.9 +14.8%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • AC Milan is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 0.7% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 65.8% and is now 65.4% (-0.4%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

AC Milan vs Genoa Prediction