AC Milan vs Bari Prediction & Betting Tips - Coppa Italia

Italy - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
17/08/2025 15:15
Bari

Prediction :

 

between two and four total goals to be scored

1.53
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Football Predictions

AC Milan will kick off their campaign this season playing host to Bari in this Coppa Italia first round fixture on Sunday. The Red and Blacks will aim to edge out the White and Reds to qualify for the second round. Here is our prediction for the match.

AC Milan slumped to their lowest-ever finish in the Serie A in a decade after dropping to eighth in the rankings last season. This disappointing campaign saw the team miss out on Europe on league performance for the first time since the 2015-16 season. 

This season, the Milan-based giants will aim to stage a formidable challenge and return to the elite clique in Italian football. A win will not only secure the Coppa Italia second round for Massimiliano Allegri's side, but be crucial to their journey of regaining bragging rights this season. They have won two of their last three home competitive matches, two of which ended with between two and four total goals scored.

Bari finished ninth in Serie B last season with 48 points, narrowly missing out on the promotion playoffs. They failed to pick up results in their last two competitive matches, and also failed to win six of their most recent competitive away fixtures. Moreno Longo's side will face a tough task getting a result against AC Milan away in San Siro on Sunday.

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The Best Betting Odds for AC Milan v Bari Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.14 7.5 17
1xbet
1.15 7.56 17.1
Stake
1.19 6.8 14
Melbet
1.16 7.56 16.5
BC Game
1.15 8 18
Check all AC Milan vs Bari odds

What is the prediction for the football match between AC Milan and Bari?

Our prediction for the AC Milan vs Bari match is: between two and four total goals to be scored.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/08/2025 between AC Milan and Bari in Coppa Italia :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.76% for a win of AC Milan against Bari with odds of 1.19 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AC Milan vs Bari is 32.11% with odds of 9 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 14.14% chance ⭐ for a win of Bari vs AC Milan with odds of 20 at Tonybet.

AC Milan - Bari Prediction and Best Odds:

AC Milan Bari Prediction Probability Odds
AC Milan wins 53.76% 1.19 at Stake
Over 2.5 goals 54.57% 1.64 at Stake
Both Team To Score 61.9%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: AC Milan 24.53% 3.75 at Bet365

AC Milan vs Bari Form

AC Milan and Bari Last Matches

AC Milan
AC Milan Last matches
W L W W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
4 :  1
AC Milan

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
1 :  1
AC Milan

31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Perth Glory
0 :  9
AC Milan

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
2 :  4
AC Milan

23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
1 :  0
AC Milan

24 May 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  0
Monza
W D D L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 May 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  0
Monza

9 May 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  1
Bologna

20 Apr 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  1
Atalanta

5 Apr 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Fiorentina

2 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
1 :  1
Inter Milan

15 Mar 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Como 1907
L L W W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
4 :  1
AC Milan

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
1 :  1
AC Milan

31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Perth Glory
0 :  9
AC Milan

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
2 :  4
AC Milan

23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
1 :  0
AC Milan

18 May 2025 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  1
AC Milan
Bari
Bari Last matches
W L D W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
3.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Bari
3 :  0
AZ Picerno

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Bari
1 :  0
Campobasso FC

20 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Bari
17 :  0
ASD Castel Di Sangro

13 May 2025 - Serie B

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
0 :  0
Bari

9 May 2025 - Serie B

AS Cittadella
3 :  1
Bari

4 May 2025 - Serie B

Bari
1 :  0
Pisa SC
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
4.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Bari
3 :  0
AZ Picerno

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Bari
1 :  0
Campobasso FC

20 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Bari
17 :  0
ASD Castel Di Sangro

4 May 2025 - Serie B

Bari
1 :  0
Pisa SC

25 Apr 2025 - Serie B

Bari
1 :  2
Modena

11 Apr 2025 - Serie B

Bari
2 :  1
Palermo
D L D L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

13 May 2025 - Serie B

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
0 :  0
Bari

9 May 2025 - Serie B

AS Cittadella
3 :  1
Bari

1 May 2025 - Serie B

Cosenza
1 :  0
Bari

6 Apr 2025 - Serie B

US Catanzaro
3 :  3
Bari

30 Mar 2025 - Serie B

Carrarese Calcio
2 :  1
Bari

9 Mar 2025 - Serie B

Sassuolo
1 :  1
Bari

AC Milan vs Bari last Lineups

AC Milan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

19
Y. Fofana
4
S. Ricci
31
S. Pavlovic
8
R. Loftus-Cheek
16
M. Maignan
56
A. Saelemaekers
46
M. Gabbia
10
R. Leao
2
P. Estupinan
11
C. Pulisic
23
F. Tomori
24
L. Dickmann
11
G. Moncini
10
N. Bellomo
20
G. Pereiro
23
F. Vicari
43
D. Nikolaou
31
M. Cerofolini
7
G. Sibilli
8
R. Pagano
93
M. Dorval
27
M. Braunoder

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Bari

Substitutes

AC Milan
AC Milan
Goalkeeper

M. Pittarella

P. Terracciano

Defender

K. De Winter

V. Vladimirov

Z. Athekame

D. Bartesaghi

A. Jimenez

Midfielder

A. Jashari

R. Loftus-Cheek 66'

Y. Musah

C. Pulisic 66'

S. Chukwueze

L. Modric

S. Ricci 66'

Forward

S. Gimenez

R. Leao 18'

N. Okafor

A. Saelemaekers 81'

Bari
Bari
Goalkeeper

M. Pissardo

P. De Lucci

Defender

I. Mavraj

B. Mane

S. Kassama

R. Pucino

A. Tripaldelli

M. Dorval 81'

Midfielder

E. Rao

G. Pereiro 52'

A. Partipilo

R. Pagano 68'

M. Verreth

N. Bellomo 52'

Forward

G. Manzari

V. Onofrietti

C. Gytkjaer

AC Milan - Bari Key Points

  1. Between two and four total goals have been scored in six of AC Milan’s last seven competitive matches.
  2. Seven of AC Milan’s last nine home matches have ended with between two and four total goals scored.
  3. Between two and four total goals have been scored in three of AC Milan's last five encounters with Bari.
  4. Bari’s last two visits to San Siro have ended with between 2-4 total goals.
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Our AC Milan vs Bari Prediction

Bari will head into this match as underdogs as they take on Serie A giants AC Milan away at San Siro. We expect AC Milan to comfortably dispatch the Moreno Longo-led side for a place in the Coppa Italia second round. 

However, their recent matches have produced moderate scorelines ranging between two and four total goals. Their most recent encounters with Bari have also produced a similar goal threshold. Hence, our AC Milan vs Bari prediction is between two and four total goals to be scored.

Prediction :

 

between two and four total goals to be scored

1.53
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AC Milan Bari

AC Milan vs Bari Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
AC Milan wins 1.19 1.19 0%
Draw 6.8 9 +32.4%
Bari wins 14 20 +42.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • AC Milan is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
  • The probability of this result was 84.0% and is now 84.0% (0.0%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

AC Milan vs Bari Prediction