Aberdeen vs Raith Rovers Prediction & Betting Tips - Scottish Cup
Scotland - Scottish Cup
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Football Predictions
The defending champions, Aberdeen, are set to host championship side Raith Rovers at the Pittodrie Stadium in the fourth round of the Scottish FA Cup. This is the third meeting between these two sides in this competition. Here's our match prediction.
After being in charge for 18 months as Aberdeen head coach, Jimmy Thelin's reign came to an end after a 1-0 defeat to Falkirk on January 3rd.
In the previous edition of the Scottish Cup, Thelin led the Dons to their first silverware in 35 years after beating Celtic in a penalty shootout in the final.
However, their title defense hangs in the balance, considering their poor start to the current season. They are without a win in seven games, including four straight defeats without scoring. Their recent match ended in a 2-0 home league defeat against Rangers FC.
Raith Rovers have been presented with the opportunity to knock the managerless champions off their perch. With determination and resilience, this can be doable.
They have yet to suffer defeat against this opponent in their last two Scottish FA Cup meetings. In their previous meeting in 2010, they secured a 1-0 away victory in the Round of 16 replay.
After reaching the quarter-finals of this competition back in 2023 for the first time in eight years, Rovers have suffered elimination in the fourth and fifth rounds against Livingston and Celtic, respectively.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Aberdeen v Raith Rovers Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.04 | 10 | 90 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.94 | 5.7 |
|
|
1.66 | 3.78 | 4.86 |
|
|
1.53 | 3.8 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.56 | 3.9 | 5.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Aberdeen and Raith Rovers?
Our prediction for the Aberdeen vs Raith Rovers match is: draw or Raith Rovers.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/01/2026 between Aberdeen and Raith Rovers in Scottish Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.84% for a win of Aberdeen against Raith Rovers with odds of 1.66 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aberdeen vs Raith Rovers is 43.67% with odds of 10 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.49% chance ⭐ for a win of Raith Rovers vs Aberdeen with odds of 90 at Stake.
Aberdeen - Raith Rovers Prediction and Best Odds:
| Aberdeen Raith Rovers Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 43.67% | 10 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 68.05% | 2.9 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 59.52% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 19.9% | 6.25 at LSbet |
Aberdeen vs Raith Rovers Form
Aberdeen and Raith Rovers Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
6 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
30 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
21 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
14 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
3 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
30 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
21 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
6 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - Scottish Championship
6 Jan 2026 - Scottish Challenge Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Championship
27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Scottish Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Scottish Championship
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - Scottish Championship
6 Jan 2026 - Scottish Challenge Cup
27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Scottish Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Scottish Challenge Cup
29 Nov 2025 - Scottish Cup
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Scottish Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Scottish Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Scottish Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Scottish Championship
17 Oct 2025 - Scottish Championship
Aberdeen - Raith Rovers Key Points
- Aberdeen are winless in their last seven games.
- Raith Rovers have lost two of their last ten games.
- Aberdeen have lost four straight games without scoring.
- Raith Rovers have drawn each of their last four away games.
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Our Aberdeen vs Raith Rovers Prediction
Aberdeen is currently enduring a poor season in the Scottish Premiership. The defending champions are winless in their last seven games and have lost four consecutive matches in which they failed to score.
Given that the defending champions have struggled offensively, this could turn out to be their undoing in this fixture. Raith Rovers have been a difficult side to beat on the road, holding their opponents to goalless draws on four occasions. They can avoid defeat in this one, with the game to be decided after extra time. Our Aberdeen vs Raith Rovers prediction: draw or Raith Rovers.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Aberdeen Raith Rovers
| Aberdeen vs Raith Rovers | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen wins | 1.45 | 1.66 | +14.5% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 10 | +163.2% |
| Raith Rovers wins | 6.76 | 90 | +1,231.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 163.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 26.3% and is now 10.0% (-16.3%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
