Aberdeen vs Motherwell Prediction & Betting Tips - Scottish Cup
Scotland - Scottish Cup
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Football Predictions
Reigning Scottish Cup champions face an incredibly difficult test when they play Motherwell and their impenetrable defence in Round 5. The Well edged The Dons in their five meetings last year, winning three games and drawing one. Can they continue that dominance against the champions? Let's get into this match prediction.
Motherwell have been flying sky high as of late and continued its incredible form with another win over Livingston. That victory made it three wins in a row and extended their unbeaten run to 14 in their last five games.
Interestingly, the game that started that run was a 1-1 draw to Aberdeen, which The Well absolutely dominated. In contrast, Aberdeen is coming off a crushing 3-0 loss to relegation-bound Kilmarnock. That defeat ended their two-game winning streak and only marked The Dons fifth defeat in their last seven games.
The Motherwell matchup is particularly tricky because The Well are not only miles ahead but also dominate in their recent H2H. Still, the incentives are much different and the stakes even higher. This is a single-leg knockout game, and Aberdeen has a title to defend. See key betting stats below.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Aberdeen v Motherwell Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.9 | 3.35 | 2.41 |
|
|
3.01 | 3.32 | 2.28 |
|
|
3.01 | 3.32 | 2.28 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.3 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.94 | 3.35 | 2.24 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Aberdeen and Motherwell?
Our prediction for the Aberdeen vs Motherwell match is: Motherwell qualifies.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/02/2026 between Aberdeen and Motherwell in Scottish Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.53% for a win of Aberdeen against Motherwell with odds of 3.01 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aberdeen vs Motherwell is 27.95% with odds of 3.35 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.52% chance ⭐ for a win of Motherwell vs Aberdeen with odds of 2.41 at Stake.
Aberdeen - Motherwell Prediction and Best Odds:
| Aberdeen Motherwell Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Motherwell wins | 43.52% | 2.41 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 69.97% | 1.87 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score: No | 63.75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Motherwell/Motherwell | 19.43% | 3.75 at Bet365 |
Aberdeen vs Motherwell Form
Aberdeen and Motherwell Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
24 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
18 Jan 2026 - Scottish Cup
11 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
6 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
18 Jan 2026 - Scottish Cup
11 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
14 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
6 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
30 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
21 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
24 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
17 Jan 2026 - Scottish Cup
10 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
30 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
17 Jan 2026 - Scottish Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
30 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
20 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
6 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
10 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
13 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
3 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
22 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
Aberdeen vs Motherwell Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
27 Sept 2025 - Scottish Premiership
20 Sept 2025 - Scottish League Cup
29 Mar 2025 - Scottish Premiership
5 Jan 2025 - Scottish Premiership
14 Sept 2024 - Scottish Premiership
Players list
N. Suman
DefenderM. Knoester
L. Morrison
G. Molloy
MidfielderD. Geiger
L. Cameron
J. Milne
T. Keskinen
ForwardT. Olusanya
K. Nisbet
K. Mar Kjartansson
M. Connelly
DefenderS. Welsh
L. Gordon
E. Longelo
MidfielderC. Slattery
E. Watt
R. Charles-Cook
E. Just
T. Sparrow
L. Fadinger
ForwardT. Maswanhise
Substitutes
P. Bratveit
DefenderN. Devlin
M. Frame
J. Mercer
MidfielderA. Afeez
K. Bilalovic
D. Lobban
G. Shinnie
ForwardN. Milanovic
A. Oxborough
DefenderS. O'Donnell
J. Koutroumbis
MidfielderO. Priestman
ForwardL. Ross
S. Nicholson
C. Hendry
I. Said
Z. Robinson
Aberdeen - Motherwell Key Points
- Motherwell hasn't lost its last four of its last five games against Aberdeen, winning three outright.
- Motherwell has conceded the fewest goals in the Scottish Premiership this season (17).
- Motherwell has kept the most clean sheets in the league this season (13).
- Motherwell has lost the second joint-fewest games this season (3).
- Aberdeen has scored the fifth-fewest goals this season (26).
- Aberdeen has also conceded the fifth-most goals this season (33).
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Aberdeen vs Motherwell Prediction
Motherwell should qualify either on full time, extra time, or on penalties. Yes, The Dons have a title to defend. But that doesn't negate the numbers they've put up this season. They've scored the fifth-fewest goals and conceded the fifth-most.
In contrast, Motherwell boasts the best defence in Scotland today, with the most clean sheets and fewest goals conceded. And to top it off, The Well have been dominant in their recent H2H, winning three of their last five and only losing one. Hence, our Aberdeen vs Motherwell prediction is that Motherwell qualifies.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Aberdeen Motherwell
| Aberdeen vs Motherwell | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen wins | 2.44 | 3.01 | +23.4% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3.35 | +4.7% |
| Motherwell wins | 2.65 | 2.41 | -9.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Motherwell is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 9.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 37.7% and is now 41.5% (3.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
