Aberdeen vs Motherwell Prediction & Betting Tips - Scottish Premiership

Scotland - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
09/11/2025 10:00
Motherwell

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Ian John | in Scottish Premiership Predictions

Aberdeen host Motherwell in the Scottish Premiership on Sunday, with both teams having enjoyed a better run of results of late. The Dons slow start to the season seems to be behind them, while The Well have picked up two wins in two in the league, An exciting game is in prospect at Pittodrie, so let;s check our match prediction for the best bet to back.

For a long part of the early season period, Aberdeen were bottom of the Premiership, but improved results of late have seen them land ten points from the same number of matches, a figure which has moved them up to tenth in the table. Motherwell drew their opening five matches, but have since won three to give them 14 points from ten games, leaving them sixth in the table.

Aberdeen's recent form is a mixed bag. They were thrashed 6-0 away to AEK Athens in the UEFA Conference League and then lost 2-1 at home to Hibs in the Premiership. On a positive note they did follow that up with a 1-0 win at Kilmarnock and then earned a 0-0 draw in the Conference League away to AEK Larnaca in midweek.

Motherwell's recent results are somewhat mixed too. A 2-1 home defeat to Falkirk in the league was followed by two wins, the first a 2-1 win away at Livingston and then a 2-0 home win over Dundee United. However last weekend they were thrashed 4-1 by St. Mirren in the Scottish Premier Cup semi-final ahead of this fixture.

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Aberdeen v Motherwell Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
2.35 3.44 2.85
Betwinner
2.36 3.44 2.84
Bet365
2.35 3.75 2.57
BC Game
2.27 3.55 2.9
Tonybet
2.31 3.55 2.85
Check all Aberdeen vs Motherwell odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Aberdeen and Motherwell?

Our prediction for the Aberdeen vs Motherwell match is: Under 2.5 Goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/11/2025 between Aberdeen and Motherwell in Scottish Premiership :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.21% for a win of Aberdeen against Motherwell with odds of 2.36 at Betwinner.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aberdeen vs Motherwell is 21.95% with odds of 3.75 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 50.85% chance ⭐ for a win of Motherwell vs Aberdeen with odds of 3 at Shangrila.

Aberdeen - Motherwell Prediction and Best Odds:

Aberdeen Motherwell Prediction Probability Odds
Motherwell wins 50.85% 3 at Shangrila
Under 2.5 50.97% 2 at Bet365
Both Team To Score: No 53.33%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Motherwell 24.81% 7 at LSbet

Aberdeen vs Motherwell Form

Aberdeen and Motherwell's standings in the Scottish Premiership

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Motherwell
54 33 14 12 7 +23
8 Aberdeen
33 33 9 6 18 -15

Aberdeen and Motherwell Last Matches

Aberdeen
Aberdeen Last matches
W W L L W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Nov 2025 - Conference League

AEK Larnaca
0 :  0
Aberdeen

29 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
0 :  1
Aberdeen

26 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
1 :  2
Hibernian

23 Oct 2025 - Conference League

AEK Athens
6 :  0
Aberdeen

18 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  1
Aberdeen

5 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
4 :  0
Dundee FC
L D L L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

26 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
1 :  2
Hibernian

5 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
4 :  0
Dundee FC

2 Oct 2025 - Conference League

Aberdeen
2 :  3
Shakhtar Donetsk

20 Sept 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Aberdeen
0 :  1
Motherwell

13 Sept 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
0 :  0
Livingston

31 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
0 :  1
Falkirk
L L W L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

6 Nov 2025 - Conference League

AEK Larnaca
0 :  0
Aberdeen

29 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
0 :  1
Aberdeen

23 Oct 2025 - Conference League

AEK Athens
6 :  0
Aberdeen

18 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  1
Aberdeen

27 Sept 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  0
Aberdeen

23 Sept 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
2 :  0
Aberdeen
Motherwell
Motherwell Last matches
W L L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

1 Nov 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Motherwell
1 :  4
St Mirren

29 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  0
Dundee United

25 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
1 :  2
Motherwell

18 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
1 :  2
Falkirk

5 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
3 :  2
Motherwell

27 Sept 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  0
Aberdeen
D D W L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Nov 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Motherwell
1 :  4
St Mirren

29 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  0
Dundee United

18 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
1 :  2
Falkirk

27 Sept 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  0
Aberdeen

30 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  2
Kilmarnock

2 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
1 :  1
Rangers
W D D W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
1 :  2
Motherwell

5 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
3 :  2
Motherwell

20 Sept 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Aberdeen
0 :  1
Motherwell

13 Sept 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee FC
1 :  1
Motherwell

23 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
3 :  3
Motherwell

16 Aug 2025 - Scottish League Cup

St Johnstone
0 :  1
Motherwell

Aberdeen vs Motherwell Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Aberdeen

50 %

Draw

0 %

Motherwell

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

27 Sept 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  0
Aberdeen

20 Sept 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Aberdeen
0 :  1
Motherwell

29 Mar 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
4 :  1
Motherwell

5 Jan 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  0
Aberdeen

14 Sept 2024 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
2 :  1
Motherwell

27 Apr 2024 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
1 :  0
Motherwell

Players list

Aberdeen
Aberdeen
Goalkeeper

D. Mitov

Defender

M. Knoester

N. Devlin

Midfielder

G. Shinnie

D. Lobban

J. Milne

D. Polvara

S. Armstrong

E. Gyamfi

Forward

M. Lazetic

J. Karlsson

Motherwell
Motherwell
Goalkeeper

C. Ward

Defender

E. Longelo

J. Koutroumbis

P. McGinn

S. Welsh

Midfielder

L. Fadinger

E. Just

C. Slattery

E. Watt

Forward

T. Maswanhise

A. Stamatelopoulos

Substitutes

Aberdeen
Aberdeen
Goalkeeper

N. Suman

Defender

G. Molloy

E. Gyamfi 46'

Midfielder

T. Keskinen

S. Armstrong 46'

A. Aouchiche

G. Shinnie 90'

K. Bilalovic

L. Clarkson

D. Polvara 90'

Forward

K. Yengi

K. Mar Kjartansson

K. Nisbet

M. Lazetic 90'

Motherwell
Motherwell
Goalkeeper

M. Connelly

Defender

L. Gordon

K. Balmer

Midfielder

T. Sparrow

O. Priestman

L. Fadinger 79'

R. Charles-Cook

C. Slattery 79'

Forward

I. Said

T. Maswanhise 65'

D. Osong

E. Just 90'

C. Hendry

A. Stamatelopoulos 65'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Aberdeen
CD Huachipato Motherwell
Top Goalscorer
Scotland K. Nisbet (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Zimbabwe T. Maswanhise (17 Goals)

Aberdeen - Motherwell Key Points

  1. Half of Motherwell's league games this season have seen under 2.5 goals.
  2. Aberdeen's 7 league goals is the fewest scored by any team in the Premiership this season.
  3. Eight of Aberdeen's ten games in the league this season have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
  4. Four of the last six games between the two teams have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
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Our Aberdeen vs Motherwell Prediction

Our prediction for the Aberdeen vs. Motherwell Scottish Premiership match is: Under 2.5 Goals.

Aberdeen and Motherwell have seen improved league form of late, so picking a prediction based on a result isn't easy as the data for the two is somewhat mixed. However, what is clear is that Aberdeen games this season have not seen very many goals at all. In fact they have scored just seven in ten and conceded only 11. That makes the Under 2.5 Goals option very appealing.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Aberdeen Motherwell

Aberdeen vs Motherwell Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Aberdeen wins 2.28 2.36 +3.5%
Draw 3.76 3.75 -0.3%
Motherwell wins 2.87 3 +4.5%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Motherwell is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 4.5% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 34.8% and is now 33.3% (-1.5%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Aberdeen vs Motherwell Prediction