1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Mainz and Union Berlin have saved their Bundesliga seasons, but matchday 33 is likely to be an open affair on Sunday at Mewa Arena. This match featuring the 10th-placed '05ers' and the 13th-placed ‘Iron Ones’ is likely to be an entertaining game with goals from both teams being our prediction.
Ahead of this matchday, Mainz have 37 points (W9, D10, L13) and are three points behind ninth. Union have 33 points (W8, D9, L15) and are guaranteed another season in the Bundesliga.
A 2-1 away win over St Pauli last weekend helped Mainz solidify their claims of a top-10 finish. They have now won four of their last seven Bundesliga matches (D1, L2) ahead of playing their final home game of the season.
Interestingly, they have lost their last two home league fixtures, although winning four of the previous six (D2). Avoiding defeat here would be a big push to end their home campaign on a high.
Union drew 2-2 at home against Koln last weekend, but their wait for a win extended to six league games (D2, L4). Although their safety is guaranteed, the ‘Iron Ones’ will hope to pick their first win under new coach Marie-Louise Eta.
Their record on the road is dire, though, as Union have lost six of their last seven away league games (W1), including three in a row.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
1 Fsv Mainz 05 v Union Berlin Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.73 | 4.1 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.69 | 4.06 | 4.68 |
|
|
1.69 | 4.06 | 4.68 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.1 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.69 | 3.95 | 4.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Union Berlin?
Our prediction for the 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/05/2026 between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Union Berlin in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.6% for a win of 1 Fsv Mainz 05 against Union Berlin with odds of 1.75 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin is 20.74% with odds of 4.21 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.66% chance ⭐ for a win of Union Berlin vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 with odds of 4.87 at 888Starz.
1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Union Berlin Prediction and Best Odds:
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Union Berlin Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 54.6% | 1.75 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.8% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 60.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : 1 Fsv Mainz 05/1 Fsv Mainz 05 | 28.35% | 2.63 at Bet365 |
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin Form
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Union Berlin's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
40 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 |
|
11
|
39 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -14 |
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Union Berlin Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
6 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Aug 2023 - Bundesliga
4 Feb 2023 - Bundesliga
1 Fsv Mainz 05 against Union Berlin Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
D. Batz
DefenderK. Potulski
S. Widmer
MidfielderL. Jae-sung
L. Maloney
S. Kawasaki
N. Veratschnig
A. Sieb
N. Weiper
T. Wisbereit
DefenderJ. Juranovic
S. Nsoki
D. Kohn
L. Querfeld
MidfielderJ. Woo-yeong
A. Kral
A. Schafer
T. Skarke
Missing players
D. Gleiber
ForwardB. Hollerbach
S. Katompa Mvumpa
K. Bos
F. Ronnow
M. Raab
Most goals and assists
1 Fsv Mainz 05
Union Berlin
N. Amiri
(12 Goals)
O. Burke
(6 Goals)
B. Hollerbach
(3 Assists)
,
D. da Costa
(3 Assists)
, 
S. Becker
(3 Assists)
A. Ilic
(8 Assists)
1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Union Berlin Key Points
- Six of Mainz’s last eight home league games saw both teams score goals.
- Union’s last five Bundesliga matches produced BTTS.
- Six of Union’s last nine away league games also saw both teams score goals.
- Three of the last four Bundesliga matches between these sides, including the reverse fixture, ended in scoring draws.
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Our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin Prediction
The threat of relegation is now over for both Mainz and Union Berlin, which means they are just fighting for final positions. Mainz have been winning well in recent weeks, but their only two defeats in the last ten Bundesliga outings have come at home. The union also have a task on their hands to improve, especially their away record.
With nothing left to play for and given the way this fixture has been played out in recent years, our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin 11 prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Union Berlin
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 1.86 | 1.75 | -5.9% |
| Draw | 3.96 | 4.21 | +6.3% |
| Union Berlin wins | 4.47 | 4.87 | +8.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- 1 Fsv Mainz 05 is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 53.8% and is now 57.1% (3.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
