1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Samsunspor Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
Europe - Conference League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Conference League Predictions
Mainz play Samsunspor in the final group game of the league phase of the 2025-26 UEFA Conference League with a top-eight place at stake. This match on Thursday at Mewa Arena between the eighth-placed 05ers and the fifth-placed ‘Red Lightning’ comes with our prediction of a home win and BTTS.
With ten points (W3, D1, L1), Mainz start this round just inside the top eight, while Samsunspor are only ahead on goal difference. Both teams are already guaranteed a place in the top 16 but can still finish in the top eight.
A 2-2 away draw at Bayern Munich last weekend was a creditable draw for the struggling Mainz, who haven’t won in seven competitive games (D3, L4). New manager Urs Fischer started his reign with two impressive draws.
One of those draws came on matchday five of this campaign away at Lech Poznan. Mainz have three wins from the first three matchdays, two of which have come at home.
Samsunspor lost 2-0 at home to Istanbul Basaksehir in their domestic league game last weekend. That was their third consecutive defeat in all competitions, extending their winless run to six games (D3, L3).
One of those losses came on matchday five at home against AEK Athens, which ended their four-game unbeaten run to the league phase (W3, D1).
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
1 Fsv Mainz 05 v Samsunspor Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.86 | 3.95 | 4 |
|
|
1.84 | 3.88 | 3.97 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.82 | 4.16 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.8 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.85 | 3.85 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Samsunspor?
Our prediction for the 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Samsunspor match is: 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/12/2025 between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Samsunspor in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.65% for a win of 1 Fsv Mainz 05 against Samsunspor with odds of 1.87 at Roobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Samsunspor is 33.27% with odds of 4.1 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.08% chance ⭐ for a win of Samsunspor vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 with odds of 4.16 at Betwinner.
1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Samsunspor Prediction and Best Odds:
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Samsunspor Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor wins | 34.08% | 4.16 at Betwinner |
| Under 2.5 | 53.62% | 2.25 at 888Starz |
| Both Team To Score | 66.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Samsunspor/Samsunspor | 14.77% | 6.5 at LSbet |
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Samsunspor Form
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Samsunspor's standings in the Conference League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 |
|
12
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 |
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Samsunspor Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
5 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
21 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
23 Oct 2025 - Conference League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
9 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - Super Lig
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
5 Dec 2025 - Super Lig
1 Dec 2025 - Super Lig
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
23 Nov 2025 - Super Lig
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - Super Lig
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
1 Dec 2025 - Super Lig
9 Nov 2025 - Super Lig
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
27 Oct 2025 - Super Lig
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Dec 2025 - Super Lig
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
23 Nov 2025 - Super Lig
2 Nov 2025 - Super Lig
19 Oct 2025 - Super Lig
2 Oct 2025 - Conference League
1 Fsv Mainz 05 against Samsunspor Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 1 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
L. Riess
L. Babatz
DefenderK. Schopp
S. Bell
MidfielderL. Maloney
W. Boving
D. Gleiber
ForwardB. Hollerbach
A. Sieb
F. Moreno Fell
B. Bobzien
A. Nordin
A. Posiadala
E. Berat Toruz
DefenderY. Cift
J. Mendes
T. Borevkovic
S. Gonul
MidfielderS. Aydogdu
T. Bulbul
P. Yaldir
Missing players
R. Zentner
DefenderP. Mwene
A. Caci
Most goals and assists
1 Fsv Mainz 05
Samsunspor
N. Amiri
(2 Goals)
, 
S. Posch
(2 Goals)
M. Mouandilmadji
(8 Goals)
L. Jae-sung
(2 Assists)
,
P. Nebel
(2 Assists)
C. Holse
(5 Assists)
1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Samsunspor Key Points
- Mainz have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 11 competitive matches.
- Three of Mainz’s last four home matches have returned BTTS.
- Mainz have won three of their five Conference League matches including both games played at home.
- Five of Samsunspor’s last six matches have seen both teams score goals.
- Samsunspor lost their three recent games in a row.
- Samsunspor have seen BTTS in eight of their last nine away matches including the last five.
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Our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Samsunspor Prediction
This is an intriguing fixture in the race to finish in the top eight. Both Mainz and Samsunspor are in the top eight, thanks to a strong start to their respective league phase campaigns. Both may, however, drop out of it, so the result of this game will decide their fate. After a strong start to the campaign, Mainz and Samsunspor have seen their Conference League charge fizzle out.
Home strengths could help Mainz come out on top here, although not without conceding. Our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Samsunspor prediction is 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins and BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Samsunspor
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Samsunspor | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 1.57 | 1.87 | +19.1% |
| Draw | 4.4 | 4.1 | -6.8% |
| Samsunspor wins | 5.4 | 4.16 | -23.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Samsunspor is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 23.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 18.5% and is now 24.0% (5.5%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
