1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
The last fixture of matchday 29 in the Bundesliga will feature two in-form mid-table sides as Mainz and Freiburg clash. This match in Mainz between the ninth-placed 05ers and the eighth-placed ‘Breisgau Brazilians’ comes with our prediction of a home win.
Mainz have 33 points (W8, D9, L11) and are fairly safe from a relegation threat and far from making a late push for European qualification. Freiburg’s 37 points (W10, D7, L11) see them start the round two points behind seventh.
Mainz won 2-0 at home against Strasbourg in the first leg of the Conference League quarter-finals on Thursday. That was a fifth consecutive win for the 05ers in all competitions, as they extended their unbeaten run to nine matches.
The record is equally impressive at home, as Mainz have seven wins and three draws from their last ten competitive home games. In the league, that record stands at W4, D3 in their last seven home matches.
Freiburg breezed past Celta Vigo 3-0 at home on Thursday in the first leg of the Europa League quarter-finals. That was their third win in the last four competitive games (L1), giving an edge in Europe.
Their record has been patchy in the league, though, losing three of their last five Bundesliga matches (W1, D1) and three of their last four league trips (W1).
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
1 Fsv Mainz 05 v Freiburg Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.31 | 3.3 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.28 | 3.22 | 3.28 |
|
|
2.28 | 3.24 | 3.26 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.1 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.26 | 3.15 | 3.25 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Freiburg?
Our prediction for the 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Freiburg match is: 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/04/2026 between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Freiburg in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.47% for a win of 1 Fsv Mainz 05 against Freiburg with odds of 2.36 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Freiburg is 28.89% with odds of 3.4 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 17.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Freiburg vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 with odds of 3.41 at 888Starz.
1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Freiburg Prediction and Best Odds:
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Freiburg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 53.47% | 2.36 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 57.71% | 2.05 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 57.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: 1 Fsv Mainz 05 | 26.47% | 6 at LSbet |
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Freiburg Form
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Freiburg's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | -6 |
|
10
|
40 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 |
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Freiburg Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
1 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Freiburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
67 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
21 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga
19 Mar 2023 - Bundesliga
1 Fsv Mainz 05 against Freiburg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
L. Riess
DefenderA. Caci
K. Potulski
S. Widmer
L. Maloney
W. Boving
N. Amiri
A. Sieb
N. Weiper
F. Muller
DefenderP. Treu
J. Makengo
P. Lienhart
N. Hofler
J. Beste
Y. Suzuki
V. Grifo
M. Philipp
Missing players
R. Zentner
MidfielderL. Jae-sung
D. Gleiber
ForwardB. Hollerbach
S. Katompa Mvumpa
K. Bos
M. Rosenfelder
MidfielderD. Kyereh
P. Osterhage
Most goals and assists
1 Fsv Mainz 05
Freiburg
N. Amiri
(12 Goals)
I. Matanovic
(11 Goals)
B. Hollerbach
(3 Assists)
,
D. da Costa
(3 Assists)
, 
S. Becker
(3 Assists)
V. Grifo
(4 Assists)
, 
J. Manzambi
(4 Assists)
,
M. Ginter
(4 Assists)
1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Freiburg Key Points
- Mainz have won their last five competitive matches.
- At home, Mainz have won six of their last eight competitive games, drawing two.
- In the Bundesliga, Mainz won four of their last six home games.
- Freiburg were beaten in five of their last seven away competitive matches.
- In the Bundesliga, Freiburg lost four of their last six trips.
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Our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Freiburg Prediction
Mainz and Freiburg are coming off impressive wins in Europe, which adds an extra dimension to this clash. Mainz are looking to make it to the semi-finals of the Conference League, while Freiburg are in pole position to reach the last four of the Europa League. Both teams have impressive momentum from recent matches, which makes this game even more interesting. The slight difference could be Mainz’s home form versus Freiburg’s away record.
Home advantage could help, and our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Freiburg prediction is 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Freiburg
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Freiburg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 2.12 | 2.36 | +11.3% |
| Draw | 3.27 | 3.4 | +4.0% |
| Freiburg wins | 4.22 | 3.41 | -19.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- 1 Fsv Mainz 05 is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 11.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.2% and is now 42.4% (-4.8%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
