1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
The newly-crowned Bundesliga champions Bayern Munich could be forgiven for having their plans set elsewhere as they travel to Mainz on matchday 31. This match on Saturday in Mainz between the 10th-placed ‘05ers’ and the table-toppers ‘Bavarians’ comes with our prediction of a home win or draw.
Ahead of this round, Mainz’s 34 points (W8, D10, L12) put them eight points above the relegation zone. Bayern have 79 points (W25, D4, L1) and are already crowned champions.
Mainz drew 1-1 away at Monchengladbach last weekend and are now set to finish in the mid-table. They have been in good form recently, losing only one of their last eight Bundesliga games (W3, D4).
That defeat came in their recent home game for the 05ers, who otherwise have been stubborn at this venue. Mainz have four wins and three draws in seven games prior to that defeat and will hope to revive that run.
Bayern won 2-0 away at Leverkusen in the midweek DFB Pokal semis to keep alive their hopes of a treble. They have the Champions League semi-final first leg coming up next week and could bench a few regulars to keep them fresh.
Bayern haven’t had the hold of Mainz in recent years, drawing the reverse fixture 2-2 and winning just one of the last three.
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1 Fsv Mainz 05 v Bayern Munich Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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4.4 | 4.6 | 1.69 |
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4.4 | 4.44 | 1.66 |
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4.4 | 4.44 | 1.66 |
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4.1 | 4.75 | 1.67 |
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4.4 | 4.4 | 1.65 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Bayern Munich?
Our prediction for the 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich match is: 1 Fsv Mainz 05 or draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/04/2026 between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Bayern Munich in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.04% for a win of 1 Fsv Mainz 05 against Bayern Munich with odds of 4.57 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich is 24.33% with odds of 4.75 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 51.63% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayern Munich vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 with odds of 1.73 at 888Starz.
1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Bayern Munich Prediction and Best Odds:
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Bayern Munich Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 51.63% | 1.73 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.85% | |
| Both Team To Score | 59.58% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Bayern Munich/Bayern Munich | 21.46% | 2.5 at Bet365 |
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich Form
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Bayern Munich's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
89 | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | +86 |
|
10
|
40 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 |
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Bayern Munich Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Apr 2026 - DFB Pokal
19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Apr 2026 - Champions League
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Apr 2026 - Champions League
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Apr 2026 - DFB Pokal
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Oct 2024 - DFB Pokal
9 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
21 Oct 2023 - Bundesliga
1 Fsv Mainz 05 against Bayern Munich Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
R. Zentner
DefenderK. Potulski
A. Caci
L. Maloney
W. Boving
S. Kawasaki
N. Veratschnig
ForwardA. Sieb
N. Weiper
M. Neuer
DefenderJ. Stanisic
D. Ofli
F. Pavic
J. Tah
J. Musiala
M. Olise
B. Assomo
H. Kane
Missing players
L. Jae-sung
D. Gleiber
ForwardB. Hollerbach
S. Katompa Mvumpa
K. Bos
T. Bischof
D. Daiber
L. Karl
ForwardS. Gnabry
Most goals and assists
1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Bayern Munich Key Points
- Mainz lost only two of their last 12 competitive matches.
- In the Bundesliga, Mainz avoided defeat in seven of their last eight games.
- At home, Mainz lost only one of their last eight Bundesliga outings.
- Bayern won just one of their last three Bundesliga matches against Mainz and drew the reverse fixture 2-2.
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Our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich Prediction
There is a distinct end-of-the-season flavour to this game, with both teams having very little to play for. At least Mainz can play for positions, but for Bayern, having already won the title, it’s a case of concentrating on clinching the famous treble. That could see a few squad changes and a chance for Mainz to hold their own against the newly crowned Bundesliga champions.
This could be Mainz’s chance to pick up at least a point, so our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich prediction is 1 Fsv Mainz 05 or draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Bayern Munich
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 6.3 | 4.57 | -27.5% |
| Draw | 5.33 | 4.75 | -10.9% |
| Bayern Munich wins | 1.49 | 1.73 | +16.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayern Munich is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 16.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 67.1% and is now 57.8% (-9.3%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.