Best ATP Paris Betting Odds (ATP)

Best Paris Masters ATP Betting Odds

The Paris Masters (or Paris Bercy) is an important event as it is the last major tournament of the year. The competition takes place at the end of October and into the first week of November on the indoor hard courts of the AccorHotels Arena. It’s an event which often sees some unpredictable or surprising results given the overall fatigue that sets in over the course of a full ATP season. Recently, it’s trended towards favoring younger players, who might have slightly fresher legs by the time this event rolls round. It is also the last chance that players have to secure or position themselves for a spot in the ATP Finals which starts just a few weeks later.

So, interested in betting on this exciting event? Before you get started, it’s important to have a solid understanding of odds and how the betting markets operate. Let’s first start by defining odds. Odds are simply a numerical representation of the perceived likelihood of a given event occurring. As it relates to the odds offered at sports betting sites, they represent what the bookmaker believes is a fair probability of the outcome. A more general way to look at it is this: the lower the odds (e.g. 1.30), the more likely it is to occur. Conversely, the higher the odds (e.g. 4.50) the less likely it is to occur. Lower odds bets will cash more frequently but offer less of a payout, while higher odds bets can offer those juicy returns but are less frequent.

Lastly, they also provide the bettor the ability to determine how much they stand to win from a given bet. Later on in the article we’ll provide a formula which will allow you to quickly calculate potential winnings from a wager.

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How are Paris Masters Open odds calculated?

There are a number of different factors that sportsbooks take into account when determining the betting odds they will offer. They have access to a number of advanced algorithms, various databases, historical team data, trends and more to arrive at a number that they think is fair. It’s important to understand that bookmakers also factor in how much betting action they expect to receive on each side, which can sometimes have an influence on the odds that they set as well.

This process applies not just to the match winner types of bets but to all betting markets including: over/under, game and set handicaps, individual set betting, exact score and more. Bookmakers use the same process as above to set their odds for all betting markets that you see.

As an example, let’s take a look at a hypothetical matchup between Chilean pro Nicolas Jarry and British pro Daniel Evans. On paper, it would appear that there should be a clear favorite coming into this match. Jarry is 20th in the ATP rankings while Evans is some way below him in 37th-place. However, when you go to look at the odds you see that the bookmakers are listing this match at close to even money for the match winner, with some books even edging Evans as the slight favorite. It’s our job to decipher why the oddsmakers have chosen to lay these types of odds.

It’s important to analyze every aspect of a match to determine which side holds the most value when looking to lock in your bet. In the case of Jarry vs Evans, the answer would lie in both players’ results on specific court surface types. Jarry is more of a clay court specialist, posting a 66% winning mark there compared to hard courts where he is winning just 52% of his matches. The numbers get even worse for the 28-year-old Chilean when playing on indoor hard courts, such as the venue of the Paris Masters event. On that type of surface, Jarry is winning a meager 32% of his clashes. Compare this to Evans, who thrives on hard court surfaces. The 33-year-old posts his highest winning percentage on hard courts at 62% while posting a near identical number on indoor hard courts over almost the same number of matches. These are the types of angles and scenarios you will have to consider when placing your bets.

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What are Paris Masters odds used for?

There are a few different purposes that betting odds serve. As we mentioned earlier, they allow the punter a way to quickly calculate how much they stand to win from a bet, should it ultimately come out to be a winner. It’s a simple formula and one that is quite intuitive: - stake = net profit. For example, a €100 bet at odds of 1.60 will return €60 in net profit. It’s also important to remember that not all bookmakers will offer the same odds for a similar bet. Making sure you are always comparing odds and shopping around will ensure you get the best price for your wager. 

Odds also serve the purpose to determine whether or not a bet is worth taking. Going back to our hypothetical matchup between Jarry and Evans, say you’ve done your research and have determined that Evans should be a slight favorite considering both players performances on indoor hard courts throughout their careers. However, when you check the odds you see that the bookmakers are favoring Jarry to get the victory while Evans comes in at the underdog price of 2.75.

In this situation, there is a fairly large difference between what you predicted the odds to be and what they actually are. It’s now up to you to find out the reason for this discrepancy. Is it possible there was something you overlooked? Could Evans be carrying an injury or has a key piece of information regarding his personal life just been leaked to the media? You’ll have to be sure you check your analysis from all angles to make sure there was not an error on your part when conducting your research.

There is the possibility that you simply have reached a different conclusion than the bookmakers without overlooking a key piece of information. It could be that the books are overvaluing Nicolas Jarry’s position in the ATP rankings, or perhaps they are undervaluing Evans given his lower ranking and older age. In this type of situation, if you’ve doubled-checked your analysis and are confident that it is accurate, you should trust your initial read and go ahead with the bet. Whether you determine this before the match starts or if you are looking to bet the Paris Masters matches live, these are often the types of situations that can provide some of the most profitable edges when you wind up being correct!

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Register everywhere!

Last but not least, one of the most important pieces of advice we can give is to make sure you register with as many bookmakers as you can. This is a strategy which is implemented by all of the top sports bettors without fail. The reason is quite simple: doing this allows you the largest possible pool of betting odds to choose from. This allows you to always receive the best possible price for a given bet. Consistently doing this will provide a noticeable boost to your bottom line at the end of the year. Some of the differences in odds between various sites can even be as large as 10%!

 For example, say the bet you are looking to make has a consensus price of 1.80 across the majority of bookmakers, However, bet365 has the same bet with odds of 1.90. While it might not seem like a huge difference at first glance, this is something that will add up in the long run. The difference between winning those two bets would be a profit of €80 and a profit of €90 on a €100 bet. Extrapolate that amount over hundreds of bets during an ATP season and you’ll start to see what a huge advantage this strategy provides.

Not only will you be making more profit by never leaving money on the table, you’ll also be able to benefit from the welcome bonuses offered by many bookmakers. Some welcome offers can even reach as high as 100% of your first deposit when registering a new account. Check out our list of top online betting sites for the latest offers as well as our thoughts on what each bookmaker has to offer.

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Odds for upcoming matches ATP Paris:

Our current Rolex Paris Masters previews:

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