Zhizhen Zhang vs Roberto Carballes Baena Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Qatar Open
ATP - ATP Qatar Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
In-form Zhizhen Zhang faces qualifier Roberto Carballes Baena in round one of the outdoor hard court ATP Doha tournament. For the winner, there's a second round match against either sixth seed Jakub Mensik or qualifier Jan Choinski. Time for our match prediction.
This month has already been a good one for Zhizhen Zhang. The Chinese player won the Challenger Tour tournament played in Brisbane and didn't drop a set. That followed a Davis Cup victory over Nuno Borges meaning he's won six matches in a row, all without dropping a set.
It's a return to form for the 29-year-old who had lost three successive matches since a win over Zizou Bergs in the United Cup. He's making his way back up the rankings after injury and the former world numer 31 is up to 316th in the live rankings.
Baena is 1-1 in previous meetings with Zhang. He lost the only match played on this surface two years ago.
Roberto Carballes Baena had to win two qualifying matches to reach the main draw of this Qatar ExxonMobil Open. The Spaniard did that for the loss of only seven games. Baena is playing in his first ATP Tour main draw of 2026 and is 162nd in the live rankingss.
We tip Zhang to win.
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Zhizhen Zhang v Roberto Carballes Baena Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.73 | 2.1 |
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1.75 | 2.07 |
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1.73 | 2.1 |
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|
1.69 | 2.06 |
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|
1.69 | 2.06 |
|
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Who will win the Zhizhen Zhang vs Roberto Carballes Baena Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Zhizhen Zhang vs Roberto Carballes Baena match is: Zhizhen Zhang wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Zhizhen Zhang vs Roberto Carballes Baena game on 17/02/2026 of the current ATP Qatar Open season:
- Zhizhen Zhang has a 61.83% chance to win against Roberto Carballes Baena according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 1.8.
- Roberto Carballes Baena has a 38.17% probability of winning facing Zhizhen Zhang ⭐ with odds of 2.1 at Melbet.
Zhizhen Zhang vs Roberto Carballes Baena Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Zhizhen Zhang has a 61.83 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Zhizhen Zhang | 61.83 % |
| Roberto Carballes Baena | 38.17 % |
Zhizhen Zhang vs Roberto Carballes Baena Form
Zhizhen Zhang and Roberto Carballes Baena Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
17 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
4 Jan 2026 - United Cup
2 Jan 2026 - United Cup
1 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
25 Sept 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
20 Sept 2025 - ATP Hangzhou Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
15 Feb 2026 - ATP Qatar Open
14 Feb 2026 - ATP Qatar Open
8 Feb 2026 - ATP Rotterdam
7 Feb 2026 - ATP Rotterdam
1 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier
13 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Zhizhen Zhang vs Roberto Carballes Baena Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
22 Sept 2024 - ATP Hangzhou Open
Zhizhen Zhang - Roberto Carballes Baena Key Points
- Zhang won the only outdoor hard court match played between these two players.
- Zhang has won his last six matches, all in straight sets.
- Zhang has had wins this year over Nuno Borges and Zizou Bergs, both ranked in the top 50.
- Baena is playing in his first ATP Tour main draw since last year's US Open.
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Our Zhizhen Zhang vs Roberto Carballes Baena Prediction
2025 was not a great year for injury-prone Zhizhen Zhang with only 16 matches played, of which only four were won. He's climbing back up the rankings now and has won seven of his ten matches this year, including the last six.
A couple of top 50 ranked players have already been beaten by him this year. Round one in Doha sees him face Roberto Carballes Baena who he comfortably beat in their only outdoor hard court match in 2024. Our Zhizhen Zhang v Roberto Carballes Baena prediction is Zhizhen Zhang wins.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Zhizhen Zhang or Roberto Carballes Baena, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
