Africa - African Nations Championship
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by Kennedy Kechula | in African Nations Championship Predictions
Zambia and Kenya are operating from the extreme ends in Group A of the African Nations Championship (Chan). The two nations will meet for their final group games, with Kenya on top with seven points and Zambia at the bottom with zero. We have a prediction for the match below.
Zambia are only playing for pride; three straight defeats have resulted in early elimination on their fifth appearance. This will mark Zambia’s worst performance at Chan, having always made at least the quarter-finals.
Chipolopolo’s best Chan performance was finishing third in 2009. After their 3-1 defeat to Morocco, Zambia’s elimination was confirmed. They had earlier lost 2-1 and 2-0 to Angola and DR Congo, respectively.
Kenya have already secured their place in the quarter-finals, making a first appearance at Chan. Two wins and a draw in the opening three matches mean the co-hosts can’t finish lower than second.
With head-to-head performances as the first tie-breaker, Kenya will get the preference after beating second-placed Morocco and DR Congo, who are third. So, while Zambia are playing for pride, Kenya will also want to keep their unbeaten run, needing a win to confirm the top spot.
The Harambee Stars are unbeaten in five matches, winning three. They are also undefeated in their last three meetings with Zambia, winning twice.
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The Best Betting Odds for Zambia v Kenya Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.8 | 2.75 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.6 | 2.88 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.4 | 2.7 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.6 | 2.88 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.7 | 2.9 | 2.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Zambia and Kenya?
Our prediction for the Zambia vs Kenya match is: Kenya wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/08/2025 between Zambia and Kenya in African Nations Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 20.61% for a win of Zambia against Kenya with odds of 3.8 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Zambia vs Kenya is 28.21% with odds of 2.91 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 51.18% chance ⭐ for a win of Kenya vs Zambia with odds of 2.28 at LSbet.
Zambia - Kenya Prediction and Best Odds:
| Zambia Kenya Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Kenya wins | 51.18% | 2.28 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | 1.44 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | 2.25 at Betway |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Kenya | 30% | 5.5 at Unibet |
Zambia vs Kenya Form
Zambia and Kenya's standings in the African Nations Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
|
5
|
0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -6 |
Zambia and Kenya Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
10 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
7 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
11 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
6 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
6 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sept 2024 - AFCON
30 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
7 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
11 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
7 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
3 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
3 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sept 2024 - AFCON
27 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
Zambia vs Kenya Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
27 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
Zambia - Kenya Key Points
- Zambia are winless in the last three meetings with Kenya.
- Kenya are unbeaten at Chan 2025, winning two of three games.
- Kenya haven't tasted defeat in their last five matches, winning three.
- Zambia are winless in their last six matches, losing five.
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Our Zambia vs Kenya Prediction
After Morocco and DR Congo, Zambia were the other nation in Group A to have advanced furthest at Chan finals. However, they enter their final match at the competition as underdogs, despite facing debutants. Kenya have reaped massively from political goodwill and support from home fans.
Beating DR Congo and Morocco boosted their confidence, and they enter this game as firm favorites. Head coach Benni McCarthy’s impact can’t be understated either, with the local lads playing with much confidence now. Our prediction for Zambia v Kenya is that Kenya wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Zambia Kenya
| Zambia vs Kenya | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zambia wins | 3.5 | 3.8 | +8.6% |
| Draw | 2.75 | 2.75 | 0% |
| Kenya wins | 2.15 | 2.05 | -4.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Kenya is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 46.5% and is now 48.8% (2.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Zambia vs. Kenya game!
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Try your luck on this year's African Nations Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
