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Wolves vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Wolves
16/08/2025 12:30
Manchester City

Prediction :

 

Manchester City to win and over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Premier League Predictions

There were differing levels, but there stands a strong case to support the fact that both Wolverhampton Wanderers and Manchester City had poor campaigns in the 2024/25 season. While Wolves celebrated finishing outside the relegation region, Manchester City were glad to finish in Champions League places. The two sides face off in round one, and we have a prediction for the match below.

Wolves, the hosts here, had a poor run in preseason, losing three of their four matches. The only one they avoided defeat in ended in a draw. That, plus having gone winless in their final four matches last season, will have home fans rightly concerned.

Manchester City have had their troubles as well. Their only preseason friendly match was against Palermo, which they won 3-0. They had earlier taken part in the Club World Cup, where they got eliminated by Saudi Pro League side Al Hilal. That confirmed their trophyless status in 2025.


 

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The Best Betting Odds for Wolves v Manchester City Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
5.75 4.75 1.5
Betfred
7.5 4.6 1.44
William Hill
6 4.5 1.44
Betway
6 4.75 1.48
Ladbrokes
6 4.5 1.48
Check all Wolves vs Manchester City odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Wolves and Manchester City?

Our prediction for the Wolves vs Manchester City match is: Manchester City to win and over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/08/2025 between Wolves and Manchester City in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 21.51% for a win of Wolves against Manchester City with odds of 7.5 at Betfred.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Wolves vs Manchester City is 15.82% with odds of 4.8 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 62.67% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester City vs Wolves with odds of 1.53 at 22bet.

Wolves vs Manchester City Form

Wolves and Manchester City Last Matches

Wolves
Wolves Last matches
L D D L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Wolves
0 :  1
Celta Vigo

3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Girona
2 :  1
Wolves

30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Wolves
1 :  3
Lens

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Stoke
1 :  1
Wolves

25 May 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  1
Brentford

20 May 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
4 :  2
Wolves
W W L D L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Wolves
0 :  1
Celta Vigo

30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Wolves
1 :  3
Lens

25 May 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  1
Brentford

10 May 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
0 :  2
Brighton

26 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
3 :  0
Leicester

13 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
4 :  2
Tottenham
W W L L D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Girona
2 :  1
Wolves

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Stoke
1 :  1
Wolves

20 May 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
4 :  2
Wolves

2 May 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  0
Wolves

20 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  1
Wolves

5 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
1 :  2
Wolves
Manchester City
Manchester City Last matches
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
3.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Palermo
0 :  3
Manchester City

30 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Manchester City
3 :  4
Al Hilal

26 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Juventus
2 :  5
Manchester City

22 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Manchester City
6 :  0
Al Ain FC

18 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Manchester City
2 :  0
WAC Casablanca

25 May 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
0 :  2
Manchester City
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

30 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Manchester City
3 :  4
Al Hilal

22 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Manchester City
6 :  0
Al Ain FC

18 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Manchester City
2 :  0
WAC Casablanca

20 May 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Bournemouth

2 May 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  0
Wolves

22 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Aston Villa
W D L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Palermo
0 :  3
Manchester City

26 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Juventus
2 :  5
Manchester City

25 May 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
0 :  2
Manchester City

17 May 2025 - FA Cup

Crystal Palace
1 :  0
Manchester City

10 May 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  0
Manchester City

27 Apr 2025 - FA Cup

Nottingham Forest
0 :  2
Manchester City

Wolves vs Manchester City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Wolves

17 %

Draw

0 %

Manchester City

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored (home team)
2.5
Goals scored (away team)
83%
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5

2 May 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  0
Wolves

20 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  2
Manchester City

4 May 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
5 :  1
Wolves

30 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Wolves
2 :  1
Manchester City

22 Jan 2023 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Wolves

17 Sep 2022 - Premier League

Wolves
0 :  3
Manchester City
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Wolves - Manchester City: Form Analysis

Wolverhampton Wanderers had a torrid season last term, and one of the few positives they celebrated was staying up. The team lost more than they won, only managing 42 points from 12 wins and six draws.

That they lost by one-goal margins in both matches against City last season could also be a reason to celebrate. This is a fixture Wolves have been losing heavily in.

Coming into the new campaign, there will be genuine fears among the home fans, as Wolves have failed to win any of their preseason games. After a 1-1 draw with Stoke City, they lost to Lens, Girona and Celta Vigo.

That preseason performance came after failing to win any of their last four league matches, among them a loss to Manchester City.

In the last five years, Wolves have managed just one win against Manchester City.

By their high standards, Manchester City had a poor season in 2024/25. After winning four straight Premier League titles, City finished trophyless and even lost to Crystal Palace in the FA Cup final.

The Club World Cup was seen as an avenue to win some silverware, but that too ended in disappointment. Pep Guardiola’s side will aim to do better after finishing 13 points behind the new champions, Liverpool.

An area to improve on is their away form, having won just eight of 19 league games on the road.

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Wolves & Manchester City Squad Analysis

Wolves had a poor season but with a number of standout players. Among them was Rayan Ait-Nouri, who could be facing them after moving to Manchester City. Across five seasons with Wolves, the defender played 157 times and scored 12 goals.

The biggest departure from Wolves, however, was Matheus Cunha, who switched to the red side of Manchester. The Brazilian will be missed sorely after his contribution of 33 goals spread across 92 matches in two and a half years.

Leon Chiwome, Yerson Mosquera and Fabio Silva are all unavailable for Wolves, as they are nursing various injuries.

Erling Haaland has eight goals in five matches against Wolverhampton Wanderers.

One player whose injury really destabilized Manchester City last season is out again. Spaniard Rodri recovered from a knee injury but has gone back to the infirmary, this time with a groin issue. He is set to miss this game.

The midfielder is not the only absentee expected. Mateo Kovacic, Phil Foden, and Josko Gvardiol are also out after missing the Palermo friendly match. Kevin de Bruyne, scorer of the only goal against Wolves in the latest meeting, has left for Napoli.

Meanwhile, Jeremy Doku, with two assists in the last two meetings, will hope to keep his touch in this game.

Wolves - Manchester City Key Points

  1. 14 goals were scored in Wolves’ last five matches.
  2. Manchester City’s last five matches produced 21 goals.
  3. Manchester City won nine of the last 10 meetings with Wolves.
  4. Wolves are winless in four straight league matches, losing three.
  5. On average, 2.8 goals were scored in Wolves’ last five home league games.
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Our Wolves vs Manchester City Prediction

Manchester City may have had a poor run last season and a not-so-glossy preseason, but Wolverhampton Wanderers don’t look like an outfit to trouble them. City have won nine times in their last 10 meetings with Wolves.

Even in a season that they struggled to win matches, City posted home and away victories in this fixture. The fact that Wolves lost a few key players leaves them weaker, and this could once again end in City’s favor. Apart from the last match, this has also been a high-scoring match in recent times. Our prediction for Wolverhampton Wanderers v Manchester City is for Manchester City to win and over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Manchester City to win and over 2.5 goals

 
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Wolves vs Manchester City - Other Interesting Predictions

Erling Haaland to score.

Odds 1.66

One player who will look forward to this game is Erling Haaland. The last time these teams faced off, he stayed on the bench all through. He has only failed to score once when facing Wolves. In this fixture, the Norwegian has scored eight times after only playing against Wolves five times. In our second prediction, we are backing Erling Haaland to score.

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Wolves vs Manchester City match : Frequently asked questions

The Wolverhampton Wanderers v Manchester City match will be played on Saturday, 16th August.

The Wolverhampton Wanderers v Manchester City match will be played at the Molineux.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Wolves vs Manchester City Prediction
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