Poland - Ekstraklasa
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Football Predictions
It’s a clash for three crucial points at the top of the Poland Ekstraklasa 2025-26 campaign as leaders Wisla Plock host second-placed Legia Warsaw in a matchday five fixture. This match on Sunday at Orlen Stadion between the Oilers and the Militarians comes with our prediction of a home win.
Wisla lead the table after four rounds with a tally of ten points (W3, D1) and three ahead of the chasing pack of five clubs. One of those chasers is Legia Warsaw (W2, D1), who have a game in hand.
A 1-1 away draw at Widzew Lodz last weekend was the first time Wisla dropped points this season in the league. That stalemate was preceded by three wins out of three in the first three matchdays.
All those wins saw Wisla score exactly two goals, including both their home fixtures that ended in a 2-0 winning score for the hosts.
Legia are coming off a 2-1 home win over AEK Larnaca in the Europa League. That result wasn’t enough to overturn the first-leg deficit, and they crashed out of the second-tier competition.
Legia started their away campaign this season with a 2-0 win at Kielce but will be wary of this venue. Legia lost three of their last four away league games against Wisla, the last two in a row.
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The Best Betting Odds for Wisla Plock v Legia Warsaw Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.1 | 3.4 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.4 | 2.1 |
|
|
3 | 3.3 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.3 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.75 | 2.04 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Wisla Plock and Legia Warsaw?
Our prediction for the Wisla Plock vs Legia Warsaw match is: Wisla Plock wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/08/2025 between Wisla Plock and Legia Warsaw in Ekstraklasa :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.2% for a win of Wisla Plock against Legia Warsaw with odds of 3.37 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Wisla Plock vs Legia Warsaw is 20.4% with odds of 3.75 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.41% chance ⭐ for a win of Legia Warsaw vs Wisla Plock with odds of 2.2 at William Hill.
Wisla Plock - Legia Warsaw Prediction and Best Odds:
| Wisla Plock Legia Warsaw Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Wisla Plock wins | 51.2% | 3.37 at 22bet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.9% | 1.9 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 60.42% | 1.7 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Wisla Plock/Wisla Plock | 18.81% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Wisla Plock vs Legia Warsaw Form
Wisla Plock and Legia Warsaw's standings in the Ekstraklasa
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
13 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
|
5
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Wisla Plock and Legia Warsaw Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Ekstraklasa
1 Aug 2025 - Ekstraklasa
27 Jul 2025 - Ekstraklasa
19 Jul 2025 - Ekstraklasa
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Aug 2025 - Ekstraklasa
19 Jul 2025 - Ekstraklasa
1 Jun 2025 - 1 Liga
29 May 2025 - 1 Liga
25 May 2025 - 1 Liga
12 May 2025 - 1 Liga
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Ekstraklasa
27 Jul 2025 - Ekstraklasa
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Aug 2025 - Europa League
10 Aug 2025 - Ekstraklasa
7 Aug 2025 - Europa League
3 Aug 2025 - Ekstraklasa
31 Jul 2025 - Europa League
27 Jul 2025 - Ekstraklasa
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Aug 2025 - Europa League
10 Aug 2025 - Ekstraklasa
3 Aug 2025 - Ekstraklasa
31 Jul 2025 - Europa League
10 Jul 2025 - Europa League
30 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Aug 2025 - Europa League
27 Jul 2025 - Ekstraklasa
24 Jul 2025 - Europa League
17 Jul 2025 - Europa League
13 Jul 2025 - Super Cup
25 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Wisla Plock vs Legia Warsaw Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
21 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Wisla Plock against Legia Warsaw Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists
Wisla Plock
Legia Warsaw
L. Sekulski
(3 Goals)
J. Nsame
(1 Goals)
, 
M. Alfarela
(1 Goals)
,
A. Jedrzejczyk
(1 Goals)
,
P. Wszolek
(1 Goals)
, 
R. Morishita
(1 Goals)
J. Jimenez Rodriguez
(2 Assists)
V. Bichakhchyan
(1 Assists)
,
M. Alfarela
(1 Assists)
,
A. Jedrzejczyk
(1 Assists)
,
P. Wszolek
(1 Assists)
, 
P. Stojanovic
(1 Assists)
Wisla Plock - Legia Warsaw Key Points
- Wisla won three of their last four home league games against Legia, including two in a row.
- Wisla won their last two home league games of this campaign by a 2-0 scoreline.
- Wisla won three of their four league games of this campaign.
- Legia lost their most recent away trip, although in the Europa League.
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Our Wisla Plock vs Legia Warsaw Prediction
This is a high-stakes top-of-the-table clash, as Wisla and Legia are separated by just three points, although Legia have a game in hand. Wisla have been very impressive at home this season, winning both their league fixtures at this venue by a 2-0 scoreline. Legia, on the other hand, could win only two of their most recent five league trips.
This game could see a surprise result from the home team, and our Wisla Plock vs Legia Warsaw prediction is Wisla Plock wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Wisla Plock Legia Warsaw
| Wisla Plock vs Legia Warsaw | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wisla Plock wins | 3.6 | 3.1 | -13.9% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.4 | -2.9% |
| Legia Warsaw wins | 1.9 | 2.1 | +10.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Wisla Plock is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 13.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 27.8% and is now 32.3% (4.5%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Wisla Plock vs. Legia Warsaw game!
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Try your luck on this year's Ekstraklasa! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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