England - Carabao Cup
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by Devesh Jaganath in Carabao Cup Predictions
Wigan Athletic and Notts County will face off in the opening round of the Carabao Cup at the DW Stadium on Tuesday night. This is the first time that the Latics and the Magpies will be meeting in a competitive fixture since February 2010. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Wigan Athletic have struggled to make much of an impact in this competition, having been eliminated in the first round in eight of the last 10 editions, including each of the last three.
The Latics made an impressive start to this season, winning their opening league match 3-1 over Northampton. However, they lost their second game of the campaign 2-0 against Leyton Orient this past weekend.
While not prolific, the hosts have been tough to beat at home, with only one defeat recorded in their last seven competitive games at the DW Stadium (W3 D3 L1).
Meanwhile, Notts County have never won this competition in their past and were knocked out in the opening round in each of their last five attempts, with three of those ending in penalties.
The Magpies endured a disappointing end to last season, losing their final three competitive games, and they’re still awaiting their first victory this term after a 2-1 defeat to Salford at the weekend.
The visitors have a record of three wins, three draws and four defeats in their last 10 competitive away matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Wigan v Notts County Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.91 | 3.5 | 4 |
|
|
2 | 3.4 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.3 | 4 |
|
|
2 | 3.4 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.55 | 3.7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Wigan and Notts County?
Our prediction for the Wigan vs Notts County match is: Wigan Athletic to qualify.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/08/2025 between Wigan and Notts County in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.82% for a win of Wigan against Notts County with odds of 2.15 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Wigan vs Notts County is 35.9% with odds of 3.55 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 18.28% chance ⭐ for a win of Notts County vs Wigan with odds of 4.26 at 888Starz.
Wigan - Notts County Prediction and Best Odds:
| Wigan Notts County Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan wins | 45.82% | 2.15 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 67.8% | 1.85 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | 1.84 at Unibet |
| Half-time / Full-time : Wigan/Wigan | 21.59% | 3.2 at Betfair |
Wigan vs Notts County Form
Wigan and Notts County Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - League One
2 Aug 2025 - League One
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Aug 2025 - League One
26 Apr 2025 - League One
21 Apr 2025 - League One
12 Apr 2025 - League One
1 Apr 2025 - League One
29 Mar 2025 - League One
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - League One
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - League One
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - League Two
2 Aug 2025 - League Two
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - League Two
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - League Two
3 May 2025 - League Two
21 Apr 2025 - League Two
11 Apr 2025 - League Two
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Aug 2025 - League Two
15 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - League Two
Most goals and assists
Wigan
Notts County
F. Murray
(2 Goals)
J. Jones
(1 Goals)
, 
J. Luker
(1 Goals)
Wigan - Notts County Key Points
- Wigan have only lost one of their last 10 competitive matches.
- Wigan are unbeaten in their last four competitive home matches.
- Notts County are winless in their last five competitive matches.
- Notts County have only won one of their last five competitive away matches.
- Notts County failed to get beyond the first round of this competition in each of the last past five seasons.
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Our Wigan vs Notts County Prediction
While Wigan have endured a difficult few years, they are on something of an upward trajectory lately, having ended the 2023-24 season impressively, while only losing one of their last 10 competitive matches.
Notts County, meanwhile, are still in search of their first competitive victory since late April against Harrogate and have not got to the second round of this competition since 2015-16. We feel they will struggle to overcome the home side in this one. Our Wigan Athletic vs Notts County prediction is Wigan Athletic to qualify.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Wigan Notts County
| Wigan vs Notts County | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wigan wins | 1.8 | 1.91 | +6.1% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.5 | -2.8% |
| Notts County wins | 4.33 | 4 | -7.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Wigan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 55.6% and is now 52.4% (-3.2%)
Get up to £30 to bet on the Wigan vs. Notts County game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Wigan and Notts County when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Carabao Cup!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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