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Wales vs Finland Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Wales
18/11/2020 14:45
Finland

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in UEFA Nations League Predictions

It's all come down to the last match in League B4 of the UEFA Nations League. Wales top the group by a point from opponents Finland and just need to avoid defeat to win promotion to League A. The Welsh side may have had a few problems off the pitch in recent weeks but continue to do well on the field of play. They top this group with 13 points from their five games and are yet to concede a goal in five matches. Goals have been rather sparce in their games though with just four scored in total. The most recent of those came on Sunday when they had a crucial 1-0 home win over Ireland. In-form David Brooks got the winner with 23 minutes remaining. They needed that win as Finland won 2-1 in Bulgaria to remain a point behind the group leaders. There have been ten games played in this group and just 13 goals scored. That 2-1 win for Finland on Sunday is the first in this group to have over 2.5 goals scored in it. Wales have won both their home games in this group 1-0 and also had victories by the same scoreline in Finland and Bulgaria, drawing the other 0-0 in Ireland. The Welsh side are unbeaten in their last four games. 16 of their last 19 internationals have had under 2.5 goals scored in them and eight of the last nine at home with clean sheets in seven of them.

Finland come into this final group match knowing exactly what they have to do. Nothing but a win will see them win the group and win promotion. They have already qualified for the next European Championships, their first ever finals. Last year saw them win promotion from League C, can they make it two straight promotions and be in League A for the next Nations League tournament? They have won four of their five group games, the other being that vital 1-0 home loss to Wales in their opening fixture. Finland have won five of their last six games, all with under 2.5 goals scored in them. The other one was a 5-1 loss in Poland in October of this year. Away form has seen Finland win three of the last four and that includes going to France last week and winning 2-0. A bet on under 2.5 goals looks the one to go for here.

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Wales vs Finland Form

Wales and Finland's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Wales
Wales
16 6 5 1 0 6
2
Finland
Finland
12 6 4 0 2 2

Wales and Finland Last Matches

Wales
Wales Last matches
W L D W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

15 Nov 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Wales
1 :  0
Ireland

12 Nov 2020 - International Friendlies

Wales
0 :  0
USA

14 Oct 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Bulgaria
0 :  1
Wales

11 Oct 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Ireland
0 :  0
Wales

8 Oct 2020 - International Friendlies

England
3 :  0
Wales

6 Sept 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Wales
1 :  0
Bulgaria
W D W W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

15 Nov 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Wales
1 :  0
Ireland

12 Nov 2020 - International Friendlies

Wales
0 :  0
USA

6 Sept 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Wales
1 :  0
Bulgaria

19 Nov 2019 - Euro

Wales
2 :  0
Hungary

13 Oct 2019 - Euro

Wales
1 :  1
Croatia

6 Sept 2019 - Euro

Wales
2 :  1
Azerbaijan
D W W L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

14 Oct 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Bulgaria
0 :  1
Wales

11 Oct 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Ireland
0 :  0
Wales

8 Oct 2020 - International Friendlies

England
3 :  0
Wales

3 Sept 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Finland
0 :  1
Wales

16 Nov 2019 - Euro

Azerbaijan
0 :  2
Wales

10 Oct 2019 - Euro

Slovakia
1 :  1
Wales
Finland
Finland Last matches
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

15 Nov 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Bulgaria
1 :  2
Finland

11 Nov 2020 - International Friendlies

France
0 :  2
Finland

14 Oct 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Finland
1 :  0
Ireland

11 Oct 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Finland
2 :  0
Bulgaria

7 Oct 2020 - International Friendlies

Poland
5 :  1
Finland

6 Sept 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Ireland
0 :  1
Finland
L W W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Oct 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Finland
1 :  0
Ireland

11 Oct 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Finland
2 :  0
Bulgaria

3 Sept 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Finland
0 :  1
Wales

15 Nov 2019 - Euro

Finland
3 :  0
Liechtenstein

15 Oct 2019 - Euro

Finland
3 :  0
Armenia

8 Sept 2019 - Euro

Finland
1 :  2
Italy
L L W L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Nov 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Bulgaria
1 :  2
Finland

11 Nov 2020 - International Friendlies

France
0 :  2
Finland

7 Oct 2020 - International Friendlies

Poland
5 :  1
Finland

6 Sept 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Ireland
0 :  1
Finland

18 Nov 2019 - Euro

Greece
2 :  1
Finland

12 Oct 2019 - Euro

Bosnia Herzegovina
4 :  1
Finland

Wales vs Finland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

3 Sept 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Finland
0 :  1
Wales
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Wales against Finland Lineups: Starting 11

Wales

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
D. Ward
14
C. Roberts
4
C. Mepham
6
J. Rodon
18
J. Lawrence
10
H. Wilson
15
E. Ampadu
16
J. Morrell
17
R. Norrington-Davies
20
D. James
11
G. Bale
11
R. Schuller
10
T. Pukki
16
R. Taylor
15
D. O'Shaughnessy
6
G. Kamara
8
R. Lod
18
J. Uronen
2
P. Arajuuri
4
J. Toivio
17
N. Alho
1
L. Hradecky

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Finland

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Wales
CD Huachipato Finland
Top Goalscorer
Wales K. Moore (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Finland F. Jensen (3 Goals)
Best assists
Wales G. Bale (2 Assists)
Wales D. James (2 Assists)
Best assists
Finland R. Taylor (2 Assists)

Wales - Finland Key Points

  1. Under 2.5 goals have been scored in all but one of the 10 games played in this group.
  2. There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 16 of the last 19 games played by Wales.
  3. Wales are yet to concede a goal in this group.
  4. Five of the last six Finland away games have had under 2.5 goals scored.
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Our Wales vs Finland Prediction

It's a final game shoot-out in this group but Wales will qualify if avoid defeat. They had a vital 1-0 home win over Ireland at the weekend but still can't shake off Finland. The away side look to be in the better form after that win in France and then beating Bulgaria. Both of these teams have been playing a lot of matches with under 2.5 goals scored. In terms of Wales, a great deal of games. This should be a tight match and a bet on under 2.5 goals is the tip.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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Wales vs Finland Prediction

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