Villarreal vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Villarreal
20/03/2026 16:00
Real Sociedad

Prediction :

 

BTTS and over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions

After a season that started with much promise, it seems Villarreal can only contest for a top-four finish in La Liga. Sitting fourth, they will be at home against seventh-placed Real Sociedad in their next league outing. Read on for our prediction of the match.

Villarreal will not view their 1-1 draw with Alaves as a setback. They remain fourth and well in control of their destiny, having opened up an 11-point buffer.

There are only 10 games to play, and the Yellow Submarines will want to close this up as soon as possible. A win here will see them rise to third, and they are hoping for a leap, as Atletico Madrid faces Real Madrid next. At home, they’ve won 11 of 14 league games. 

Real Sociedad have hit form in their recent matches and come here very confident. They’ve won three of their last four matches. Among them was their ticket to the Copa Del Rey final, which takes them closer to European football.

The league also offers a route to Europe, and thus the visitors are on the right stride. After their 3-2 loss to Atletico Madrid, Sociedad recovered in their most recent outing with a 3-1 victory at home to Osasuna.

That was their sixth win in nine matches, but there’s a need for improvement on the road, having only won two of the last seven in La Liga.

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Villarreal v Real Sociedad Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.99 3.7 3.8
Melbet
1.94 3.58 3.86
Betwinner
1.96 3.56 3.8
Bet365
1.95 3.6 3.8
Roobet
1.93 3.55 3.75
Check all Villarreal vs Real Sociedad odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Villarreal and Real Sociedad?

Our prediction for the Villarreal vs Real Sociedad match is: BTTS and over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/03/2026 between Villarreal and Real Sociedad in LaLiga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.59% for a win of Villarreal against Real Sociedad with odds of 2.01 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Villarreal vs Real Sociedad is 15.65% with odds of 3.75 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 38.75% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Sociedad vs Villarreal with odds of 4.02 at 888Starz.

Villarreal - Real Sociedad Prediction and Best Odds:

Villarreal Real Sociedad Prediction Probability Odds
Villarreal wins 45.59% 2.01 at 888Starz
Over 2.5 goals 63.28% 1.93 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 72.08%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Villarreal 19.22% 5.5 at LSbet

Villarreal vs Real Sociedad Form

Villarreal and Real Sociedad's standings in the LaLiga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Villarreal
72 38 22 6 10 +26
10 Real Sociedad
46 38 11 13 14 -2

Villarreal and Real Sociedad Last Matches

Villarreal
Villarreal Last matches
L W W L W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Mar 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  1
Villarreal

8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
2 :  1
Elche

28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Barcelona
4 :  1
Villarreal

22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
2 :  1
Valencia

18 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Levante
0 :  1
Villarreal

14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Getafe
2 :  1
Villarreal
W L L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
2 :  1
Elche

22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
2 :  1
Valencia

9 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
4 :  1
Espanyol

24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
0 :  2
Real Madrid

20 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Villarreal
1 :  2
Ajax

10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
3 :  1
Alavés
L D L W L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Mar 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  1
Villarreal

28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Barcelona
4 :  1
Villarreal

18 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Levante
0 :  1
Villarreal

14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Getafe
2 :  1
Villarreal

31 Jan 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
2 :  2
Villarreal

28 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen
3 :  0
Villarreal
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad Last matches
L D W W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Mar 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  1
Osasuna

7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  2
Real Sociedad

4 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey

Real Sociedad
1 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Mallorca
0 :  1
Real Sociedad

21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  3
Real Oviedo

14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Real Sociedad
W W W D W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

15 Mar 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  1
Osasuna

4 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey

Real Sociedad
1 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  3
Real Oviedo

7 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  1
Elche

25 Jan 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  1
Celta Vigo

18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
2 :  1
Barcelona
D W W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  2
Real Sociedad

28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Mallorca
0 :  1
Real Sociedad

14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Real Sociedad

11 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  1
Real Sociedad

4 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey

Alavés
2 :  3
Real Sociedad

1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  1
Real Sociedad

Villarreal vs Real Sociedad Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Villarreal

50 %

Draw

17 %

Real Sociedad

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

30 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
2 :  3
Villarreal

20 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
2 :  2
Real Sociedad

13 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
1 :  0
Villarreal

23 Feb 2024 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
1 :  3
Villarreal

9 Dec 2023 - LaLiga

Villarreal
0 :  3
Real Sociedad

2 Apr 2023 - LaLiga

Villarreal
2 :  0
Real Sociedad
Villarreal vs Real Sociedad Prediction

Villarreal against Real Sociedad Lineups: Starting 11

Villarreal

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
L. Junior
15
S. Mourino
6
P. Navarro
12
R. Veiga
24
A. Pedraza
19
N. Pepe
14
S. Comesana
18
P. Gueye
20
A. Moleiro
7
G. Moreno
9
G. Mikautadze
10
M. Oyarzabal
23
B. Mendez
11
G. Guedes
18
C. Soler
4
J. Gorrotxategi
7
A. Barrenetxea
17
S. Gomez
5
I. Zubeldia
31
J. Martin
2
J. Aramburu
1
A. Remiro

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Real Sociedad

Substitutes

Villarreal
Villarreal
Goalkeeper

A. Tenas

Defender

S. Cardona

R. Marin

W. Kambwala

A. Freeman

Midfielder

D. Parejo

P. Gueye 90'

T. Partey

S. Comesana 90'

Forward

A. Gonzalez

A. Moleiro 74'

T. Buchanan

G. Moreno 74'

T. Oluwaseyi

G. Mikautadze 90'

Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
Goalkeeper

U. Marrero

Defender

A. Munoz

D. Caleta-Car

I. Zubeldia 54'

A. Elustondo

J. Aramburu 68'

Midfielder

I. Basurco

L. Sucic

J. Gorrotxategi 46'

A. Zakharyan

M. Oyarzabal 82'

P. Marin

T. Carbonell

Wesley

Forward

O. Oskarsson

B. Mendez 68'

J. Karrikaburu

Missing players

Villarreal
Villarreal
Defender

J. Foyth

L. Costa

Forward

A. Perez

P. Cabanes

Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
Defender

A. Odriozola

I. Ruperez Urtasun

Midfielder

Y. Herrera

T. Kubo

B. Turrientes

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Villarreal
CD Huachipato Real Sociedad
Top Goalscorer
Georgia G. Mikautadze (13 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain M. Oyarzabal (15 Goals)
Best assists
Ivory Coast N. Pepe (8 Assists)
Best assists
Spain S. Gomez (5 Assists)

Villarreal - Real Sociedad Key Points

  1. 14 goals were scored in Villarreal’s last five matches.
  2. At home, both teams scored in Villarreal’s last three games.
  3. 3.4 goals were scored in Villarreal’s last five games on average.
  4. Three of Sociedad’s last five away games had both teams score.
  5. Four of these teams’ last five meetings produced over 2.5 goals.
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Our Villarreal vs Real Sociedad Prediction

The ambition for these two sides is a place in Europe, and from all indications, they will both achieve that. However, there is still some way to go, and one of the qualities that will aid here is their goal scoring abilities.

On the flipside though, both sides haven't been at their absolute best defensively. As a result, their recent runs have constantly seen both teams score, and a high-scoring game is also part of the package here. Our prediction for Villarreal v Real Sociedad is for BTTS and over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

BTTS and over 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Villarreal Real Sociedad

Villarreal vs Real Sociedad Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Villarreal wins 1.96 2.01 +2.6%
Draw 3.91 3.75 -4.1%
Real Sociedad wins 4 4.02 +0.5%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Villarreal is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 2.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 51.0% and is now 49.8% (-1.3%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.