Spain - LaLiga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in LaLiga Predictions
In an intriguing top-half battle of matchday seven of the 2025-26 La Liga campaign, Villarreal and Athletic Bilbao clash on Saturday. This match at Estadio de la Ceramica between the third-placed Yellow Submarine and the fifth-placed Lions comes with our prediction of a home win.
Villareal’s 13 points (W4, D1, L1) keep them five points behind leaders Real Madrid ahead of this round. Athletic’s ten points (W3, D1, L2) put them just inside the top five spots and three points behind their hosts.
A 2-1 away win at Sevilla last week helped Villarreal post consecutive victories after losing two in a row. One of those defeats came in the Champions League, but with four wins out of six league fixtures, they are going in the right direction.
Home form gives the Yellow Submarine a strong edge, as they posted seven consecutive league wins at this venue, including three this season.
Athletic drew 1-1 at home against Girona last week, where they needed a second-half goal to come back from a goal down. That result helped them end a three-match losing streak in all competitions, but they are yet to post a win since starting the campaign with three wins in a row.
Their away form is still dicey, as Athletic lost 2-0 on their last league trip.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Villarreal v Athletic Bilbao Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.1 | 3.3 | 3.75 |
|
|
2 | 3.4 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.2 | 3.8 |
|
|
2 | 3.25 | 4 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.25 | 3.85 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Villarreal and Athletic Bilbao?
Our prediction for the Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao match is: Villarreal wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/09/2025 between Villarreal and Athletic Bilbao in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.27% for a win of Villarreal against Athletic Bilbao with odds of 2.11 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao is 11.38% with odds of 3.5 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.35% chance ⭐ for a win of Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal with odds of 4.05 at Shangrila.
Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao Prediction and Best Odds:
| Villarreal Athletic Bilbao Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Villarreal wins | 61.27% | 2.11 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.22% | 2.24 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 55.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Villarreal/Villarreal | 22.86% | 3.4 at Bet365 |
Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao Form
Villarreal and Athletic Bilbao's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
|
7
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 |
Villarreal and Athletic Bilbao Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
20 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
24 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
24 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
15 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
20 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
4 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
4 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
17 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
9 Aug 2025 - Emirates Cup
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
8 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
14 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
5 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
13 May 2023 - LaLiga
30 Oct 2022 - LaLiga
Villarreal against Athletic Bilbao Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
L. Costa
W. Kambwala
J. Foyth
ForwardG. Moreno
P. Cabanes
A. Perez
Y. Alvarez
U. Egiluz
MidfielderB. Prados
ForwardN. Williams
Most goals and assists
Villarreal
Athletic Bilbao
A. Moleiro
(4 Goals)
, 
T. Buchanan
(4 Goals)
G. Guruzeta
(4 Goals)
G. Mikautadze
(2 Assists)
,
S. Cardona
(2 Assists)
, 
N. Pepe
(2 Assists)
,
A. Moleiro
(2 Assists)
,
S. Comesana
(2 Assists)
M. Jauregizar
(2 Assists)
,
N. Williams
(2 Assists)
Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao Key Points
- Villarreal won ten of their last 12 league matches, losing only once.
- At home, Villarreal won their last seven league fixtures.
- In nine of their last ten away league matches, Athletic have seen fewer than three goals scored.
- Athletic failed to score in four of their last seven away league fixtures.
- Five of Athletic’s last six competitive matches this season have seen two or fewer goals scored.
- The last three league games between these sides produced under 2.5 goals.
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Our Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction
Villarreal and Athletic are separated by just three points ahead of this round, but it is the home team who may feel they have momentum. They won their last two matches coming into this weekend, while Athletic have lost three and drawn one of their four recent fixtures in all competitions. To go with that, Villarreal have an excellent record at home that makes them a tough team to face.
Villarreal’s winning record at home could extend, and our Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao prediction is Villarreal wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Villarreal Athletic Bilbao
| Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal wins | 2 | 2.1 | +5.0% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.3 | -2.9% |
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 3.8 | 3.75 | -1.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Villarreal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 50.0% and is now 47.6% (-2.4%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Villarreal vs. Athletic Bilbao game!
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Try your luck on this year's LaLiga! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
