Villarreal vs Alavés Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Villarreal’s La Liga campaign proceeds with a home match against Alaves on Saturday. After closing 2025 with a loss, Villarreal started 2026 on a winning note and are third in the standings, while Alaves are 13th. Read on for our prediction of this match.
A 3-1 win at Elche last time out, coupled with Atletico Madrid’s draw, saw Villarreal climb to third on 38 points. That was their 12th win in the league, and only Real Madrid and Barcelona have more wins.
The Yellow Submarine have been poor in other competitions, and La Liga remains their only hope for silverware. They will thus be going for a win here, and seven wins in nine home games suggest they will be very positive.
Alaves will go into their 33rd meeting with Villarreal, looking to extend their head-to-head advantage, which currently stands at 16-13, with three ending in draws.
There will be concerns at Alaves based on their recent form. They are coming off a 1-1 draw with bottom-placed Real Oviedo, and they’ve lost six of their eight away league matches.
Alaves last won a La Liga match in the first week of December, so they’ll be hoping for a massive improvement here. That will, however, be blighted by the fact that four of their last five visits here ended in defeat.
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The Best Betting Odds for Villarreal v Alavés Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.45 | 4.5 | 7 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.2 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.44 | 4 | 7 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.6 | 8 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.33 | 6.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Villarreal and Alavés?
Our prediction for the Villarreal vs Alavés match is: Villarreal wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/01/2026 between Villarreal and Alavés in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.61% for a win of Villarreal against Alavés with odds of 1.5 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Villarreal vs Alavés is 11.54% with odds of 4.6 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.86% chance ⭐ for a win of Alavés vs Villarreal with odds of 8 at Unibet.
Villarreal - Alavés Prediction and Best Odds:
| Villarreal Alavés Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Villarreal wins | 53.61% | 1.5 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.29% | 2.06 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 36.67% | 2.1 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Villarreal/Villarreal | 18.55% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
Villarreal vs Alavés Form
Villarreal and Alavés's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
41 | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 20 |
|
16
|
19 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | -8 |
Villarreal and Alavés Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
3 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
30 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
8 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
2 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
8 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
30 Oct 2025 - Copa del Rey
26 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
Villarreal vs Alavés Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
10 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
22 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
30 Apr 2022 - LaLiga
21 Dec 2021 - LaLiga
Villarreal against Alavés Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Missing players
L. Costa
W. Kambwala
MidfielderP. Gueye
ForwardP. Cabanes
I. Akhomach
C. Benavidez
Most goals and assists
Villarreal
Alavés
A. Moleiro
(8 Goals)
L. Boye
(4 Goals)
,
C. Vicente
(4 Goals)
A. Perez
(3 Assists)
,
S. Cardona
(3 Assists)
,
A. Pedraza
(3 Assists)
, 
N. Pepe
(3 Assists)
,
A. Moleiro
(3 Assists)
, 
G. Mikautadze
(3 Assists)
C. Alena
(3 Assists)
Villarreal - Alavés Key Points
- Across their last four games, Alaves posted two losses.
- Villarreal have registered wins in half of their last 10 games.
- Villarreal won four of the last five home outings against Alaves.
- Alaves have suffered three defeats in the last four away matches.
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Our Villarreal vs Alavés Prediction
Apart from Villarreal being clearly the superior side here, they’ve been doing well at home too. In the last 10 matches they hosted, five ended in wins, and they have also beaten Alaves in four of their last five meetings at home.
Alaves have been on a poor run of form in recent weeks, especially in La Liga, where they’ve lost three times in their last five games. This poor streak isn’t bettered by their struggles on the road. Our prediction for Villarreal v Alaves is that Villarreal wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Villarreal Alavés
| Villarreal vs Alavés | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal wins | 1.48 | 1.45 | -2.0% |
| Draw | 4.1 | 4.5 | +9.8% |
| Alavés wins | 6.5 | 7 | +7.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Villarreal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 67.6% and is now 69.0% (1.4%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Villarreal vs. Alavés game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Villarreal and Alavés when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on LaLiga!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
