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Vilius Gaubas vs Alexander Zverev Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Italian Open

ATP - ATP Italian Open

ATP 154 Lithuania
Vilius Gaubas
11/05/2025 04:20
ATP 2 Germany
Alexander Zverev

Prediction :

 

First set to have over 8.5 games

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Italian Open Predictions

Alexander Zverev’s defence of his Rome Masters title pits him against qualifier Vilius Gaubas in the third round. It is the first meeting between the two, and the winner faces Arthur Fils or Stefanos Tsitsipas next. Read on for our prediction of the match.

Gaubas is making his debut at the Rome Masters and is already turning heads. He is one of the shock names gracing the third round, and he will be eyeing the biggest upset in Rome.

He comes into this match off the back of wins over Damir Dzumhur and Denis Shapovalov. Those and two wins in the qualifiers mean that on his debut at this event, the Lithuanian has already posted four wins.

Zverev comes into this match with pressure easing after Jannik Sinner’s return to action. He did well in his first match, beating Camillo Ugo Carabelli in straight sets.

Now he will target a deep run, and his third-round opponent is beatable. The German is unbeaten against players ranking outside the top-100 since last season and hasn’t lost to such a player at the Masters level for about five years.

He will hope this record isn’t broken in his next game. Zverev hasn’t lost a third-round match this season, winning seven times, and has a 22-8 record coming here.

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The Best Betting Odds for Vilius Gaubas v Alexander Zverev Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
9 1.07
Ladbrokes
10 1.06
Vbet
8.7 1.04
NetBet
9.25 1.04
1xbet
9.2 1.06
Check all Vilius Gaubas vs Alexander Zverev odds
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Who will win the Vilius Gaubas vs Alexander Zverev Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Vilius Gaubas vs Alexander Zverev match is: first set to have over 8.5 games.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Vilius Gaubas vs Alexander Zverev game on 11/05/2025 of the current ATP Italian Open season:

  • Vilius Gaubas has a 30.09% chance to win against Alexander Zverev according to Ladbrokes ⭐ with the odds of 10.
  • Alexander Zverev has a 69.91% probability of winning facing Vilius Gaubas ⭐ with odds of 1.07 at Bet365.

Vilius Gaubas vs Alexander Zverev Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Vilius Gaubas has a 30.09 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Vilius Gaubas30.09 %
Alexander Zverev69.91 %

Vilius Gaubas vs Alexander Zverev Form

Vilius Gaubas and Alexander Zverev Last Matches

Vilius Gaubas Last matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

9 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Denis Shapovalov
0 :  2
Vilius Gaubas

7 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Vilius Gaubas
2 :  1
Damir Dzumhur

6 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Hugo Dellien
0 :  2
Vilius Gaubas

5 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Vilius Gaubas
2 :  0
Eliot Spizzirri

1 May 2025 - Mauthausen, Austria, Qualifying

Christian Garin
2 :  1
Vilius Gaubas

29 Apr 2025 - Mauthausen, Austria, Qualifying

Jakub Paul
1 :  2
Vilius Gaubas
Alexander Zverev Last matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

9 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
0 :  2
Alexander Zverev

29 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Alexander Zverev
0 :  2
Francisco Cerundolo

27 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Alexander Zverev
2 :  1
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

25 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Alexander Zverev
2 :  0
Roberto Bautista-Agut

20 Apr 2025 - ATP Munich Open

Alexander Zverev
2 :  0
Ben Shelton

19 Apr 2025 - ATP Munich Open

Alexander Zverev
2 :  0
Fabian Marozsan
Compare Vilius Gaubas and Alexander Zverev with our comparison tool.

Vilius Gaubas - Alexander Zverev Key Points

  1. Five of Zverev’s last nine Rome Masters outings had 10+ games.
  2. Five of Zverev’s last nine matches had over 8.5 games in the first set.
  3. The opening set in Gaubas’ last nine matches had at least nine games.
  4. Only one of Gaubas’ four Rome Masters matches had under nine games.
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Our Vilius Gaubas vs Alexander Zverev Prediction

Gaubas is making his Rome Masters debut, and after clearing two opponents in the qualifiers, he will be confident here. He may fail to beat the defending champion but will give the German a run for his money. Zverev has had his low moments this season, which have been more than the highs.

Players like Gaubas come with the motivation to shock top players. We expect a grueling opening set as both players seek a quick start. Our prediction for Vilius Gaubas v Alexander Zverev is for the first set to have over 8.5 games.

Prediction :

 

First set to have over 8.5 games

 
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Vilius Gaubas vs Alexander Zverev Prediction
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