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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Italian Open Predictions
Alexander Zverev’s defence of his Rome Masters title pits him against qualifier Vilius Gaubas in the third round. It is the first meeting between the two, and the winner faces Arthur Fils or Stefanos Tsitsipas next. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Gaubas is making his debut at the Rome Masters and is already turning heads. He is one of the shock names gracing the third round, and he will be eyeing the biggest upset in Rome.
He comes into this match off the back of wins over Damir Dzumhur and Denis Shapovalov. Those and two wins in the qualifiers mean that on his debut at this event, the Lithuanian has already posted four wins.
Zverev comes into this match with pressure easing after Jannik Sinner’s return to action. He did well in his first match, beating Camillo Ugo Carabelli in straight sets.
Now he will target a deep run, and his third-round opponent is beatable. The German is unbeaten against players ranking outside the top-100 since last season and hasn’t lost to such a player at the Masters level for about five years.
He will hope this record isn’t broken in his next game. Zverev hasn’t lost a third-round match this season, winning seven times, and has a 22-8 record coming here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Vilius Gaubas v Alexander Zverev Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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9 | 1.07 |
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10 | 1.06 |
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8.7 | 1.04 |
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9.25 | 1.04 |
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9.2 | 1.06 |
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Who will win the Vilius Gaubas vs Alexander Zverev Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Vilius Gaubas vs Alexander Zverev match is: first set to have over 8.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Vilius Gaubas vs Alexander Zverev game on 11/05/2025 of the current ATP Italian Open season:
- Vilius Gaubas has a 30.09% chance to win against Alexander Zverev according to Ladbrokes ⭐ with the odds of 10.
- Alexander Zverev has a 69.91% probability of winning facing Vilius Gaubas ⭐ with odds of 1.07 at Bet365.
Vilius Gaubas vs Alexander Zverev Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Vilius Gaubas has a 30.09 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Vilius Gaubas | 30.09 % |
Alexander Zverev | 69.91 % |
Vilius Gaubas vs Alexander Zverev Form
Vilius Gaubas and Alexander Zverev Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
9 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
7 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
6 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
5 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
1 May 2025 - Mauthausen, Austria, Qualifying
29 Apr 2025 - Mauthausen, Austria, Qualifying
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
9 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
29 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
27 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
25 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
20 Apr 2025 - ATP Munich Open
19 Apr 2025 - ATP Munich Open
Vilius Gaubas - Alexander Zverev Key Points
- Five of Zverev’s last nine Rome Masters outings had 10+ games.
- Five of Zverev’s last nine matches had over 8.5 games in the first set.
- The opening set in Gaubas’ last nine matches had at least nine games.
- Only one of Gaubas’ four Rome Masters matches had under nine games.
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Our Vilius Gaubas vs Alexander Zverev Prediction
Gaubas is making his Rome Masters debut, and after clearing two opponents in the qualifiers, he will be confident here. He may fail to beat the defending champion but will give the German a run for his money. Zverev has had his low moments this season, which have been more than the highs.
Players like Gaubas come with the motivation to shock top players. We expect a grueling opening set as both players seek a quick start. Our prediction for Vilius Gaubas v Alexander Zverev is for the first set to have over 8.5 games.
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When you place a bet on the match between Vilius Gaubas and Alexander Zverev you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Vilius Gaubas or Alexander Zverev , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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