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16 November 2023 - 17:00 

- Day 5

World - World Cup

Venezuela
VS
Ecuador

Prediction :

Under 3.5

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Venezuela vs Ecuador Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup

 by Devesh Jaganath | in World Cup Prediction

The CONMEBOL World Cup qualifiers resume this week, with Venezuela playing host to Ecuador on Friday. The hosts are currently in fourth place in the standings, while the visitors are sixth. After finishing at the bottom of the log in the last edition of qualifying, Venezuela have made a much better start this time. They have taken seven points from their first four matches, which leaves them tied with Uruguay and Brazil in second and third place respectively. The Wine-Red got their campaign started with a 1-0 loss to Colombia. However, since then, they have gone unbeaten with two wins and a draw, including a 3-0 victory over Chile last month. The hosts have also won both their home games in this competition and are unbeaten in their last five on home soil. Despite beating this opponent at this venue the last they met, the hosts are the underdogs here, according to the bookmakers. 

Meanwhile, Ecuador’s task was made that much harder when they were handed a 3-point deduction prior to the commencement of the tournament. The deduction was due to the side falsifying the birth documents of Byron Castillo in the previous World Cup qualification cycle. As a result, despite winning two and drawing one of their four matches, Ecuador are only on four points as it stands. Still, they have made a positive start to the competition and will feel that they will be able to make back the deficit before the final day. The Tri played out a 0-0 draw against Colombia last month which followed a 2-1 win over Bolivia a few days earlier. They are now unbeaten in their last three games. Ecuador’s only loss in the competition was back in week one against world champions Argentina. The visitors won the last match between these sides 1-0 and are the favourites to do likewise in this one.

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The Best Betting Odds for Venezuela v Ecuador Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.7 2.88 3
1xbet
3.04 2.88 2.66
22bet
3.04 2.88 2.66
Check all Venezuela vs Ecuador odds
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Who will win the Venezuela vs Ecuador Football match?


The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Venezuela and Ecuador of World Cup on 11/16/23 :

  • There is a probability of 45.17% ⭐ for Venezuela to win this match against Ecuador ⚽ with odds of 3.04 found at 1xbet.
  • Bet365 ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 2.88 which implies a probability of 20.92%.
  • Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Ecuador to win the match are about 3 at Bet365. That means a probability of 33.91%.

Venezuela vs Ecuador Form

Venezuela and Ecuador's standings in the World Cup

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4
Venezuela
Venezuela
9 6 2 3 1 3
5
Ecuador
Ecuador
8 6 3 2 1 2

Venezuela and Ecuador Last Matches

Venezuela
Venezuela Last matches
W W L W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
1.5
BTTS
17%
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
0.33
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5
83%

17 Oct 2023 - World Cup

Venezuela
3 :  0
Chile

12 Oct 2023 - World Cup

Brazil
1 :  1
Venezuela

12 Sep 2023 - World Cup

Venezuela
1 :  0
Paraguay

7 Sep 2023 - World Cup

Colombia
1 :  0
Venezuela

18 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies

Venezuela
1 :  0
Guatemala

15 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies

Honduras
0 :  1
Venezuela
Ecuador
Ecuador Last matches
W W L W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
0.67
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

17 Oct 2023 - World Cup

Ecuador
0 :  0
Colombia

12 Oct 2023 - World Cup

Bolivia
1 :  2
Ecuador

12 Sep 2023 - World Cup

Ecuador
2 :  1
Uruguay

7 Sep 2023 - World Cup

Argentina
1 :  0
Ecuador

20 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies

Costa Rica
1 :  3
Ecuador

17 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies

Ecuador
1 :  0
Bolivia

Venezuela against Ecuador : Head to Head (H2H)

Venezuela

20 %

Draw

60 %

Ecuador

20 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
2.4
BTTS
80%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.2
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.2
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%

11 Nov 2021 - World Cup

Ecuador
1 :  0
Venezuela

10 Oct 2021 - World Cup

Venezuela
2 :  1
Ecuador

20 Jun 2021 - Copa America

Venezuela
2 :  2
Ecuador

1 Jun 2019 - International Friendlies

Venezuela
1 :  1
Ecuador

8 Jun 2017 - International Friendlies

Venezuela
1 :  1
Ecuador
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Missing players

Venezuela
Venezuela
Midfielder

Y. Herrera

Ecuador
Ecuador
Defender

P. Estupinan

Forward

L. Campana

Venezuela - Ecuador Key Points

  1. Each of Venezuela’s last nine matches have ended with under 3.5 goals
  2. Venezuela have kept four consecutive clean sheets at home ahead of this match
  3. Eight of Ecuador’s last ten matches have ended with under 3.5 goals
  4. Ecuador have only conceded more than one goal in one of their last nine away games
  5. Fewer than four goals were scored in five of the last six matches between these sides
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Our Venezuela vs Ecuador Prediction

Both these sides have made solid starts to their qualifying campaigns and will feel that they can get something from this match. The hosts have been very good defensively on their home patch and will likely prioritize another clean sheet in this one. Therefore, our Venezuela vs Ecuador prediction: Under 3.5. 

Prediction :

Under 3.5

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Venezuela vs Ecuador Prediction

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