Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Kennedy Kechula | in LaLiga Predictions
In-form Rayo Vallecano are away to Valencia in midweek Spanish La Liga action. After 35 rounds of play, the two teams are tied on 42 points and sit bumper to bumper in the standings. Based on their recent performances, our prediction for this match is a draw.
Valencia won over the weekend and will be looking to build on that result for a strong finish to the campaign. Los Che, who were away to Athletic Club on Sunday, secured a hard-fought 1-0 win to keep alive their European hopes.
Carlos Corberan’s men, who sit in 12th in the table, have now won twice in their last three games. That win took them to 11 wins for the season and lifted them to just two points off the top eight.
Valencia, who held out for a draw in the reverse match, haven’t won against Rayo in four meetings.
If Rayo do not qualify for Europe via the league, they still have another bite at the apple at the end of May. Los Franjirrojos have qualified for the Europa Conference League final.
They will most likely use their remaining four league matches to prepare for that final, the first European final in club history. Inigo Perez’s men are having quite the final lap to conclude the campaign and arrive in Valencia unbeaten in six outings.
They have won four times in this stretch, with two of those wins coming in the league. Rayo, who have a game in hand, returned to league action after European exertions this past weekend and drew 1-1 with Girona at home.
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Valencia v Rayo Vallecano Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.29 | 3.15 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.1 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.18 | 3.12 | 3.66 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.1 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.28 | 3.05 | 3.35 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Valencia and Rayo Vallecano?
Our prediction for the Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/05/2026 between Valencia and Rayo Vallecano in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.32% for a win of Valencia against Rayo Vallecano with odds of 2.34 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano is 16.95% with odds of 3.25 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia with odds of 3.78 at 888Starz.
Valencia - Rayo Vallecano Prediction and Best Odds:
| Valencia Rayo Vallecano Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Valencia wins | 42.32% | 2.34 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 58.42% | 2.1 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 57.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Valencia | 18.21% | 5.5 at LSbet |
Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano Form
Valencia and Rayo Vallecano's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | -3 |
|
9
|
49 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -9 |
Valencia and Rayo Vallecano Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - LaLiga
2 May 2026 - LaLiga
25 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
21 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - LaLiga
25 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - LaLiga
21 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
21 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2026 - LaLiga
7 May 2026 - Conference League
3 May 2026 - LaLiga
30 Apr 2026 - Conference League
26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
23 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2026 - LaLiga
30 Apr 2026 - Conference League
26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
23 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
3 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 May 2026 - Conference League
3 May 2026 - LaLiga
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
12 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
67 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
19 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
7 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
12 May 2024 - LaLiga
19 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
3 Apr 2023 - LaLiga
Valencia against Rayo Vallecano Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
J. Agirrezabala
DefenderR. Iranzo
J. Vazquez
T. Correia
U. Nunez
F. Ugrinic
A. Almeida
B. Santamaria
ForwardD. Raba
L. Ramazani
A. Danjuma
U. Sadiq
Juanpe
D. Cardenas
DefenderA. Mumin
A. Ratiu
J. Vertrouwd
MidfielderP. Ciss
U. Lopez
S. Camello
Alemao
J. de Frutos
C. Martin
O. Trejo
Missing players
D. Foulquier
M. Diakhaby
J. Copete
I. Palazon
D. Mendez
Most goals and assists
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
H. Duro
(10 Goals)
J. de Frutos
(10 Goals)
L. Rioja
(6 Assists)
,
J. Guerra Moreno
(6 Assists)
A. Garcia
(5 Assists)
Valencia - Rayo Vallecano Key Points
- Rayo haven't lost in six consecutive games.
- Rayo and Valencia have drawn a combined 21 league matches.
- Six of the last 10 meetings between Rayo and Valencia ended in draws
- Valencia and Rayo are tied on the same number of points in the league.
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Our Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction
Our prediction for Valencia v Rayo Vallecano is for this match to end in a draw. This match is a crucial one in the race for Europe for these two teams. They sit tied on points, and a loss for either side could mean the end of their top-eight hopes.
Though Rayo have a slight numerical advantage, very little separates the two sides, who have drawn almost the same number of matches as they have won. This fixture has also, in recent versions of it, seen a share of the spoils as the more common outcome.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Valencia Rayo Vallecano
| Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia wins | 2.14 | 2.34 | +9.3% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.25 | -1.5% |
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 3.35 | 3.78 | +12.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Valencia is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 9.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 46.7% and is now 42.7% (-4.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
