Europe - Champions League
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Champions League Predictions
Marseille are not in really great shape as they head out to Belgium to take on Union Saint-Gilloise in the Champions League. The Belgians will be hosting this game at the Lotto Park and hoping to build on their away win at Galatasaray. Similarly, Marseille will be looking to add to the points won at home in the win against Newcastle United. Below is our look at the prediction for this match.
Union SG will start this round sitting outside the top 24 positions. They are, however, only kept out by goal difference and will go into this game seeking a win to elevate them.
Marseille will go into matchday six looking to close in on the top eight. The French giants currently sit 21st in the league stage standings with six points drawn from two wins. In UEFA competitions, they are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Belgian opponents.
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The Best Betting Odds for Union Saint-Gilloise v Marseille Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.9 | 3.5 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.5 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.4 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.6 | 2.3 |
|
|
3 | 3.65 | 2.23 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Union Saint-Gilloise and Marseille?
Our prediction for the Union Saint-Gilloise vs Marseille match is: Union Saint-Gilloise or draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/12/2025 between Union Saint-Gilloise and Marseille in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.96% for a win of Union Saint-Gilloise against Marseille with odds of 3.04 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Union Saint-Gilloise vs Marseille is 15.13% with odds of 3.7 at Bwin.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.91% chance ⭐ for a win of Marseille vs Union Saint-Gilloise with odds of 2.41 at 888Starz.
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Marseille Form
Union Saint-Gilloise and Marseille's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
21
|
6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
|
25
|
6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -7 |
Union Saint-Gilloise and Marseille Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
3 Dec 2025 - Belgian Cup
30 Nov 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
9 Nov 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
3 Dec 2025 - Belgian Cup
22 Nov 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
26 Oct 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
9 Nov 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
29 Oct 2025 - Belgian Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
21 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
Union Saint-Gilloise - Marseille: Form Analysis
Union SG, like Marseille, have earned six points from the opening five rounds. They hit that after claiming their second win in the league last time out. The Belgians beat Galatasaray 1-0 away from home and will be eyeing a first home win.
The two home games in this competition ended in defeats to Inter Milan and Newcastle United. The hosts will be looking for some lift in their form against French opposition.
They are unbeaten in three matches against Ligue 1 sides, though they managed just one win, against Nice, last season. In their warmup for this encounter, Union SG drew 1-1 with Gent and will aim to do better at home.
They lost the last Champions League game they hosted, 3-1 to Atletico Madrid.
Marseille are seeking their 50th win in the Champions League.
Marseille’s search for a landmark Champions League win doesn’t find them on very strong footing. The French giants lost 1-0 to Lille in the run-up to this game, and they’ve now failed to win any of their last two matches.
With just one clean sheet in their last five matches, Marseille will have a lot to do in preparation for this match. They do have a six-game unbeaten run against Belgian opposition, though.
A 2-1 win against Newcastle United last time out earned them a second win in the league phase and a foundation to build on. That, however, was at home, yet it is their away form that bears the most concerns.
Marseille are winless in seven away matches in Europe.
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Union Saint-Gilloise vs Marseille last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Union Saint-Gilloise & Marseille Squad Analysis
Union SG will be hoping David Promise gets his scoring boots in this match. His goals come with the promise of victory, as the team hasn’t lost in his last 25 scoring games.
In this competition, he has scored twice, including the winner against Galatasaray. Into this match, the Canadian carries an xG of 7.67. The Belgians will have no trouble getting attackers in this game.
All their outfield starters in the last game have had a goal contribution.
Union SG’s Kevin Mac Allister is a yellow card away from suspension.
Marseille forward Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang scored twice in Marseille's last Champions League game. He has now scored 20 times in the Champions League and become the oldest player to reach 20 goals in the competition.
Teaming up with the enterprising Timothy Weah, Aubameyang will be confident of adding to his tally. Mason Greenwood hasn’t hit it in Europe as domestically.
He has only scored once in the Champions League, a far cry from his Ligue 1 form, where he has 10 goals.
Most goals and assists
Union Saint-Gilloise
Marseille
P. David
(8 Goals)
M. Greenwood
(11 Goals)
C. Burgess
(3 Assists)
, 
A. Zorgane
(3 Assists)
P. Aubameyang
(8 Assists)
Union Saint-Gilloise and Marseille Stats in Champions League
Union Saint-Gilloise - Marseille Key Points
- Union SG have six wins in their last 10 games.
- Marseille lost six of their 10 away matches this season.
- Union SG avoided defeat in nine of their 12 home matches.
- Marseille are winless in their last seven away matches in Europe.
- Half of Marseille’s six matches against Belgian sides ended in draws.
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Our Union Saint-Gilloise vs Marseille Prediction
The last time Marseille traveled to Belgium for a game in Europe was in 2017/18 in the Europa League. It ended 0-0 against Oostende. That was just one of their troubled away days in Europe. Marseille haven't won any of their last seven away games in Europe, drawing once.
In the Champions League proper, they have one win in 13 on the road. While Union SG aren’t the most perfect at home, they will see an opportunity to seize here. They’ve won six of their last 10 home games. Our prediction for Union Saint-Gilloise v Marseille is a double chance: Union Saint-Gilloise or draw.
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Marseille - Other Interesting Predictions
BTTS
While these two sides do not have the best of runs in Europe, both sides scoring is an outcome that remains highly possible. In five of Union SG’s last eight matches, both teams scored. The Belgians failed to score just once in the 10 matches.
At Marseille, both teams scored in six of their last 10 games, and they failed to score in only two of the 10 games. Our second prediction, therefore, would be for both teams to score.
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Union Saint-Gilloise vs Marseille match : Frequently asked questions
The Union Saint-Gilloise v Marseille game will be played on Tuesday, 9th December.
The Union Saint-Gilloise v Marseille game will be played at Lotto Park in Anderlecht.
The Union Saint-Gilloise v Marseille game will be aired on DPG Media, RTL Belgium, Proximus, and Telenet in Belgium. In France it will be Canal+.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
