Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Union Berlin face the unwanted task of halting the perfect start of runaway leaders Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 Bundesliga campaign when the teams meet on Saturday. This match at Alten Forsterei between the 10th-placed ‘Die Eisernen’ and the first-placed ‘Die Bayern’ comes with our prediction of Bayern -2 European Handicap.
With 11 points in the season (W3, D2, L4), Union are five points above the relegation zone, while Bayern’s 27 points (W9) give them a five-point lead before this round.
Union had a 0-0 home draw against Freiburg last weekend to continue their indifferent start to the season. The hosts had just one win from their last five league games (W1, D2, L2), keeping them in the midtable.
They have been a tough team to play at home, though, as Union were beaten just once in their five home league games this season (W2, D2, L1), although it was by a two-goal margin.
Bayern defeated PSG 2-1 away from home in the midweek Champions League fixture to continue their perfect start. They have won all competitive matches this season, including all nine in the Bundesliga.
That included a confident 3-0 win over Leverkusen last weekend, which meant they have netted 3.67 goals per game. Their last three away league wins have come by a three-goal margin, and that could continue here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Union Berlin v Bayern Munich Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11 | 6.5 | 1.22 |
|
|
12 | 6.5 | 1.22 |
|
|
11 | 6 | 1.22 |
|
|
10 | 7 | 1.22 |
|
|
12 | 6.5 | 1.21 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Union Berlin and Bayern Munich?
Our prediction for the Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich match is: Bayern Munich -2 European Handicap.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/11/2025 between Union Berlin and Bayern Munich in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 18.16% for a win of Union Berlin against Bayern Munich with odds of 12 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich is 14.79% with odds of 7 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 67.05% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin with odds of 1.22 at Bet365.
Union Berlin - Bayern Munich Prediction and Best Odds:
| Union Berlin Bayern Munich Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 67.05% | 1.22 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76% | 1.38 at Bwin |
| Both Team To Score | 59.17% | 1.91 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time: Bayern Munich/Bayern Munich | 36.61% | 1.67 at Bet365 |
Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich Form
Union Berlin and Bayern Munich's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
28 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 |
|
11
|
12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -4 |
Union Berlin and Bayern Munich Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
24 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
17 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
17 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
26 Feb 2023 - Bundesliga
3 Sept 2022 - Bundesliga
Players list
F. Ronnow
DefenderD. Doekhi
L. Querfeld
D. Leite
D. Kohn
MidfielderJ. Juranovic
R. Khedira
A. Kral
A. Schafer
ForwardJ. Woo-yeong
T. Skarke
M. Neuer
DefenderD. Upamecano
J. Tah
N. Jackson
J. Kimmich
MidfielderT. Bischof
A. Pavlovic
ForwardM. Olise
L. Karl
L. Diaz
H. Kane
Substitutes
C. Klaus
DefenderD. Kohn
S. Nsoki
J. Juranovic
T. Skarke
L. Burcu
A. Kral
J. Woo-yeong
M. Ljubicic
L. Klanac
J. Urbig
DefenderK. Min-jae
S. Boey
MidfielderT. Bischof
L. Karl
A. Pavlovic
D. Daiber
ForwardN. Jackson
Missing players
A. Markgraf
C. Trimmel
ForwardR. Skov
H. Ito
MidfielderJ. Musiala
Most goals and assists
Union Berlin
Bayern Munich
D. Doekhi
(5 Goals)
H. Kane
(22 Goals)
A. Ilic
(5 Assists)
M. Olise
(6 Assists)
Union Berlin - Bayern Munich Key Points
- Three of Union’s four Bundesliga defeats this season have come by a 2+ goal margin.
- Union failed to score in two of their last three home league games.
- Bayern won all nine Bundesliga matches this season, seven of which came by a 3+ goal margin.
- Bayern’s last three league trips saw them win by a three-goal margin.
- Bayern won four of their last five Bundesliga matches against Union, three coming by a 3+ goal margin.
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Our Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich Prediction
Bayern Munich were irresistible in their 3-0 win over Leverkusen last weekend, extending their perfect record this season. They are yet to drop points and, more importantly, have been winning games with ease. Their last three league trips have been won by a three-goal margin. Union haven’t quite folded easily in this season but failed to score in two of their last three home matches.
This trip could be another easy win for Bayern, and value lies in the handicap market. Our Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich prediction is Bayern Munich -2 European Handicap.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Union Berlin Bayern Munich
| Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin wins | 10 | 11 | +10.0% |
| Draw | 5.5 | 6.5 | +18.2% |
| Bayern Munich wins | 1.3 | 1.22 | -6.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayern Munich is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 76.9% and is now 82.0% (5.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Union Berlin vs. Bayern Munich game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Union Berlin and Bayern Munich? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Bundesliga! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
