Union Berlin vs Augsburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Augsburg’s fragile chances of European qualification from the 2025-26 Bundesliga campaign depend on a win against Union Berlin on the final matchday on Thursday in Berlin. This match between the 12th-placed ‘Iron Ones’ and the 9th-placed ‘Fuggerstadter’ is likely to favour the hungry visitors, and our prediction is a win for Augsburg.
With 36 points (W9, D9, L15), Union are likely to finish in the midtable with at best a tenth-position finish. Augsburg have 43 points (W12, D7, L14) and are one point outside the top seven, the last of the spots for European qualification.
Union won 3-1 away at Mainz last weekend to end a six-game winless run in the league (D2, L4). The Iron Ones have won consecutive league games back in December and would look to end the campaign on a high.
Home form has been a challenge too, as the Iron ones have won just one of their last eight league fixtures here (D4, L3).
Augsburg defeated Monchengladbach 3-1 last weekend to extend their unbeaten run to six Bundesliga matches (W3, D3). All those three wins have come in their four recent games, so the visitors will be confident of their chances.
Two of those wins have come on the road as Augsburg travel with a three-match unbeaten run away from home (W2, D1).
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Union Berlin v Augsburg Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.65 | 4 | 2.41 |
|
|
2.73 | 4 | 2.29 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.96 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.63 | 4.1 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.7 | 4 | 2.26 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Union Berlin and Augsburg?
Our prediction for the Union Berlin vs Augsburg match is: Augsburg wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/05/2026 between Union Berlin and Augsburg in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.65% for a win of Union Berlin against Augsburg with odds of 2.8 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Union Berlin vs Augsburg is 32.24% with odds of 4.1 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.11% chance ⭐ for a win of Augsburg vs Union Berlin with odds of 2.48 at 888Starz.
Union Berlin - Augsburg Prediction and Best Odds:
| Union Berlin Augsburg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Augsburg wins | 42.11% | 2.48 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.17% | |
| Both Team To Score | 82.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Augsburg/Augsburg | 23.76% | 3.7 at LSbet |
Union Berlin vs Augsburg Form
Union Berlin and Augsburg's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
43 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -16 |
|
11
|
39 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -14 |
Union Berlin and Augsburg Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Bundesliga
2 May 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
6 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2026 - Bundesliga
2 May 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs Augsburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 May 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
25 Nov 2023 - Bundesliga
6 May 2023 - Bundesliga
Union Berlin against Augsburg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
T. Wisbereit
DefenderL. Querfeld
J. Juranovic
J. Woo-yeong
T. Skarke
A. Kral
J. Haberer
ForwardD. Bogdanov
R. Skov
D. Klein
N. Labrovic
DefenderK. Schlotterbeck
N. Banks
M. Pedersen
H. Massengo
R. Ribeiro
U. Ogundu
Missing players
F. Ronnow
M. Raab
DefenderD. Kohn
D. Giannoulis
K. Jakic
Most goals and assists
Union Berlin
Augsburg
O. Burke
(6 Goals)
F. Rieder
(6 Goals)
, 
A. Kade
(6 Goals)
, 
M. Gregoritsch
(6 Goals)
A. Ilic
(8 Assists)
D. Giannoulis
(5 Assists)
Union Berlin - Augsburg Key Points
- Augsburg won three of their last four Bundesliga matches.
- Away from home, Augsburg have won their last two league trips.
- Union lost four of their last seven Bundesliga matches.
- At home, Union could win only one of their last eight league games, although drawing four and losing three.
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Our Union Berlin vs Augsburg Prediction
Union got their first win under new coach Marie-Louise Eta as she led them to a 3-1 victory over Mainz. The Iron Ones face a stern test to repeat that result, especially as Augsburg have a lot on their plate to play for. They are just a point outside the top seven, and a win here plus favourable results elsewhere could push them to Europe.
Augsburg have two wins and a draw in their last four matches against Union and could add to that win count. Our Union Berlin vs Augsburg prediction is Augsburg wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Union Berlin Augsburg
| Union Berlin vs Augsburg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin wins | 2.32 | 2.8 | +20.7% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 4.1 | +7.9% |
| Augsburg wins | 2.65 | 2.48 | -6.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Augsburg is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 37.7% and is now 40.3% (2.6%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
