Ugo Humbert vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction & Betting Tips - Stockholm Open

ATP - Stockholm Open

ATP 32 France
Ugo Humbert
17/10/2025 06:00
ATP 70 Italy
Lorenzo Sonego

Prediction :

 

Ugo Humbert wins

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

Fourth seed Ugo Humbert has still not lost an indoor hard court match in 2025. After winning the Marseille title in February, he's now in the last eight of the Stockholm Open. Can Lorenzo Sonego end his unbeaten run? Read our match prediction below.

Humbert beat unseeded Matteo Berrettini in his opening match in this tournament. He won in straight sets, though a tie-break was needed to win the first. That was a welcome win for the Frenchman after just one victory in his five previous matches.

There have been eight previous matches between these two players. Humbert leads 5-3 and 3-0 on this surface. He beat Sonego on his way to winning that indoor title in Marseille and has since beaten him on grass.

Unseeded Lorenzo Sonego is playing in his third ATP Tour hard court quarter-final of 2025. He’s yet to get past this stage after losing quarter-finals in the Australian Open and Marseille.

The Italian has reached this stage in Stockholm without losing a set. After beating Arthur Fery in round one, the 30-year-old beat Aleksandar Kovacevic 7-6 6-1.

He’s now 45th in the live rankings. It’s a welcome good run for Sonego as before this tournament he had lost three successive matches. Sonego now has a 14-14 hard court record this year. We tip Humbert to win this match.

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Ugo Humbert v Lorenzo Sonego Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
1xbet
1.55 2.46
Melbet
1.55 2.45
Betwinner
1.53 2.51
Bet365
1.5 2.63
Tonybet
1.49 2.5
Check all Ugo Humbert vs Lorenzo Sonego odds

Who will win the Ugo Humbert vs Lorenzo Sonego Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Ugo Humbert vs Lorenzo Sonego match is: Ugo Humbert to win.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Ugo Humbert vs Lorenzo Sonego game on 17/10/2025 of the current Stockholm Open season:

  • Ugo Humbert has a 55.67% chance to win against Lorenzo Sonego according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.55.
  • Lorenzo Sonego has a 44.33% probability of winning facing Ugo Humbert ⭐ with odds of 2.63 at Bet365.

Ugo Humbert vs Lorenzo Sonego Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Ugo Humbert has a 55.67 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Ugo Humbert55.67 %
Lorenzo Sonego44.33 %

Ugo Humbert vs Lorenzo Sonego Form

Ugo Humbert and Lorenzo Sonego Last Matches

Ugo Humbert Last matches
L L L W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

16 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open

Ugo Humbert
2 :  0
Matteo Berrettini

5 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Ugo Humbert
0 :  2
Holger Rune

3 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Ugo Humbert
2 :  0
Jordan Thompson

24 Sept 2025 - ATP Japan Open

Ugo Humbert
0 :  2
Jenson Brooksby

25 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Ugo Humbert
1 :  3
Adam Walton

11 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Frances Tiafoe
2 :  0
Ugo Humbert
Lorenzo Sonego Last matches
W L L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

16 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open

Lorenzo Sonego
2 :  0
Aleksandar Kovacevic

15 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open

Arthur Fery
0 :  2
Lorenzo Sonego

1 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Lorenzo Sonego
1 :  2
Yannick Hanfmann

26 Sept 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Lorenzo Sonego
0 :  2
Alexander Zverev

19 Sept 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Lorenzo Sonego
0 :  2
Marcos Giron

18 Sept 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Lorenzo Sonego
2 :  1
Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Ugo Humbert vs Lorenzo Sonego Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Ugo Humbert

67 %

Lorenzo Sonego

33 %

25 Jun 2025 - ATP Eastbourne International

Lorenzo Sonego
0 :  2
Ugo Humbert

14 Feb 2025 - ATP Marseille

Lorenzo Sonego
0 :  2
Ugo Humbert

26 May 2024 - ATP French Open

Ugo Humbert
1 :  3
Lorenzo Sonego

11 Apr 2024 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Lorenzo Sonego
1 :  2
Ugo Humbert

28 Sept 2023 - ATP Beijing Open

Ugo Humbert
2 :  1
Lorenzo Sonego

31 May 2023 - ATP French Open

Lorenzo Sonego
3 :  0
Ugo Humbert

Ugo Humbert - Lorenzo Sonego Key Points

  1. Humbert has won all three of his previous hard court matches against Sonego.
  2. On all surfaces, Humbert leads Sonego 5-3 and has won four of their last five matches.
  3. Humbert has won one ATP Tour indoor hard court title this year.
  4. Sonego is 21 places below Humbert in the live rankings.
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Our Ugo Humbert vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction

Ugo Humbert faces Lorenzo Sonego in the last eight of the Stockholm Open. The Frenchman has won all five of his indoor hard court matches this year and won the Marseille title in February. He beat Sonego on his way to winning that title.

Lorenzo Sonego has only won one of his last five matches against Humbert. He's never beaten him on this surface. This could be close and might even go to three sets but our main Ugo Humbert v Lorenzo Sonego prediction is Ugo Humbert to win.

Prediction :

 

Ugo Humbert wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Ugo Humbert vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction