ATP - Stockholm Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Unseeded Matteo Berrettini faces fourth seed Ugo Humbert in round two of the Stockholm Open. The winner of this indoor hard court match goes into the quarter-finals of this ATP 250 tournament. Read our match prediction.
Round one saw Berrettini defeat qualifier Giulio Zeppieri in straight sets, losing only six games. In 2025 he has an 11-10 hard court record. Most of those wins came in the early stages of this year. Three ATP Tour hard court quarter-finals were reached.
Again though injuries have limited the number of tournaments that the 29-year-old has played.
He leads Humbert 3-1 in previous meetings and all have been played on hard courts. Humbert won their first match but that was played eight years ago. Their last match was in 2023 at the US Open with Berrettini winning in straight sets.
Ugo Humbert is struggling for form at present. The Frenchman has only won one of his last five matches, a win over Jordan Thompson in Shanghai. His run in that Masters event ended in the next round, being beaten by Holger Rune. He's 24th in the live rankings.
He won his only other indoor hard court tournament this year with success in Marseille eight months ago.
On current form though, we tip Berrettini to win this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Ugo Humbert v Matteo Berrettini Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.91 | 1.91 |
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1.91 | 1.91 |
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1.9 | 1.9 |
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1.91 | 1.83 |
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1.9 | 1.92 |
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Who will win the Ugo Humbert vs Matteo Berrettini Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Ugo Humbert vs Matteo Berrettini match is: Matteo Berrettini to win.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Ugo Humbert vs Matteo Berrettini game on 16/10/2025 of the current Stockholm Open season:
- Ugo Humbert has a 39.55% chance to win against Matteo Berrettini according to 22bet ⭐ with the odds of 2.01.
- Matteo Berrettini has a 60.45% probability of winning facing Ugo Humbert ⭐ with odds of 1.92 at Unibet.
Ugo Humbert vs Matteo Berrettini Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Ugo Humbert has a 39.55 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Ugo Humbert | 39.55 % |
| Matteo Berrettini | 60.45 % |
Ugo Humbert vs Matteo Berrettini Form
Ugo Humbert and Matteo Berrettini Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
5 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
3 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
24 Sept 2025 - ATP Japan Open
25 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
11 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
9 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
14 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open
1 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
26 Sept 2025 - ATP Japan Open
23 Sept 2025 - ATP Japan Open
18 Sept 2025 - ATP Hangzhou Open
30 Jun 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Ugo Humbert vs Matteo Berrettini Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
29 Aug 2023 - ATP US Open
3 Jan 2022 - ATP Cup, Group B
3 Sept 2020 - ATP US Open
Ugo Humbert - Matteo Berrettini Key Points
- Humbert has only won one of his previous four matches against Berrettini.
- Humbert has lost four of his last five matches.
- Berrettini has reached three ATP Tour hard court quarter-finals this year.
- Berrettini has won five of his last nine hard court matches.
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Our Ugo Humbert vs Matteo Berrettini Prediction
This could be a tight match and a side bet on it going to three sets may well be a winning one. Ugo Humbert is the seeded player and ranked in the top 30 but he's not playing like that at moment with several recent defeats. His record against Berrettini is a poor one.
Matteo Berrettini has had another mixed year. Three ATP Tour hard court quarter-finals but again time off court due to injury. He had a good first round win and our Ugo Humbert v Matteo Berrettini prediction is Matteo Berrettini to win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
