Netherlands - Eredivisie
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by Thobelani Moyo in Eredivisie Predictions
FC Twente will welcome Ajax to the Grolsch Veste on matchday ten of the Eredivisie. Twente are in seventh place in the league standings, while Ajax are in fourth place. Here's our match prediction.
FC Twente have turned a corner in the Eredivisie after losing their first two games. Since then, they've gone to pick up four wins in their last seven matches (D2, L1). During this period, they failed to maintain a shutout in any of those outings, highlighting their defensive struggles.
The Tukkers' recent league game was against NEC Nijmegen away from home. Nothing could separate both sides as they played to a thrilling 3-3 draw. If it weren't for their shaky defense that saw them squander their lead twice, things might have gone another way.
On the bright side, they have avoided defeat in each of their last five league games, recording three wins and two draws.
Ajax are aiming to restore their confidence after a confidence-draining night away to Chelsea in the UEFA Champions League. The visitors were thrashed 5-1, extending their losing run in the competition to three games.
The Amsterdammers' recent league game resulted in a 2-0 home defeat against AZ Alkmaar. That result made it two games without a win in the league.
In unfamiliar territory, their performance has failed to hit the mark. Currently, they are winless in their last six matches across all competitions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Twente v Ajax Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.35 | 3.5 | 2.9 |
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2.25 | 3.3 | 2.8 |
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|
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2.38 | 3.4 | 2.7 |
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2.4 | 3.4 | 2.7 |
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2.33 | 3.4 | 2.9 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Twente and Ajax?
Our prediction for the Twente vs Ajax match is: FC Twente draw no bet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/10/2025 between Twente and Ajax in Eredivisie :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.42% for a win of Twente against Ajax with odds of 2.4 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Twente vs Ajax is 34.41% with odds of 3.68 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.17% chance ⭐ for a win of Ajax vs Twente with odds of 2.9 at Bet365.
Twente - Ajax Prediction and Best Odds:
| Twente Ajax Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Twente wins | 41.42% | 2.4 at Betway |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.52% | 1.69 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 66.25% | 1.55 at William Hill |
| Half-time / Full-time : Twente/Twente | 16.74% | 4 at Betfair |
Twente vs Ajax Form
Twente and Ajax's standings in the Eredivisie
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
|
8
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Twente and Ajax Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
5 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
26 Sep 2025 - Eredivisie
19 Sep 2025 - Eredivisie
13 Sep 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
26 Sep 2025 - Eredivisie
13 Sep 2025 - Eredivisie
17 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
19 Sep 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
24 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
10 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
4 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Sep 2025 - Champions League
27 Sep 2025 - Eredivisie
21 Sep 2025 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
27 Sep 2025 - Eredivisie
17 Sep 2025 - Champions League
13 Sep 2025 - Eredivisie
24 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
10 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Sep 2025 - Champions League
21 Sep 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
17 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
Twente vs Ajax Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 May 2025 - Eredivisie
10 Nov 2024 - Eredivisie
14 Apr 2024 - Eredivisie
17 Sep 2023 - Eredivisie
28 May 2023 - Eredivisie
9 Feb 2023 - KNVB beker
Twente against Ajax Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
M. Hilgers
MidfielderM. Kjolo
M. Bruns
D. Weidmann
B. Van den Boomen
ForwardK. Dolberg
S. Berghuis
Most goals and assists
Twente - Ajax Key Points
- FC Twente are unbeaten in their last five league games.
- Ajax are winless in their last four matches across all competitions.
- FC Twente have won their last two home matches in the Eredivisie.
- Ajax are winless in their last four away league games.
- Ajax have drawn each of their last four away league games.
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Our Twente vs Ajax Prediction
It is fair to say that Twente have been the better-performing side lately, if we put their league position out of this scenario. Their last home meeting against Ajax ended in a 2-2 draw. Notably, that was their third consecutive match without suffering a defeat. A draw no bet should be a solid pick.
Ajax's form has been erratic and that's not up for debate. They have gone two league games without a win, and their performance on the road has been worse (D4). Our FC Twente vs Ajax prediction: FC Twente draw no bet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Twente Ajax
| Twente vs Ajax | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twente wins | 3.2 | 2.35 | -26.6% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.5 | -6.7% |
| Ajax wins | 2.05 | 2.9 | +41.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Twente is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 26.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 31.3% and is now 42.6% (11.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Twente vs. Ajax game!

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Twente and Ajax? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Eredivisie! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.