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10 Jul 2025, 05:35 

Tour de France

Cycling

Tour de France - Stage 6

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Prediction :

 

Tadej Pogacar to win

 
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Tour de France - Stage 6 Predictions & Betting tips - Tour de France

 by Matthew Newman |

201.5km awaits riders on Stage 6 of the Tour de France, another punchy stage with six climbs, plus an unclassified one up to the finish line, which includes a 14% stretch over the last couple of hundred metres. We need a strong climber for our prediction here.

The two puncheurs stages so far have gone to Mathieu van der Poel and Tadej Pogacar. The former won the slightly easier of the stages but had to give second best to Pogacar on Stage 4 when he was dropped on the last categorised climb of the day.

That certainly suggests that Pogacar is the stronger of the pair, but the way that each of the teams around them handles the stage will shape how it is going to unfold. This could be a stage that the teams searching for a breakaway win will want to have a go at.

Jonas Vingegaard was a disappointment in the individual time trial on Wednesday, and that clouds his current well-being after a solid third-place finish on Stage 4. He was also third on Stage 2, so he needs consideration here.

Oscar Onley has finished fourth and sixth on the two puncheurs stages so far and is one who might appeal to each-way backers at odds of about 34.00. He is only 22 years old and looks like an outright contender for future grand tours.

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Tour de France - Stage 6 - Tour de France prediction key points

  1. With more than 200km ahead of the riders, this is one of the longer stages of the tour.
  2. There are five Cat 3 climbs and a Cat 4 on the toughest day of the tour so far.
  3. The profile of this stage is closest to Stage 4, which Tadej Pogacar won.
  4. The Stage 4 win was Pogacar’s 100th at the age of 26, which includes 18 Tour de France stages.
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Our Tour de France - Stage 6 - Tour de France prediction

Another exciting stage in prospect with a brutal last couple of hundred metres up to the winning line. This is very much one for the climbers who have a little bit of sprinting talent, but their teams will need to ensure that there is not too much rope given to any breakaway early on.

The most likely winner here, given how stiff the finishing climb is, is Tadej Pogacar. He has looked in sparkling form so far in the tour, and that can see him in front once more. Our Tour de France Stage 6 prediction is Tadej Pogacar to win.

Prediction :

 

Tadej Pogacar to win

 
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