Tottenham vs Sunderland Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Tottenham
04/01/2026 10:00
Sunderland

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in Premier League Predictions

Tottenham Hotspur are out to return to winning ways when they play host to Sunderland at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on matchday 20 of the Premier League. Here's our match prediction. 

This marks the first meeting between these two sides in the Premier League since 31 January 2017. That meeting ended in a goalless draw. However, Tottenham Hotspur should be confident of registering all three points in this fixture, having won four of their last five matches in this fixture. In fact, they are unbeaten in their previous 14 Premier League games, with their last defeat dating back to 2010. Will Spurs be able to maintain this unbeaten run?

Sunderland are not far away from the European football spots, with just one point separating them from the desired spot. With 29 points accumulated from 19 games, they have maintained a three-point cushion over 12th-placed Tottenham Hotspur. A win here could see them jump to fifth place in the standings, depending on results elsewhere going their way.

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The Best Betting Odds for Tottenham v Sunderland Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.8 3.6 4.5
Betfred
1.8 3.6 4.5
William Hill
1.75 3.5 4.4
Unibet
1.83 3.5 4.6
Betway
1.83 3.6 4.2
Check all Tottenham vs Sunderland odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Tottenham and Sunderland?

Our prediction for the Tottenham vs Sunderland match is: less than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/01/2026 between Tottenham and Sunderland in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.46% for a win of Tottenham against Sunderland with odds of 1.86 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Tottenham vs Sunderland is 30.28% with odds of 3.7 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 22.25% chance ⭐ for a win of Sunderland vs Tottenham with odds of 4.83 at 888Starz.

Tottenham vs Sunderland Form

Tottenham and Sunderland's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7
Sunderland
Sunderland
29 19 7 8 4 2
12
Tottenham
Tottenham
26 19 7 5 7 4

Tottenham and Sunderland Last Matches

Tottenham
Tottenham Last matches
W W L L W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  0
Tottenham

28 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
0 :  1
Tottenham

20 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  2
Liverpool

14 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
3 :  0
Tottenham

9 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Tottenham
3 :  0
Slavia Prague

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
2 :  0
Brentford
W D L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  2
Liverpool

9 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Tottenham
3 :  0
Slavia Prague

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
2 :  0
Brentford

29 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  2
Fulham

8 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
2 :  2
Manchester United

4 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Tottenham
4 :  0
FC Copenhagen
L L D L W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

1 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  0
Tottenham

28 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
0 :  1
Tottenham

14 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
3 :  0
Tottenham

2 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Tottenham

26 Nov 2025 - Champions League

PSG
5 :  3
Tottenham

23 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Tottenham
Sunderland
Sunderland Last matches
D L W D D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

1 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  0
Manchester City

28 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
1 :  1
Leeds

20 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  0
Sunderland

14 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
1 :  0
Newcastle

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Sunderland

3 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Sunderland
D D W W D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

1 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  0
Manchester City

28 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
1 :  1
Leeds

14 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
1 :  0
Newcastle

29 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
3 :  2
Bournemouth

8 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
2 :  2
Arsenal

3 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
1 :  1
Everton
L W L D L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  0
Sunderland

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Sunderland

3 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Sunderland

22 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  0
Sunderland

25 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  2
Sunderland

4 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  0
Sunderland

Tottenham vs Sunderland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Tottenham

50 %

Draw

50 %

Sunderland

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

0.5
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored (home team)
0
Goals scored (away team)
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

31 Jan 2017 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  0
Tottenham

18 Sept 2016 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  0
Sunderland

Tottenham - Sunderland: Form Analysis

Tottenham Hotspur failed to start the new year with a win in their match against Brentford at Gtech Stadium. In the London derby, both sides were content with a point in a goalless draw. 

That result denied the Spurs, who were searching for their second league win on the bounce for the first time since August. On the bright side, they've avoided defeat in two games after suffering back-to-back defeats against Nottingham Forest and Liverpool. 

The Tottenham Hotspur Stadium has turned out to be the reason for their downfall this season. Thomas Frank's side have more wins on the road than they have at home. At this venue, two wins have been recorded in their last nine matches.

Spurs are undefeated in their last 14 Premier League games against Sunderland.

Their opponents, Sunderland, are out to capitalise on that erratic display and keep their European football hopes alive. So far, they've avoided defeat in four games and recorded one win during this period. 

With the support of their fervent supporters at the Stadium of Light, the Black Cats held a wasteful Manchester City side to a goalless draw in their recent league outing. This extended their unbeaten run at home to ten games (W5, D5).

In unfamiliar territory, their performance has been far from convincing. They are winless in four games, recording two draws and two losses.

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Tottenham vs Sunderland last Lineups

Tottenham

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
G. Vicario
23
P. Porro
17
C. Romero
37
M. Van de Ven
24
D. Spence
30
R. Bentancur
6
J. Palhinha
14
A. Gray
20
M. Kudus
9
Richarlison
28
W. Odobert
9
B. Brobbey
24
S. Adingra
28
E. Le Fee
12
E. Mayenda
6
L. Geertruida
34
G. Xhaka
3
D. Cirkin
15
O. Alderete
20
N. Mukiele
32
T. Hume
22
R. Roefs

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Sunderland

Missing players

Tottenham
Tottenham
Defender

D. Udogie

C. Romero

Midfielder

D. Kulusevski

J. Maddison

P. Sarr

Y. Bissouma

L. Bergvall

Forward

D. Solanke

X. Simons

Sunderland
Sunderland
Defender

A. Alese

A. Masuaku

R. Mandava

Midfielder

N. Sadiki

H. Diarra

Forward

C. Talbi

B. Traore

Tottenham & Sunderland Squad Analysis

Tottenham Hotspur will have as many as eight players missing for this crucial encounter. Destiny Udogie, James Maddison, Dominic Solanke, Lucas Bergvall, and Dejan Kulusevski are out injured.

Both Yves Bissouma and Pape Matar Sarr are out on international duty - the ongoing 2025 Africa Cup of Nations. Xavi Simons, on the other hand, is still serving his suspension after receiving a red card against Liverpool on 12 December.

Richarlison continues to be the man to trust in the final third for the home team. He has been involved in two goal involvements in two of his last three league games. Notably, he has scored in two of his last three home league games.

Richarlison has scored in his last two home league games for Spurs.

Sunderland might not have the best attack in the Premier League this season, but their defense has been impeccable. They have allowed 18 goals in 19 games, which is the third-best defensive record in the league.  

Nordi Mukiele and Omar Alderete have been at the heart of this performance. Mukiele won 75% of his ground duels and made 3/3 tackles last time out against Manchester City. Another spirited performance should definitely be on the cards.

The visitors have two players currently in the injury room. However, six more players are unavailable for this impending encounter, having traveled to Morocco for the ongoing 2025 Africa Cup of Nations.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Tottenham
CD Huachipato Sunderland
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Richarlison (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France W. Isidor (4 Goals)
Best assists
Ghana M. Kudus (5 Assists)
Best assists
Switzerland G. Xhaka (5 Assists)

Tottenham and Sunderland Stats in Premier League

Tottenham
Tottenham
Sunderland
Sunderland
37%
Wins
37%
26%
Draw
42%
37%
Losses
21%
2.63
Total goals per match
2
1.42
Goals scored per match
1.05
1.21
Goals conceded per match
0.95
63%
Over 2.5
32%
37%
Under 2.5
68%
47%
BTTS
42%
37%
Clean Sheet
37%

Tottenham - Sunderland Key Points

  1. Tottenham Hotspur have seen their last two league games end with under 2.5 goals.
  2. Sunderland have seen each of their last four matches end with under 2.5 goals.
  3. Tottenham Hotspur's last home league game against Sunderland ended in a 1-0 victory.
  4. Sunderland have seen three of their last four away matches end with under 2.5 goals.
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Our Tottenham vs Sunderland Prediction

Tottenham Hotspur have dominated this fixture over the past few years. The bookmakers are expecting them to come out on top in this impending encounter. However, it won't be an easy feat to achieve against a side that recently kept giants Manchester City at arm's length.

Sunderland might be underdogs, but they have been a difficult opponent to overcome. Unbeaten in their last four matches, the under 2.5 bet landed in each of those outings. Considering they boast the third-best defensive record, expect a low-scoring affair. Our Tottenham Hotspur vs Sunderland prediction: less than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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Tottenham vs Sunderland - Other Interesting Predictions

Tottenham Hotspur wins

Odds 1.83
Sunderland have not won a league game against Tottenham Hotspur since 2010. They've gone 14 matches without a win and have lost four of their last five. With that being said, Tottenham Hotspur should be able to secure a hard-fought win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Tottenham vs Sunderland Prediction