Taylor Fritz vs Sebastian Baez Prediction & Betting Tips - United Cup
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by Steve Ashfield | in United Cup Predictions
Argentina made an impressive start to this United Cup group. They beat Spain 3-0 and now take on the defending champions, the USA. Can Sebastian Baez record his first ever win over Taylor Fritz? Read our match prediction below.
In the opening match of Group A, Sebastian Baez beat Jaume Munar in straight sets. That was a rare outdoor hard court victory for Baez who only won three of his 12 matches played on the surface last year. He also lost all three of his indoor hard court matches.
His record against Taylor Fritz is appalling. He's lost all five of their meetings in straight sets. Only 19 games have been won in those matches. The most games Baez has won has been five so the world number 45 has a tough task here.
Taylor Fritz has twice won this tournament with the USA, including last year. Of his 12 singles matches played, nine have been won. Four out of five were won in 2025's tournament and he will want to continue that good record in 2026.
Last year saw the world number six have a 31-12 outdoor hard court record with two singles titles won.
We tip Taylor Fritz to win this with under 19.5 games played.
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The Best Betting Odds for Taylor Fritz v Sebastian Baez Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.05 | 10 |
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1.06 | 10.5 |
|
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1.05 | 9.5 |
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1.07 | 8 |
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1.06 | 8 |
|
Who will win the Taylor Fritz vs Sebastian Baez Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Taylor Fritz vs Sebastian Baez match is: Fritz wins and under 19.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Taylor Fritz vs Sebastian Baez game on 03/01/2026 of the current United Cup season:
- Taylor Fritz has a 79.36% chance to win against Sebastian Baez according to Ladbrokes ⭐ with the odds of 1.07.
- Sebastian Baez has a 20.64% probability of winning facing Taylor Fritz ⭐ with odds of 11.5 at Shangrila.
Taylor Fritz vs Sebastian Baez Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Taylor Fritz has a 79.36 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Taylor Fritz | 79.36 % |
| Sebastian Baez | 20.64 % |
Taylor Fritz vs Sebastian Baez Form
Taylor Fritz and Sebastian Baez Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
13 Nov 2025 - ATP Finals
11 Nov 2025 - ATP Finals
10 Nov 2025 - ATP Finals
30 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
28 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
23 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
1 Jan 2026 - United Cup
11 Nov 2025 - Montevideo, Uruguay
27 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
21 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
14 Oct 2025 - Brussels Open
3 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Taylor Fritz vs Sebastian Baez Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
28 Apr 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
11 Mar 2024 - ATP Indian Wells
30 Oct 2023 - Rolex Paris Masters
13 Mar 2023 - ATP Indian Wells
Taylor Fritz - Sebastian Baez Key Points
- Fritz has won all five of his previous matches against Baez in straight sets.
- All of those five matches had under 19.5 games played in them.
- Baez has only won four of his last 13 outdoor hard court matches.
- Fritz has won six of his eight singles matches in this tournament.
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Our Taylor Fritz vs Sebastian Baez Prediction
The USA get their United Cup defence underway with this match against Argentina who have already won their opening game. There will be some pressure on Taylor Fritz but he will be confident of continuing his excellent record against Baez.
The American has had five comfortable straight sets wins over Baez who is far more comfortable on clay. He has a good record in this tournament, twice winning the title and with Coco Gauff also in the squad, another USA win is possible. Our Taylor Fritz v Sebastian Baez prediction is Fritz wins and under 19.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
