Taylor Fritz vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Finals
ATP - ATP Finals
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Alex de Minaur has a tough task on his hands if he wants to reach the knockout stages of the ATP Finals. He has lost his first two matches in the Jimmy Connors round-robin group and on Thursday faces Taylor Fritz. Here's our match prediction.
To have a chance of qualifying, Alex de Minaur must win this match in straight sets. His first two matches in this indoor hard court tournament in Turin have both been lost. The Australian lost to Carlos Alcaraz in straight sets and then to Lorenzo Musetti in three.
De Minaur leads Fritz 6-5 in previous matches and 5-4 on hard courts. They met in this tournament last year with Fritz winning in three sets. This is their first match since the American recorded a straight sets win over de Minaur in last year's Davis Cup.
Five of their last seven matches have seen more than 21.5 games played and both players win a set.
Taylor Fritz was the runner-up this year. He won his opening match against Lorenzo Musetti but then lost to Carlos Alcaraz despite winning the first set. He goes into this final match in second place and knows winning a set will guarantee qualification even if losing the match.
We tip more than 21.5 games in this match.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Taylor Fritz v Alex De Minaur Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.36 | 3.2 |
|
|
1.33 | 3.3 |
|
|
1.36 | 3.3 |
|
|
1.35 | 3.2 |
|
|
1.35 | 3 |
|
Who will win the Taylor Fritz vs Alex De Minaur Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Taylor Fritz vs Alex De Minaur match is: more than 21.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Taylor Fritz vs Alex De Minaur game on 13/11/2025 of the current ATP Finals season:
- Taylor Fritz has a 59.48% chance to win against Alex De Minaur according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.36.
- Alex De Minaur has a 40.52% probability of winning facing Taylor Fritz ⭐ with odds of 3.3 at William Hill.
Taylor Fritz vs Alex De Minaur Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Taylor Fritz has a 59.48 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Taylor Fritz | 59.48 % |
| Alex De Minaur | 40.52 % |
Taylor Fritz vs Alex De Minaur Form
Taylor Fritz and Alex De Minaur Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
11 Nov 2025 - ATP Finals
10 Nov 2025 - ATP Finals
30 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
28 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
23 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
22 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
11 Nov 2025 - ATP Finals
9 Nov 2025 - ATP Finals
31 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
30 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
29 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
25 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
Taylor Fritz vs Alex De Minaur Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
21 Nov 2024 - Davis Cup
14 Nov 2024 - ATP Finals
1 Jan 2024 - United Cup
10 Aug 2023 - ATP Toronto
24 Jun 2022 - ATP Eastbourne International
16 Mar 2022 - ATP Indian Wells
Taylor Fritz - Alex De Minaur Key Points
- More than 21.5 games have been played in five of the last seven matches between these players.
- Each of those five matches saw both players win a set.
- De Minaur has played more than 21.5 games in three of his last five matches.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction. Between them, de Minaur and Fritz have played five already in this tournament.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Taylor Fritz vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
Alex de Minaur has played five matches in the ATP Finals and he's lost them all. He has to finally get that first win if he wants to qualify for the knockout stages and can't even afford to drop a set after winning just one in two defeats so far this week.
Taylor Fritz beat Lorenzo Musetti and then took a set off Carlos Alcaraz but ended up losing the match. A side bet on a tie-break or 7-5 set could win but our main Taylor Fritz v Alex de Minaur prediction is more than 21.5 games.
Get up to €100 to bet on the Taylor Fritz vs. Alex De Minaur game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Taylor Fritz and Alex De Minaur when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on ATP Finals!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
