Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP National Bank Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP National Bank Open Predictions
After reaching one ATP Masters outdoor hard court final this year, Tallon Griekspoor is hoping for more success in Montreal. Round three of the National Bank Open sees him take on 30th seed Matteo Arnaldi who has only won twice on this surface this year. Our prediction is a Griekspoor win.
Whoever wins will face unseeded opposition next, either Alex Michelsen or Daniel Merida.
It was in Dubai where Tallon Griekspoor reached the final. He had wins over Andrey Rublev, Jakub Mensik and Alexander Bublik, but then had to pull out of the final due to injury. That's the only time before this week that he has made it past round two of an ATP Tour outdoor hard court tournament.
He has shown good form this week with wins over Lorenzo Sonego and then came from behind to beat top seed Alexander Zverev.
Matteo Arnaldi was 35th in the latest rankings, 34 places above his opponent. His best form has come on clay though and it was on that surface at Roland Garros this year that he won the one previous match between these two players.
Arnaldi has played six outdoor hard court matches this year, winning just two of them.
He beat Fabian Marozsan in three sets to reach this stage in Montreal, his first win on this surface since January 3.
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Tallon Griekspoor v Matteo Arnaldi Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.62 | 2.25 |
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1.65 | 2.3 |
|
|
1.65 | 2.26 |
|
|
1.65 | 2.26 |
|
|
1.62 | 2.3 |
|
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Who will win the Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi match is: Tallon Griekspoor wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi game on 07/08/2026 of the current ATP National Bank Open season:
- Tallon Griekspoor has a 38.57% chance to win against Matteo Arnaldi according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.65.
- Matteo Arnaldi has a 61.43% probability of winning facing Tallon Griekspoor ⭐ with odds of 2.3 at 1xbet.
Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Tallon Griekspoor has a 38.57 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Tallon Griekspoor | 38.57 % |
| Matteo Arnaldi | 61.43 % |
Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi Form
Tallon Griekspoor and Matteo Arnaldi Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
5 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
4 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
27 Jul 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
30 Jun 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
16 Jun 2026 - ATP Halle Open
11 Jun 2026 - ATP Libema Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
5 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
16 Jul 2026 - ATP Umag Open
15 Jul 2026 - ATP Umag Open
30 Jun 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
23 Jun 2026 - ATP Eastbourne International
21 Jun 2026 - ATP Eastbourne International
Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
26 May 2026 - ATP French Open
Tallon Griekspoor - Matteo Arnaldi Key Points
- This is the first time in 2026 that Arnaldi has made it past round one of an ATP Tour outdoor hard court tournament.
- Arnaldi had to go to three sets to beat Fabian Marozsan in his last match.
- That was the first outdoor hard court match Arnaldi has won since January 3.
- Griekspoor beat the top seed Alexander Zverev in round two.
- Griekspoor has reached one ATP Tour outdoor hard court final this year.
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Our Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction
Tallon Griekspoor has had an up and down year with 13 wins and 17 defeats. When he is in form though, he is a player to follow. Round two of this tournament saw him come from a set down to knock out top seeded Alexander Zverev.
Matteo Arnaldi hadn't won a match on this surface for seven months before his three-set win over Fabian Marozsan. He's only won two outdoor hard court matches this year and was 11-14 last year. Our Tallon Griekspoor v Matteo Arnaldi prediction is Tallon Griekspoor wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
