Sudan vs Burkina Faso Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Kennedy Kechula | in AFCON Predictions
Burkina Faso and Sudan will face off in the third round of matches at the 2025 AFCON in Group E. This match will pass as one of the most anticipated, as the two nations have all to play for. Sudan approaches this game placed third in the group, on three points. That is a similar tally as Burkina Faso’s, and below is our prediction of the match.
By virtue of more goals scored and a better goal difference, Burkina Faso are placed second and look to join Algeria in the next phase of the competition. Sudan will feel this is their opportunity as well, after a narrow win on matchday two.
A draw will not favor Sudan in terms of an automatic ticket, but they may still progress as one of the best third-place finishers. For Burkina Faso, a draw will be all they need to advance to the knockout stages.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sudan v Burkina Faso Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7.5 | 3.1 | 1.67 |
|
|
6 | 3.25 | 1.7 |
|
|
6 | 2.62 | 1.75 |
|
|
6.5 | 3.05 | 1.72 |
|
|
6.5 | 3.2 | 1.67 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Sudan and Burkina Faso?
Our prediction for the Sudan vs Burkina Faso match is: Burkina Faso wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/12/2025 between Sudan and Burkina Faso in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.17% for a win of Sudan against Burkina Faso with odds of 7.52 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sudan vs Burkina Faso is 28.8% with odds of 3.25 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Burkina Faso vs Sudan with odds of 1.79 at 888Starz.
Sudan - Burkina Faso Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sudan Burkina Faso Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Burkina Faso wins | 38.04% | 1.79 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 70.65% | 1.93 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 21.43% | 2.5 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Burkina Faso | 16.02% | 4.4 at Unibet |
Sudan vs Burkina Faso Form
Sudan and Burkina Faso's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
|
3
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 |
Sudan and Burkina Faso Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - AFCON
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
9 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
3 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
26 Nov 2025 - Arab Cup
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
29 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
23 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
19 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
12 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - AFCON
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
9 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
3 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
26 Nov 2025 - Arab Cup
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - AFCON
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
16 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - AFCON
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
13 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
2 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
2 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
Sudan - Burkina Faso: Form Analysis
Sudan’s only goal at this tournament was scored by an opposing player. That was in their 1-0 win against Equatorial Guinea. The East African nation had earlier commenced the tournament with a heavy defeat, falling 3-0 against Algeria. Having broken a four-game winless run, Sudan will feel ready for their more accomplished opponents. They are backed by a 2-1 win in the only contest between the two nations in history. That, however, was back in 2012, and a lot has changed since. Across their last 20 matches, Sudan managed just three wins. The loss to Algeria on matchday one was Sudan’s fifth in the last 10 outings.
Burkina Faso and Sudan are meeting for the second time in history.
Burkina Faso, on the other hand, are coming from a losing outing. They went into matchday two unbeaten in seven matches, but that didn’t hold against a superior Algeria. Riyad Mahrez’s first-half penalty goal settled the match. One area of concern for Burkina Faso is the fact that they have conceded first in both of their matches here. It means in three of their last four outings the Burkinabe conceded the opening goal. In their only meeting with Sudan, they also conceded first as they lost 2-1. Six wins in their last eight games, however, will add to Burkina Faso’s confidence here.
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Sudan against Burkina Faso Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Sudan & Burkina Faso Squad Analysis
Sudan will welcome Al Hilal Omdurman midfielder Salaheldin Alhassan to the fray after serving a one-match suspension. The 30-year-old was sent off after just 39 minutes of the defeat to Algeria, having picked up two bookings. His return will mean Amar Abdallah clears the way as Sudan are expected to stick with their preferred 4-3-3 structure. The Sudanese will once again be without Mohamed Abuaagla of Al Ahly Benghazi. The defender suffered an injury on matchday one against Algeria. The defeat to Algeria also saw Abobaker Eisa pick up an injury, and he is out here.
Burkinabe have never lost whenever Dango Ouattara scored.
England-based Dango Ouattara will be one of Burkina Faso’s stars in this game, as he has a magical touch for this team. In his scoring outings, Burkina Faso have never lost. The Burkinabe will be hoping to tap on this heading into the game. The Brentford man had his mark in the comeback against Equatorial Guinea, with the assist for the equalizer. Edmond Tapsoba got the winner in the game, but he couldn’t repeat his heroics against a stronger Algeria side. Facing Sudan, he will be hoping for an impactful contribution.
Most goals and assists
Sudan
Burkina Faso
Sudan - Burkina Faso Key Points
- Sudan have lost three of their last four matches.
- Burkina Faso won six times in their last eight matches.
- Sudan are winless in 17 of their last 20 matches, losing seven.
- Burkina Faso won five of their last 10 matches away from home.
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Our Sudan vs Burkina Faso Prediction
Burkina Faso lost in their only meeting with Sudan, at the 2012 AFCON, and there will be no better chance for revenge. They come into this game with the better run of form, having only lost once and won six of their last eight matches.
They have been better performers than Sudan at this level in the past few editions, and that pedigree will lift them here. Sudan needed an own goal to see off Equatorial Guinea last time out, and they know it will be tougher here. They will slot in here as outright underdogs, and our prediction for Sudan v Burkina Faso is that Burkina Faso wins.
Sudan vs Burkina Faso - Other Interesting Predictions
BTTS
In eight of Sudan’s last 10 matches, at least one side failed to score. In most cases, that side has been Sudan. They actually failed to register a goal in seven of their last 10 games.
Burkina Faso have a better scoring return but have also been involved in matches where at least one side failed to hit the back of the net. Six clean sheets were recorded in the team’s last 10 outings. Our second prediction for Sudan v Burkina Faso is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sudan Burkina Faso
| Sudan vs Burkina Faso | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sudan wins | 6.5 | 7.5 | +15.4% |
| Draw | 4 | 3.1 | -22.5% |
| Burkina Faso wins | 1.53 | 1.67 | +9.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Burkina Faso is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 9.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 65.4% and is now 59.9% (-5.5%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
