Europe - Europa League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Europa League Predictions
Nottingham Forest have recorded a number of positives since Sean Dyche’s arrival, and this Thursday they’ll have another chance away to Sturm Graz. The two sides clash on matchday four of the Europa League. The match finds Sturm Graz 27th in the league stage standings and Nottingham 10 places ahead. Below we have the preview and a prediction for the match.
For these two sides a key aspect lacking in their seasons has been consistency. The same is well reflected in Europe as both go in search of the second win. Sturm Graz will be eyeing a win in their second match at home.
The Austrians arrive for this match winless in regular time in their last four matches. Just as the hosts are having a tough period, so are the visitors. Dyche is already the team’s third manager this season. The coach had a good start, guiding the team to a win in the last round, and will be looking to rub the same magic.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sturm Graz v Nottingham Forest Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.75 | 3.7 | 1.7 |
|
|
5 | 3.75 | 1.73 |
|
|
4.6 | 3.8 | 1.67 |
|
|
4.5 | 3.75 | 1.73 |
|
|
4.9 | 3.85 | 1.68 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Sturm Graz and Nottingham Forest?
Our prediction for the Sturm Graz vs Nottingham Forest match is: Sturm Graz wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/11/2025 between Sturm Graz and Nottingham Forest in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.49% for a win of Sturm Graz against Nottingham Forest with odds of 5.4 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sturm Graz vs Nottingham Forest is 20.03% with odds of 4.04 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.48% chance ⭐ for a win of Nottingham Forest vs Sturm Graz with odds of 1.73 at Betfred.
Sturm Graz - Nottingham Forest Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sturm Graz Nottingham Forest Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sturm Graz wins | 44.49% | 5.4 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.3% | 1.86 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 59.52% | 1.85 at William Hill |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Sturm Graz | 17.08% | 11 at Betfair |
Sturm Graz vs Nottingham Forest Form
Sturm Graz and Nottingham Forest's standings in the Europa League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
23
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
|
25
|
4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 |
Sturm Graz and Nottingham Forest Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
29 Oct 2025 - ÖFB Cup
26 Oct 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
19 Oct 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
5 Oct 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
28 Sept 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
14 Sept 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
26 Aug 2025 - Champions League
10 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
29 Oct 2025 - ÖFB Cup
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
19 Oct 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
5 Oct 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
24 Sept 2025 - Europa League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
24 Sept 2025 - Europa League
20 Sept 2025 - Premier League
17 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
Sturm Graz - Nottingham Forest: Form Analysis
Sturm Graz are coming off yet another defeat, having fallen 2-1 to SK Rapid in their domestic league. They have now failed to win in regular time in their last four outings.
That’s a serious drop-off from the earlier four straight wins, which included a matchday two victory against Rangers. That was in their first home match in the league phase, and the hosts will be gunning for a second on their home return.
Sandwiching that win were away defeats at Midtjylland and Celtic. Left with three points from a possible nine in the opening three Europa League games, Sturm Graz are also porous at the back.
In four of their last five matches, they conceded 2+.
The last time Sturm Graz and Nottingham faced off was four decades ago.
In Sean Dyche’s first away game in charge of the Tricky Trees, the team lost 2-0 to Bournemouth. Twice in his three matches in charge, the manager has avoided defeat and will be looking to have the same effect on Thursday.
His reign started off with a 2-0 win at FC Porto, and Nottingham almost shocked Manchester United in their latest outing. Coming from 1-0 down, Forest were headed to a 2-1 win before United pulled a goal back late on.
There are glimpses of improvement in the team, but away form remains a big concern. Nottingham are yet to win an away game in 2025/26.
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Sturm Graz against Nottingham Forest Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Sturm Graz & Nottingham Forest Squad Analysis
Sturm Graz will not only be favored by playing in front of their home fans, but they are also likely to have a fully fit squad to pick from. The first name on the team sheet will surely be Otar Kiteishvili’s.
The forward has netted seven times this season, one of the goals being in the Europa League, at home against Rangers. As the hosts look to improve on their defending, a key figure in that aspect will be goalkeeper Oliver Christensen.
The Dane has an 81% save rate from the 16 shots faced, but he has one error that led to a goal. There’s room for improvement on his long ball accuracy as well, having succeeded in just 26.9%.
Nottingham Forest’s Igor Jesus is suspended for this match.
Morgan Gibbs-White will be looked upon for the goals in the Nottingham Forest attack. The visitors’ skipper has had a goal or assist in each of Nottingham’s three matches in the Europa League.
He is also coming off a scoring outing on Saturday against Manchester United. Forest, however, are grappling with injuries to key players, and that might cripple them coming into this match.
The visitors could be without up to 10 players, including Douglas Luiz, who limped off over the weekend. Ola Aina, Oleksandr Zinchenko, and Chris Wood are all set to miss the game with injury.
Most goals and assists
Sturm Graz
Nottingham Forest
O. Kiteishvili
(6 Goals)
Igor Jesus
(5 Goals)
T. Horvat
(4 Assists)
M. Gibbs-White
(3 Assists)
Sturm Graz - Nottingham Forest Key Points
- Sturm Graz’s last four wins in Europe came at home.
- Sturm Graz won three of their last five home matches.
- Nottingham Forest are winless in their seven away matches.
- In their last 13 matches, Nottingham Forest managed just one win.
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Our Sturm Graz vs Nottingham Forest Prediction
Nottingham Forest will want to build on their positive run under Sean Dyche. However, the Tricky Trees are shorthanded by their away form. The Premier League side’s season is already poor, but this is made worse by an even poorer away run. On the road this season, Forest remain winless and come into this one on a weak run defensively.
Meanwhile, Sturm Graz are also having an inconsistent season but not so much at home. They’ve posted three home wins in the last five matches they hosted, and two of those wins were in Europe. Our prediction for Sturm Graz v Nottingham Forest is that Sturm Graz wins.
Sturm Graz vs Nottingham Forest - Other Interesting Predictions
BTTS
This match pits two sides with glaring defensive issues. Nottingham Forest have posted only one clean sheet this season, in the win against FC Porto, while their fortunes in attack have been improving. Sturm Graz, who haven't kept a clean sheet in their last five matches, will be wary of the visitors’ improving attack.
They’ve scored in each of their last five matches as well. Sturm Graz failed to score in just one of their last 10 matches, and our second prediction here is for both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sturm Graz Nottingham Forest
| Sturm Graz vs Nottingham Forest | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sturm Graz wins | 4.75 | 4.75 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 3.7 | 0% |
| Nottingham Forest wins | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sturm Graz is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 21.1% and is now 21.1% (0.0%)
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Sturm Graz vs Nottingham Forest match : Frequently asked questions
The Sturm Graz v Nottingham Forest match will be staged at the 16,364-capacity Merkur Arena.
The Sturm Graz v Nottingham Forest match will be played on Thursday, 6th November.
The Sturm Graz v Nottingham Forest match will be live on TNT Sports for UK fans, while Austrian audiences can watch on Sky Austria, Canal+, and Servus TV. SportyTrader will have the live updates for this and other Europa League matches.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
